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Geno Morelli vs. Austin Wourms Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Geno Morelli vs Austin Wourms – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Austin Wourms (7-5-0 record) faces undefeated prospect Geno Morelli (4-0-0) in a welterweight bout at UFL 6. The match is part of the Team Scottsdale vs. Team Orange County event, scheduled for 3 rounds[3][4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Geno Morelli maintains a flawless professional record (4-0-0), indicating superior consistency and technical prowess compared to Wourms' 7-5-0 record[4][5]. Wourms' recent performance history shows vulnerability (losses in 5 professional bouts), while Morelli has never been defeated in sanctioned competition[3][4].
  • No prior meeting between fighters[1][3][4]
  • No injury reports available
  • UFL 6 represents a team-based event format, potentially adding psychological pressure for both fighters to perform for their respective squads (Team Scottsdale vs. Team Orange County)[3][5].
  • Morelli seeks to preserve his undefeated status and rising prospect status. Wourms aims to rebound from a .500 career record and potential gatekeeper status[4][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin Wourms +225 / Geno Morelli -350 Geno Morelli ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Geno Morelli -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Geno Morelli at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Geno Morelli by decision (confidence 75%) – Likely outcome based on technical superiority and undefeated record. Wourms' experience may push fight beyond 1.5 rounds, but Morelli's cleaner record suggests consistent scoring across three rounds[3][4][5].

Predicted Score: Geno Morelli via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)


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Geno Morelli vs. Austin Wourms Prediction

Match Analysis: Geno Morelli vs Austin Wourms – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-02 Time: 8:00 PM UTC Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome Game Overview Austin Wourms (7-5-0 record) faces undefeated prospect Geno Morelli (4-0-0) in a welterweight bout at UFL 6. The match is part of the Team Scottsdale vs. Team Orange County event, scheduled […]

Austin Wourms Geno Morelli May 2, 2025 MMA/Boxing

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Tye Ruotolo vs. Dante Leon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tye Ruotolo vs Dante Leon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok, Thailand

Game Overview

This is a submission grappling world title trilogy match between reigning ONE welterweight champion Tye Ruotolo (7-0 in ONE) and challenger Dante Leon, with their head-to-head record tied 1-1. The bout serves as the co-main event of ONE Fight Night 31, marking their first meeting under ONE Championship rules.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ruotolo is undefeated in ONE Championship (7-0) with multiple submission wins. Leon is a two-time IBJJF world champion, though less tested under ONE's unique submission-only ruleset.
  • Split 1-1 (Leon won their first meeting pre-ONE, Ruotolo won the second). This rubber match occurs under ONE's distinct rule set favoring aggressive submission hunting.
  • Ruotolo recently recovered from a 2024 knee injury but has had 9 months to rehab. No recent injury reports for Leon.
  • Ruotolo's imminent MMA debut plans (vs. Adrian Lee) could either motivate exceptional performance or create distraction, though he claims full focus on Leon.
  • Leon explicitly states this represents 'the best era of submission grappling' and seeks to cement his legacy. Ruotolo aims to maintain his unbeaten ONE streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ruotolo -350 / Leon +225 Ruotolo moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tye Ruotolo 128%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tye Ruotolo at 128% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 56.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ruotolo by submission (confidence: 75%) due to superior ONE-specific experience and rule set mastery. Leon's +225 odds represent value for an upset given his world-class pedigree.

Predicted Score: Submission victory for Ruotolo via choke/leg lock within regulation time (10 min).


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Jared Warren vs. Joseph Creer Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jared Warren vs Joseph Creer – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum in Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Jared Warren, the former BKFC World Light-Heavyweight Champion, faces Joseph Creer in the main event of BKFC Fight Night Clearwater. Warren has a strong background and experience, while Creer is highly motivated and making significant strides in his career.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jared Warren has a notable record and experience in the BKFC, while Joseph Creer is hungry for success after transitioning from his military career to martial arts.
  • There is no recorded match between the two, but stylistically, Creer’s adaptability and Warren’s championship experience make for a compelling contest.
  • No injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight is at the OCC Road House & Museum in Clearwater, a venue that could potentially favor the hometown favorite if applicable, though both are U.S.-based fighters.
  • Creer is highly motivated due to his personal journey and ambition for a title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jared Warren: -175, Joseph Creer: +135 Jared Warren to win ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jared Warren -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jared Warren at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jared Warren's experience gives him an edge, but Joseph Creer's hunger for success and strong preparation could lead to a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: No specific score prediction for MMA fights, but Warren is favored.


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Terrance Saeteurn vs. Isiah Torres Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Terrance Saeteurn vs Isiah Torres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Casino, Sacramento, California

Game Overview

Terrance Saeteurn is defending his Flyweight Championship title against Isiah Torres at A1 Combat 27. Saeteurn, representing Nobody MMA, faces Torres from Grizzly Fighting Systems in what promises to be a competitive bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Terrance Saeteurn is the current champion, while Isiah Torres is on a three-fight win streak.
  • No previous head-to-head match between Saeteurn and Torres.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight will be live on UFC Fight Pass, which may add pressure due to increased visibility.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated; Saeteurn aims to retain his title, and Torres seeks to win a championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Isiah Torres: +250, Terrance Saeteurn: -400 Terrance Saeteurn ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Terrance Saeteurn -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Terrance Saeteurn is likely to win due to his championship experience and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round stoppage for Saeteurn.


