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Macirley Alves vs. Vilson Ndregjoni Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Macirley Alves vs Vilson Ndregjoni – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not available

Game Overview

Marcirley Alves and Vilson Ndregjoni are set to face off in a bantamweight bout as part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament. Alves holds a record of 12-4 with 10 KO wins, while Ndregjoni has a record of 11-4. Both fighters are known for their aggressive styles, which could lead to an exciting and potentially explosive match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marcirley Alves has shown strong knockout ability, which could be a key factor in this fight. Vilson Ndregjoni, on the other hand, may rely on his experience and technical skills to outmaneuver Alves.
  • There is no previous head-to-head match between these fighters to draw upon for historical data.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • The match's venue and audience could influence fighter performance, but specific details are not available.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, given the tournament setting and the potential for advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Marcirley Alves to win due to his strong knockout record.

Predicted Score: Alves wins by KO in round 2.


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Macirley Alves vs. Vilson Ndregjoni Prediction

Match Analysis: Macirley Alves vs Vilson Ndregjoni – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-04-12 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: Not available Game Overview Marcirley Alves and Vilson Ndregjoni are set to face off in a bantamweight bout as part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament. Alves holds a record of 12-4 with 10 KO wins, while […]

April 12, 2025 Macirley Alves MMA/Boxing Vilson Ndregjoni

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Cameron Smotherman vs. Serhiy Sidey Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Cameron Smotherman faces Serhiy Sidey in a UFC Bantamweight match. Smotherman enters with a record of 12-4, while Sidey has a record of 11-2. This fight features contrasting styles, with Smotherman focusing on significant strikes and Sidey having a notable submission threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Smotherman has a higher strike volume, averaging 6.25 significant strikes per minute, compared to Sidey's 4.87. However, Sidey excels in submission attempts, averaging 1.4 every 15 minutes.
  • This is their first match-up.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight's location at Wells Fargo Arena may have minimal impact as both fighters are accustomed to various environments.
  • Both fighters will be highly motivated, given the stakes in the UFC Bantamweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cameron Smotherman: +114, Serhiy Sidey: -135 Serhiy Sidey ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Cameron Smotherman: +3.5 -175, Serhiy Sidey: -3.5 125 Serhiy Sidey ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -188, Under: 2.5 145 Under ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Serhiy Sidey -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Serhiy Sidey is likely to win due to his strong submission game and slight edge in UFC performance so far.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Serhiy Sidey


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Jeremy Stephens vs. Mason Jones Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Jeremy Stephens returns to the UFC to face Mason Jones in a lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo. Stephens has a competitive track record in MMA and additional experience in boxing and bare-knuckle fighting, while Jones is favored due to his recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jeremy Stephens has had varied success across MMA, boxing, and bare-knuckle fighting. Mason Jones is entering with strong momentum.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No specific injury reports for either fighter are mentioned.
  • The event takes place in Des Moines, which might favor Stephens due to potential crowd support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Stephens seeking a strong comeback in the UFC and Jones looking to maintain his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stephens: +425, Jones: -575 Mason Jones ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Stephens: 3.5 +180, Jones: -3.5 -250 Mason Jones to win by decision or finish ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mason Jones -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mason Jones is predicted to win due to his strong current form and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Mason Jones by TKO/KO in the second round


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Yana Santos vs. Miesha Tate Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Women's Bantamweight Bout between seasoned veteran Miesha Tate (20-9) and Yana Santos (15-8, 1NC). Tate returns with wrestling-focused experience, while Santos brings striking versatility.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tate holds notable wins over elite competition but is 1-2 in her last three bouts. Santos shows consistency with a 3-2 UFC record, including recent technical decision wins.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • Event streams live on ESPN+, with potential judging scrutiny due to Iowa's limited UFC event history.
  • Tate seeks redemption after recent losses; Santos aims to climb rankings with high-profile win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tate -142 / Santos +120 Miesha Tate ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Tate -3.5 (+150) / Santos +3.5 (-205) Santos +3.5 covers ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-395) / Under 2.5 (+280) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miesha Tate -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miesha Tate by decision (confidence based on grappling control and cage experience)

Predicted Score: Decision victory (3-round bout)


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Marina Rodriguez vs. Gillian Robertson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

Strawweight bout between No. 9-ranked Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2) and No. 12 Gillian Robertson (15-8) at UFC Fight Night prelims. Rodriguez (1-4 in last 5) faces Robertson (5-1 in last 6), who thrives since returning to 115lbs in 2023.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodriguez averages 4.64 significant strikes/min (46% accuracy) with 55% defense. Robertson lands 2.89/min (48% accuracy) with 56% defense. Rodriguez struggles against grapplers, while Robertson excels in ground control.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Strawweight division is wide open; winner could enter title conversation. Rodriguez’s recent split-decision losses suggest judging trends may favor activity over control time.
  • Robertson (-305 favorite) seeks sixth win in seven fights to secure Top 10 status. Rodriguez (+245 underdog) fights to avoid three-fight skid and career decline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Robertson -305 / Rodriguez +245 Robertson ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Robertson -3.5 (-120) / Rodriguez +3.5 (-110) Robertson -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-238) / Under 2.5 (+180) Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gillian Robertson -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Robertson by decision (70% confidence) via superior grappling control and Rodriguez’s declining takedown defense. Rodriguez’s striking edge unlikely to offset Robertson’s ground dominance over three rounds.

