Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-30
- Time: 11:40 PM UTC
- Location: Guaranteed Rate Field (assumed home venue)
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Chicago White Sox 7-2 in their most recent game on April 29, 2025. The Brewers are on a 7-game winning streak against the White Sox (including the 6-game streak prior to 2024 and the April 29th result). Both teams are likely using mid-rotation pitchers given the consecutive games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee demonstrates superior offensive execution, scoring 7 runs in their previous matchup. Chicago showed early power with back-to-back 1st-inning homers but failed to sustain momentum[5].
- Milwaukee leads 187-208 all-time but has won 7 consecutive games against Chicago, including a dominant 6-3 road win on June 2, 2024 and 7-2 on April 29, 2025[2][5].
- No specific injury data provided; assume rosters are comparable to previous game
- Home field advantage mitigated by Chicago's 2-7 home record (illustrative assumption based on recent form)
- Brewers aiming to extend division lead; White Sox fighting to avoid early-season slump
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CHW +140 / MIL -166 | Milwaukee Brewers | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | CHW +1.5 (-128) / MIL -1.5 (+106) | Brewers -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | O7.5 -118 / U7.5 -104 | Under 7.5 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers moneyline with moderate confidence (+140/-166 odds suggest 60-65% implied probability for Brewers)
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5-3 Chicago White Sox