Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-30
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Citi Field, Queens, New York
Game Overview
The Mets (21-9) host the Diamondbacks (15-14) riding an 8-game home win streak, including an 8-3 victory the previous day. Arizona starts Corbin Burnes (career 4.35 ERA vs NYM), while Brandon Waddell makes his first MLB appearance since 2023 for the Mets. Recent momentum favors New York, who displayed strong two-out hitting (4 two-out runs in the 2nd inning) and power (3 HRs in April 29 game including Lindor's first right-handed HR of 2025).
Key Factors to Consider
- Mets lead NL East with MLB's 2nd-best win percentage (.700), while Arizona ranks 4th in NL West. NYM's offense produced 11 runs across last two games with multi-position contributors (8-9 hitters delivered key RBIs on April 29).
- Mets won April 29 matchup 8-3, dominating Eduardo Rodriguez (3 HRs allowed). Burnes' career 4.35 ERA vs NYM introduces volatility.
- No injury specifics available, but Waddell's MLB return after nearly 2-year absence creates pitching uncertainty for NYM.
- Citi Field's dimensions (335ft to left, 408ft center) favor contact hitters – concerning given Mets' recent power surge. Wind conditions unreported.
Odds and Predictions
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Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
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Moneyline | N/A |
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⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
No prediction available.