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Rob Wilkinson vs. Phil Davis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Rob Wilkinson vs Phil Davis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 1, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Rob Wilkinson and Phil Davis is part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament. It features a competitive bout between two formidable fighters in the light heavyweight division. Phil Davis, known for his wrestling background and undefeated against finishes in his career, faces off against Rob Wilkinson, the 2022 PFL Light Heavyweight Champion known for his explosive power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rob Wilkinson has had a strong recent record with 19 wins, though he suffered a loss in the 2024 PFL Playoffs. Phil Davis brings a storied career with 24 wins and an exceptional wrestling background.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head encounter between Phil Davis and Rob Wilkinson.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Wilkinson's aggression and power might be countered by Davis's wrestling skills. Davis's two-year absence from competition could affect his performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated: Wilkinson seeks to rebound from his recent loss, while Davis aims for one final title run.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phil Davis: 120, Rob Wilkinson: -150 Rob Wilkinson Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rob Wilkinson 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rob Wilkinson at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rob Wilkinson is favored due to his recent form and power, but Phil Davis's experience and skills present a strong challenge.

Predicted Score: Rob Wilkinson by decision


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Hunter Azure vs. Alvaro Quiroga Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Hunter Azure vs Alvaro Quiroga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Hunter Azure and Alvaro Quiroga are set to face off in a highly anticipated MMA match. Hunter Azure, with a record of 11-4-0, is favored due to his experience and skill set. Alvaro Quiroga, a flyweight fighter from Team Altitud, has a record of 6 wins, with a mix of knockout, submission, and decision victories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hunter Azure's team seems more seasoned given his record. Alvaro Quiroga's team, however, is known for its tough training regimen.
  • There is no reported head-to-head history between the fighters.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Venue and crowd support might slightly favor Hunter Azure due to familiarity.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win, but Hunter Azure may have more pressure as the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -800 vs. +425 Hunter Azure ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hunter Azure -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Hunter Azure at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hunter Azure is predicted to win given his superior record and odds favoring him.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Hunter Azure


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Reyes Cortez vs. Ricardo Lamas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Reyes Cortez vs Ricardo Lamas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Location unspecified (data not available in provided sources)

Game Overview

MMA bout between Reyes Cortez (heavily favored) and veteran Ricardo Lamas (notable wins: Charles Oliveira, Cub Swanson). Analysis focuses on Cortez's implied dominance (-600 ML) versus Lamas' underdog potential (+350 ML).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cortez: Limited available data, but implied strong favoritism. Lamas: Known for victories against ranked opponents but likely past prime (age and recent record unavailable in sources).
  • No historical matchup confirmed (no head-to-head data found in sources).
  • No injury data available (not mentioned in provided sources).
  • Potential weight management concerns (general MMA factor, no specific data for this match).
  • Cortez likely defending/proving favorite status; Lamas potentially fighting for career relevance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cortez -600 / Lamas +350 Reyes Cortez moneyline ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Reyes Cortez -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Reyes Cortez at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Reyes Cortez by decision or late TKO (high confidence in moneyline, low confidence in finish method).

Predicted Score: Predicted outcome: Reyes Cortez victory (specific round/format unavailable)


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Richard Mahan vs. Patrick Cornett Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Richard Mahan vs Patrick Cornett – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Welterweight Division bout between Richard Mahan (2-1-0) and Patrick Cornett (2-2-0) in the United Fight League 6 event. Mahan represents Team Scottsdale as the home fighter, while Cornett fights for Team Orange County. The match occurs at a neutral venue despite Team affiliations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Team Scottsdale and Orange County's recent performances are unspecified, but both fighters enter with similar experience levels in professional MMA.
  • No prior head-to-head record found between Mahan and Cornett.
  • No injury reports disclosed. Cornett's Instagram post ('may be my last fight') suggests potential retirement considerations but no physical limitations.
  • Event occurs at Westworld Scottsdale, which may provide a slight crowd advantage for Mahan as the designated 'home' fighter.
  • Cornett's social media hints at this potentially being his final fight, which could drive an aggressive approach. Mahan seeks to defend home-region credibility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mahan -450 | Cornett +275 Mahan by decision ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Mahan -3.5 | Cornett +3.5 (estimated) Mahan covers spread via decision ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds (-150) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+120) (hypothetical based on trends) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Richard Mahan 193%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Richard Mahan at 193% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 70% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richard Mahan wins by decision (confidence: 70%) due to slight record advantage and home-region support. Cornett's higher risk-taking could lead to a submission upset.

Predicted Score: Mahan via unanimous decision (29-28 across all scorecards)


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Randall Wallace vs. Kyle Stewart Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Randall Wallace vs Kyle Stewart – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Randall Wallace (22-10-1) faces off against Kyle Stewart (15-6) in a middleweight contest at UFL 6. The event is part of a series led by legendary MMA figures like Henry Cejudo and Quinton 'Rampage' Jackson, emphasizing explosive fights and strategic coaching.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Randall Wallace comes from Team Orange County, known for his dangerous finishing skills. Kyle Stewart represents Team Scottsdale, with a notable record in MMA.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head match between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • UFL's unique scoring system encourages fighters to finish fights quickly, potentially impacting their strategies. The event will be streamed live on Rumble.
  • Kyle Stewart is competing for the final time in MMA, which may increase his motivation to perform well.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kyle Stewart: 275, Randall Wallace: -450 Randall Wallace Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Randall Wallace -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Randall Wallace at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Randall Wallace is favored to win due to his experience and UFL's emphasis on explosive finishes.

