Match Analysis: Mohamad Osseili vs Ali Aliev – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-02
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Dubai, UAE
Game Overview
Light Heavyweight bout at Karate Combat 54 between Russia's Ali Aliev and Lebanon's Mohamad Osseili. Event features hybrid karate/MMA rules under Karate Combat's unique pit-based format.
Key Factors to Consider
- Limited historical performance data available. Aliev's -150 closing odds suggest perceived superiority; Osseili's +110 odds reflect underdog status with home-region advantage (Lebanese fighter in UAE venue)[1][5].
- No prior meeting between fighters. Both appear evenly matched in weight class, though Aliev's odds suggest bookmakers favor technical striking.
- No injury reports found via available sources.
- Event occurs in Dubai's controlled pit environment favoring technical strikers. Osseili's social media posts suggest strong preparation[3].
- Osseili positioning for regional recognition; Aliev potentially seeking Russian dominance in Karate Combat's expansion.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Aliev -110 / Osseili -130 | Ali Aliev | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ali Aliev 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ali Aliev at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ali Aliev by decision (confidence: 65%) – Odds discrepancy between sources (-150 vs -110) creates value opportunity if real odds closer to -150 implied probability (60%)
Predicted Score: 3-2 Aliev (under Karate Combat's 5-judge scoring system)