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Sam Alvey vs. Tyrone Spong Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sam Alvey vs Tyrone Spong – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dubai, UAE

Game Overview

This MMA match between Sam Alvey and Tyrone Spong will feature a heavyweight title fight in Karate Combat 54. Alvey, the current champion, faces Spong, a renowned kickboxer.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alvey's experience in MMA may clash with Spong's kickboxing prowess. Alvey's ability to take the fight to the ground could be crucial.
  • There are no prior matchups between Alvey and Spong, making this a unique challenge for both fighters.
  • There is no public information about any significant injuries affecting either fighter.
  • Spong's kickboxing background may influence his style, while Alvey's MMA experience could provide an edge in transitions.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Alvey defending his title and Spong seeking to claim the championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sam Alvey: 350, Tyrone Spong: -600 Tyrone Spong ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tyrone Spong -24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Spong's significant odds advantage, he is favored to win this matchup, leveraging his kickboxing skills.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for this format (MMA)


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Sam Alvey vs. Tyrone Spong Prediction

Match Analysis: Sam Alvey vs Tyrone Spong – Prediction Match Details Date: May 2, 2025 Time: 3:00 PM UTC Location: Dubai, UAE Game Overview This MMA match between Sam Alvey and Tyrone Spong will feature a heavyweight title fight in Karate Combat 54. Alvey, the current champion, faces Spong, a renowned kickboxer. Key Factors to […]

May 2, 2025 MMA/Boxing Sam Alvey Tyrone Spong

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Ryan Loder vs. Azamat Bekoev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

Middleweight bout featuring Ryan 'Man of Steel' Loder (8-1-0) vs Azamat 'Iron' Bekoev (19-3-0). Both fighters are coming off successful UFC debuts, with Loder showcasing wrestling pedigree and Bekoev demonstrating higher striking volume (6.85 vs 6.16 sig. strikes/min).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bekoev holds significant edge in professional experience (19 wins vs 8). Loder's wrestling background could neutralize Bekoev's striking advantage if he implements grappling-heavy approach.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • Event takes place in Loder's home country (USA vs Russia) but no clear venue advantage specified.
  • Critical matchup for establishing position in UFC middleweight division, with both fighters seeking second consecutive UFC win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bekoev -410 | Loder +320 Azamat Bekoev ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Bekoev -3.5 (-205) | Loder +3.5 (+150) Bekoev -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-115) | Under 2.5 (-115) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Azamat Bekoev -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bekoev by decision (60% confidence) – superior striking volume (6.85/min vs 6.16) and defensive metrics suggest he can outpoint Loder if kept standing. Potential for Loder submission upset if fight hits mat.

Predicted Score: Bekoev via unanimous decision (29-28)


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Gaston Bolanos vs. Quang Le Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC bantamweight bout between Gaston Bolanos and Quang Le is a significant matchup for both fighters seeking to solidify their positions in the UFC. Bolanos, with a record of 8-4, has shown strong striking skills, while Le, 8-2, has faced setbacks in his recent UFC appearances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bolanos has secured six of his eight wins via knockout and has a solid UFC performance record. Le, known for his knockout potential, has struggled in recent fights, losing to Chris Gutierrez and Xiao Long.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is part of a major UFC event, which could impact performance due to the high stakes.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win and improve their UFC standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bolanos: -130, Le: 110 Gaston Bolanos ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bolanos: -3.5 125, Le: 3.5 -175 Gaston Bolanos ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -166, Under: 2.5 130 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gaston Bolanos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gaston Bolanos at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gaston Bolanos is favored to win due to his consistent performances and well-rounded skills.

Predicted Score: Gaston Bolanos wins via decision (30-27 or similar).


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Thomas Petersen vs. Don'Tale Mayes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 11:20 PM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

The fight between Thomas Petersen and Don'Tale Mayes is a heavyweight bout taking place at UFC Fight Night on May 3, 2025. Both fighters are looking to rebound from recent losses. Petersen is known for his wrestling background, while Mayes brings a significant physical presence and knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Thomas Petersen has a record of 9-3 but has struggled with striking defense. Don'Tale Mayes has an 11-8 record and has been inconsistent, losing two straight fights.
  • There is no significant head-to-head data available for this match.
  • No notable injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated to start a winning streak after recent defeats.
  • High motivation on both sides to secure a victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Thomas Petersen: -255, Don'Tale Mayes: 215 Thomas Petersen Not available
Over/under over: -154, under: 124 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Thomas Petersen 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Thomas Petersen is favored to win due to his wrestling background and recent form, but Mayes' size and knockout power could pose a challenge.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights


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Juliana Miller vs. Ivana Petrovic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrovic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

Flyweight bout between Juliana Miller (4-3-0, 1-2 UFC), an aggressive striker with defensive vulnerabilities, and Ivana Petrovic (7-2-0, 1-2 UFC), a durable southpaw with superior reach and decision-oriented style. Miller's UFC future may hinge on this fight[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miller lands 3.31 significant strikes/min (45% accuracy) but absorbs 4.75/min (32% defense). Petrovic lands 2.00/min (39% accuracy) while allowing only 2.27/min (55% defense)[1].
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Miller's 18-month layoff vs. Petrovic's recent activity. 5'8" Petrovic holds 4" reach advantage[1][2].
  • Miller potentially fighting for UFC roster spot; Petrovic seeking second UFC win[2][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Petrovic -220 / Miller +185 Petrovic moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -210 / Under 2.5 +170 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ivana Petrovic 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ivana Petrovic at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Petrovic by decision (confidence: 75%) via superior defense, reach advantage, and Miller's tendency to fade against technical strikers[1][2][5].