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Quentin Gaskin vs. Logan Speyrer Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Quentin Gaskin vs Logan Speyrer – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

This BKFC fight is between Quentin Gaskins (1-0) and Logan Speyrer in the bantamweight division, with Gaskins holding the advantage as the hometown fighter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Quentin Gaskins is undefeated (1-0), while Logan Speyrer is making his BKFC debut.
  • No prior head-to-head matches.
  • No reported injuries.
  • The fight is held in Gaskins' hometown of Clearwater, FL, which could provide a home advantage.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but Gaskins may have an edge due to his undefeated record and home support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Logan Speyrer: +125, Quentin Gaskin: -165 Quentin Gaskins to win ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Quentin Gaskin -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Quentin Gaskin at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Quentin Gaskins is likely to win due to his undefeated record and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Not Available (Bare Knuckle Fighting doesn't use traditional scoring)


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John Escoboza vs. Jay Jackson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: John Escoboza vs Jay Jackson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Light heavyweight bout between undefeated John Escoboza (7-0-0) and Jay Jackson (2-1-0) on BKFC Fight Night Clearwater undercard. Escoboza maintains a perfect record, while Jackson looks to rebound after recent losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Escoboza's 7-0 record shows consistent dominance. Jackson's 2-1 record includes recent losses and less experience in high-level BKFC matchups.
  • No prior matchups between these fighters according to available records[3][1].
  • No injury reports available through current sources.
  • Event hosted at OCC Road House & Museum, a frequent BKFC venue that could favor experienced competitors.
  • Escoboza seeks to protect undefeated status, Jackson fights to avoid third career loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Escoboza -190 / Jackson +145 Escoboza moneyline ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline John Escoboza 59%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: John Escoboza at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

John Escoboza by KO/TKO mid-late rounds

Predicted Score: Escoboza victory via 3rd round stoppage


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Isi Fitikefu vs. Zebaztian Kadestam Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Isi Fitikefu vs Zebaztian Kadestam – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok, Thailand

Game Overview

Isi Fitikefu faces off against Zebaztian Kadestam in a pivotal welterweight MMA match at ONE Fight Night 31. Both fighters seek to strengthen their case for a world title shot. Fitikefu aims to build on his recent winning streak, while Kadestam looks to extend his own streak with another knockout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Isi Fitikefu has recently shown resilience with back-to-back wins over Valmir da Silva and Hiroyuki Tetsuka. Zebaztian Kadestam is riding a three-fight knockout winning streak.
  • No previous matches between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • The fight is in a primetime U.S. slot, which may influence performance due to increased exposure and pressure.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as victory could secure a title shot against Christian Lee.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Isi Fitikefu: -125, Zebaztian Kadestam: -115 Zebaztian Kadestam Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zebaztian Kadestam 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Zebaztian Kadestam at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on Kadestam's superior knockout power and recent form, he might have a slight advantage, but Fitikefu's determined approach and home-ish crowd support could level the playing field.

Predicted Score: Decision or early knockout in favor of Zebaztian Kadestam


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Bruno Souza vs. Hector Fajardo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Bruno Souza vs Hector Fajardo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Live in Sacramento

Game Overview

A1 Combat 27 features a highly anticipated bantamweight championship bout between Bruno Souza and Hector Fajardo. Both fighters are known for their skill and tenacity, making this a closely watched event in the MMA community.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bruno Souza is favored due to his strong recent performance, while Hector Fajardo's determination and experience make him a formidable opponent.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Souza and Fajardo have been documented.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The event will be held at the Hard Rock Live in Sacramento, which could influence crowd support and energy.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with the championship title at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bruno Souza: -400, Hector Fajardo: 250 Bruno Souza ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bruno Souza -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on available data and odds, Bruno Souza is more likely to win due to his favorability in the moneyline odds.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches


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Sean Climaco vs. Akif Guluzada Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sean Climaco vs Akif Guluzada – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok, Thailand

Game Overview

Sean Climaco and Akif Guluzada are set to face off in a flyweight Muay Thai contest at ONE Fight Night 31. Climaco, known for his knockout power, seeks to derail Guluzada's rising career.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sean Climaco has a history of delivering show-stopping performances, while Akif Guluzada is an aggressive and explosive young fighter.
  • This is their first matchup.
  • No reported injuries.
  • The fight is in Bangkok, Thailand, which could potentially favor Guluzada due to experience in competing in high-pressure environments.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Climaco looking to prove his power against a rising star and Guluzada seeking to continue his victories.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sean Climaco: +175, Akif Guluzada: -260 Akif Guluzada ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Akif Guluzada -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Akif Guluzada at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sean Climaco has the power to upset Akif Guluzada, but Guluzada's youth and aggression might give him an edge.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Saemapetch Fairtex vs. Abdulla Dayakaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Saemapetch Fairtex vs Abdulla Dayakaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok, Thailand

Game Overview

High-stakes bantamweight Muay Thai clash between Saemapetch Fairtex (125+ wins, former title challenger) and Russian newcomer Abdulla Dayakaev (6-1 record in ONE Championship). Saemapetch aims to end a two-fight skid, while Dayakaev seeks to establish himself in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saemapetch has elite experience (125+ career wins, 9 ONE wins) but recent losses to Felipe Lobo and Nico Carrillo. Dayakaev is 6-1 with aggressive, physical style.
  • First meeting between fighters
  • No reported injuries
  • Saemapetch has intense training focus on simulating Dayakaev's aggression and fixing defensive lapses. Event occurs in Thailand (Saemapetch's home country).
  • Saemapetch stated 'my back is against the wall' and 'burned bridges' to win. Dayakaev aims for breakout performance in U.S. primetime debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dayakaev -270 / Saemapetch +180 Dayakaev moneyline ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Abdulla Dayakaev 82%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Abdulla Dayakaev at 82% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dayakaev earns decision victory (+180 value on Saemapetch carries risk). Saemapetch's technical edge vs. Dayakaev's physicality makes this closer than odds suggest, but Russian's pressure likely prevails.

Predicted Score: Unavailable (Muay Thai scoring system)


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