Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-01
- Time: 5:10 PM UTC
- Location: Citi Field
Game Overview
Final game of a three-game series between the New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks, with the Mets favored at home. The Diamondbacks are positioned as underdogs, attempting to avoid a series sweep or secure a road victory.
Key Factors to Consider
- Limited current-season data available, but Mets favored at home with stronger moneyline odds (-162). Diamondbacks' recent performance (as underdogs) suggests potential resilience.
- No specific head-to-head stats provided, but Mets hold home-field advantage with odds reflecting stronger confidence in their lineup.
- No injury reports available in provided data.
- Game played at Citi Field (hitter-friendly dimensions may influence scoring). Weather conditions unstated but presumed neutral.
- Mets aim to leverage home advantage to close the series; Diamondbacks seek to avoid back-to-back losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | NYM: -162 | ARI: +136 | Mets ML | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | NYM -1.5 (+130) | ARI +1.5 (-156) | Diamondbacks +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 (-118) | Under 7.5 (-104) | Under 7.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets 46% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mets win by a narrow margin (1-2 runs), with moderate confidence due to home advantage and slightly superior pitching matchups implied by odds.
Predicted Score: NYM 4-3 ARI