Predicted Score: Petrovic via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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Royal Ryan Reber vs. Matt Guymon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Royal Ryan Reber vs Matt Guymon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 02, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Bantamweight co-main event between Ryan 'Royal' Reber (6-1-1) and Matt Guymon (2-0) at BKFC Fight Night Clearwater 2025. Reber seeks redemption after a recent championship bid loss, while Guymon aims to extend his two-fight BKFC win streak against ranked opposition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Reber: 2-2-1 in last 5 (KO loss to Alberto Blas in title fight). Guymon: 2-0 BKFC record (third-round TKO in last fight).
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Reber fights in hometown Clearwater with crowd support advantage.
  • Reber needs win to rebuild title contention. Guymon seeks career-defining victory over ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Reber -650 / Guymon +375 Royal Ryan Reber ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Royal Ryan Reber -19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Royal Ryan Reber at -19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Reber by KO/TKO in mid-to-late rounds. His superior BKFC experience (9 fights) and technical striking outweigh Guymon's momentum.

Predicted Score: Reber via TKO at 1:45 of Round 4


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Chachi Versace vs. Anthony Yost Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chachi Versace vs Anthony Yost – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BKFC event (specific venue not stated)

Game Overview

Flyweight BKFC professional debut for Chachi Versace vs Anthony Yost's 32nd combat sports appearance. Yost has significantly more experience (16+ years), while Versace is newer (fighting since 2022) but active as an amateur.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yost's veteran status (32 fights since 2009) vs Versace's raw activity (multiple amateur fights condensed since 2022)
  • No prior meetings
  • No injury reports available
  • Yost references 'enemy territory' (possible crowd disadvantage), Versace's professional debut nerves
  • Yost aims to 'put a local's dream on hold' (underdog mentality), Versace seeks successful pro debut

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yost +140 / Versace -180 Versace (bookmaker favorite) ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chachi Versace 54%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chachi Versace at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Yost via veteran savvy (confidence lower due to unknown BKFC transition factors)

Predicted Score: Yost via TKO (Round 2) – confidence 45% / Versace via decision (confidence 55% aligning with odds)


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Mirali Huseynov vs. Shimon Smotritsky Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mirali Huseynov vs Shimon Smotritsky – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Casino, Sacramento

Game Overview

Welterweight Championship bout between defending champion Mirali Huseynov (9-3) and challenger Shimon Smotritsky. Representing AKA and Extreme Couture respectively, both fighters are high-level prospects with aggressive styles. The event is A1 Combat 27.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Huseynov (champion) enters with a 9-3 record and championship experience. Smotritsky’s record isn’t specified, but Extreme Couture’s striking-focused training suggests technical prowess.
  • No prior fights between these competitors.
  • No injury reports mentioned in pre-fight materials.
  • AKA’s wrestling-heavy approach vs. Extreme Couture’s striking emphasis creates a classic grappler vs. striker dynamic.
  • Huseynov aims to defend his title, while Smotritsky seeks his first championship in a major promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Huseynov -135 / Smotritsky -105 Huseynov via decision ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirali Huseynov 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirali Huseynov at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Close fight with Huseynov’s championship experience and AKA’s grappling edge giving him a slight advantage. However, Smotritsky’s technical striking could counter effectively if he maintains distance.

Predicted Score: Huseynov via split decision (48-47)


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Samuel Samples vs. Michael Larrimore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Samuel Samples vs Michael Larrimore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

This BKFC featherweight bout features Samuel Samples (balanced power striker) against Michael Larrimore (quick starter with grappling pedigree). Samples relies on fight-ending power despite lower output, while Larrimore thrives in early knockouts but remains untested in deeper rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Samples: 2 wins (low volume/high power). Larrimore: Undefeated BKFC streak with early KOs[1][2]
  • First meeting between fighters[3][4]
  • No reported injuries[1][2]
  • Larrimore's local Florida advantage[2][5]
  • Both fighters aiming for title contention[1][2]

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Larrimore -245 | Samples +170 Larrimore ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Larrimore -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michael Larrimore at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Larrimore by KO/TKO within 3 rounds

Predicted Score: Larrimore via KO/TKO (Round 2)


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Zhang Lipeng vs. Lucas Gabriel Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Zhang Lipeng vs Lucas Gabriel – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok

Game Overview

Zhang Lipeng (35), a Chinese veteran with extensive experience, faces Brazilian rising star Lucas Gabriel (25) in a lightweight MMA bout at ONE Fight Night 31. Zhang aims to leverage his power and veteran savvy to derail Gabriel's momentum, while the Brazilian seeks to validate his hype with a statement win in his U.S. primetime debut.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zhang is coming off a dominant TKO victory over Hiroyuki Tetsuka[1][3], demonstrating elite finishing ability. Gabriel holds a 9-1 record with three consecutive ONE Friday Fights wins, including a comeback submission against Gadzhimurad Amirzhanov[3][5].
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Zhang's experience (50+ fights) contrasts with Gabriel's relative inexperience on main cards[2][3]. Gabriel's U.S. primetime debut pressure versus Zhang's comfort in high-profile bouts[3].
  • Zhang explicitly aims to 'show levels' and prove his championship readiness[2], while Gabriel seeks to establish himself as a lightweight contender[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriel -250 / Zhang +170 Lucas Gabriel ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds -150 / Under 1.5 +130 (estimated) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lucas Gabriel -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lucas Gabriel at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lucas Gabriel by submission (R2/R3) due to superior grappling pedigree and durability under pressure, outweighing Zhang's power advantage. However, Zhang's veteran counter-striking presents a live underdog threat.

Predicted Score: Lucas Gabriel def. Zhang Lipeng via submission (rear-naked choke), Round 2


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