Predicted Score: Randall Wallace wins via TKO in Round 2


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Geno Morelli vs. Austin Wourms Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Geno Morelli vs Austin Wourms – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Westworld Scottsdale – Equidome

Game Overview

Austin Wourms (7-5-0 record) faces undefeated prospect Geno Morelli (4-0-0) in a welterweight bout at UFL 6. The match is part of the Team Scottsdale vs. Team Orange County event, scheduled for 3 rounds[3][4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Geno Morelli maintains a flawless professional record (4-0-0), indicating superior consistency and technical prowess compared to Wourms' 7-5-0 record[4][5]. Wourms' recent performance history shows vulnerability (losses in 5 professional bouts), while Morelli has never been defeated in sanctioned competition[3][4].
  • No prior meeting between fighters[1][3][4]
  • No injury reports available
  • UFL 6 represents a team-based event format, potentially adding psychological pressure for both fighters to perform for their respective squads (Team Scottsdale vs. Team Orange County)[3][5].
  • Morelli seeks to preserve his undefeated status and rising prospect status. Wourms aims to rebound from a .500 career record and potential gatekeeper status[4][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin Wourms +225 / Geno Morelli -350 Geno Morelli ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Geno Morelli -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Geno Morelli at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Geno Morelli by decision (confidence 75%) – Likely outcome based on technical superiority and undefeated record. Wourms' experience may push fight beyond 1.5 rounds, but Morelli's cleaner record suggests consistent scoring across three rounds[3][4][5].

Predicted Score: Geno Morelli via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)


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Arman Tsarukyan vs. Makkasharip Zaynukov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Arman Tsarukyan vs Makkasharip Zaynukov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dubai (Karate Combat 54)

Game Overview

The match is a grappling contest between Arman Tsarukyan, an experienced UFC lightweight, and Makkasharip Zaynukov, a seasoned martial artist and teammate of UFC champion Islam Makhachev. This event is part of the Karate Combat 54 and the Pit Submission Series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tsarukyan has a strong background in wrestling and grappling, which could give him an edge in this submission-focused match. Zaynukov, with a record of 16-4 and notable submissions, is also a formidable opponent.
  • There is no prior head-to-head match between Tsarukyan and Zaynukov to analyze.
  • Tsarukyan recently withdrew from a UFC event due to an injury, but there are no reports indicating he is currently injured.
  • Given the nature of a grappling match, ground skills will be crucial. The presence of Islam Makhachev in Zaynukov's corner could provide psychological support.
  • Both fighters are motivated to prove themselves in this alternate format of martial arts competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tsarukyan: -550, Zaynukov: 325 Tsarukyan ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arman Tsarukyan 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arman Tsarukyan at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tsarukyan is likely to win due to his strong grappling background.

Predicted Score: Given the grappling nature, the outcome is not scored traditionally, but Tsarukyan is favored to win by submission.


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Sergey Veselkin vs. Bruno Chaves Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sergey Veselkin vs Bruno Chaves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dubai, UAE

Game Overview

A heavyweight bout between Sergey Veselkin and Bruno Chaves at Karate Combat 54, promising an intense fight in the heavyweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters are seasoned in martial arts, but specific performance metrics are not readily available.
  • No prior matchups are reported between Veselkin and Chaves.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event is held in a neutral venue, which might not significantly favor either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Veselkin possibly having a slight edge due to favoring odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sergey Veselkin (-400), Bruno Chaves (+250) Sergey Veselkin to win ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sergey Veselkin 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sergey Veselkin at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sergey Veselkin is favored due to odds but Bruno Chaves has potential for an upset.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Oussama Assli vs. Naiimov Firdavszhon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Oussama Assli vs Naiimov Firdavszhon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Karate Combat (specific venue not listed)

Game Overview

Welterweight matchup in Karate Combat league. Assli enters as the betting favorite (-215) with Firdavszhon as the underdog (+165). Both fighters are early in their professional careers, with Firdavszhon holding a 1-0 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Limited performance data available. Firdavszhon shows potential with undefeated record, while Assli's experience level remains unclear from available records.
  • No prior meetings between fighters
  • No injury reports found
  • Potential psychological edge for Firdavszhon entering his second professional fight. Assli appears more established based on social media presence.
  • High stakes for both: Firdavszhon seeks to maintain undefeated status, Assli aims to validate favorite status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Assli -215 / Firdavszhon +165 Assli moneyline ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oussama Assli 72%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oussama Assli at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Assli by decision – Superior technical striking expected to overcome Firdavszhon's aggression (65% confidence)

Predicted Score: Technical Decision (Karate Combat scoring system)


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Sam Alvey vs. Tyrone Spong Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sam Alvey vs Tyrone Spong – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dubai, UAE

Game Overview

This MMA match between Sam Alvey and Tyrone Spong will feature a heavyweight title fight in Karate Combat 54. Alvey, the current champion, faces Spong, a renowned kickboxer.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alvey's experience in MMA may clash with Spong's kickboxing prowess. Alvey's ability to take the fight to the ground could be crucial.
  • There are no prior matchups between Alvey and Spong, making this a unique challenge for both fighters.
  • There is no public information about any significant injuries affecting either fighter.
  • Spong's kickboxing background may influence his style, while Alvey's MMA experience could provide an edge in transitions.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Alvey defending his title and Spong seeking to claim the championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sam Alvey: 350, Tyrone Spong: -600 Tyrone Spong ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tyrone Spong -24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Spong's significant odds advantage, he is favored to win this matchup, leveraging his kickboxing skills.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for this format (MMA)


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