Predicted Score: Robertson by unanimous decision (29-28 x3)


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Ryan Loder vs. Azamat Bekoev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

Middleweight bout featuring Ryan 'Man of Steel' Loder (8-1-0) vs Azamat 'Iron' Bekoev (19-3-0). Both fighters are coming off successful UFC debuts, with Loder showcasing wrestling pedigree and Bekoev demonstrating higher striking volume (6.85 vs 6.16 sig. strikes/min).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bekoev holds significant edge in professional experience (19 wins vs 8). Loder's wrestling background could neutralize Bekoev's striking advantage if he implements grappling-heavy approach.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • Event takes place in Loder's home country (USA vs Russia) but no clear venue advantage specified.
  • Critical matchup for establishing position in UFC middleweight division, with both fighters seeking second consecutive UFC win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bekoev -410 | Loder +320 Azamat Bekoev ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Bekoev -3.5 (-205) | Loder +3.5 (+150) Bekoev -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-115) | Under 2.5 (-115) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Azamat Bekoev -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bekoev by decision (60% confidence) – superior striking volume (6.85/min vs 6.16) and defensive metrics suggest he can outpoint Loder if kept standing. Potential for Loder submission upset if fight hits mat.

Predicted Score: Bekoev via unanimous decision (29-28)


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Gaston Bolanos vs. Quang Le Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC bantamweight bout between Gaston Bolanos and Quang Le is a significant matchup for both fighters seeking to solidify their positions in the UFC. Bolanos, with a record of 8-4, has shown strong striking skills, while Le, 8-2, has faced setbacks in his recent UFC appearances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bolanos has secured six of his eight wins via knockout and has a solid UFC performance record. Le, known for his knockout potential, has struggled in recent fights, losing to Chris Gutierrez and Xiao Long.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is part of a major UFC event, which could impact performance due to the high stakes.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win and improve their UFC standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bolanos: -130, Le: 110 Gaston Bolanos ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bolanos: -3.5 125, Le: 3.5 -175 Gaston Bolanos ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -166, Under: 2.5 130 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gaston Bolanos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gaston Bolanos at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gaston Bolanos is favored to win due to his consistent performances and well-rounded skills.

Predicted Score: Gaston Bolanos wins via decision (30-27 or similar).


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Thomas Petersen vs. Don'Tale Mayes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 11:20 PM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

The fight between Thomas Petersen and Don'Tale Mayes is a heavyweight bout taking place at UFC Fight Night on May 3, 2025. Both fighters are looking to rebound from recent losses. Petersen is known for his wrestling background, while Mayes brings a significant physical presence and knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Thomas Petersen has a record of 9-3 but has struggled with striking defense. Don'Tale Mayes has an 11-8 record and has been inconsistent, losing two straight fights.
  • There is no significant head-to-head data available for this match.
  • No notable injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated to start a winning streak after recent defeats.
  • High motivation on both sides to secure a victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Thomas Petersen: -255, Don'Tale Mayes: 215 Thomas Petersen Not available
Over/under over: -154, under: 124 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Thomas Petersen 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Thomas Petersen is favored to win due to his wrestling background and recent form, but Mayes' size and knockout power could pose a challenge.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights


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Juliana Miller vs. Ivana Petrovic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrovic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

Flyweight bout between Juliana Miller (4-3-0, 1-2 UFC), an aggressive striker with defensive vulnerabilities, and Ivana Petrovic (7-2-0, 1-2 UFC), a durable southpaw with superior reach and decision-oriented style. Miller's UFC future may hinge on this fight[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miller lands 3.31 significant strikes/min (45% accuracy) but absorbs 4.75/min (32% defense). Petrovic lands 2.00/min (39% accuracy) while allowing only 2.27/min (55% defense)[1].
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Miller's 18-month layoff vs. Petrovic's recent activity. 5'8" Petrovic holds 4" reach advantage[1][2].
  • Miller potentially fighting for UFC roster spot; Petrovic seeking second UFC win[2][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Petrovic -220 / Miller +185 Petrovic moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -210 / Under 2.5 +170 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ivana Petrovic 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ivana Petrovic at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Petrovic by decision (confidence: 75%) via superior defense, reach advantage, and Miller's tendency to fade against technical strikers[1][2][5].

Predicted Score: Petrovic via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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Royal Ryan Reber vs. Matt Guymon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Royal Ryan Reber vs Matt Guymon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 02, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum, Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Bantamweight co-main event between Ryan 'Royal' Reber (6-1-1) and Matt Guymon (2-0) at BKFC Fight Night Clearwater 2025. Reber seeks redemption after a recent championship bid loss, while Guymon aims to extend his two-fight BKFC win streak against ranked opposition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Reber: 2-2-1 in last 5 (KO loss to Alberto Blas in title fight). Guymon: 2-0 BKFC record (third-round TKO in last fight).
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Reber fights in hometown Clearwater with crowd support advantage.
  • Reber needs win to rebuild title contention. Guymon seeks career-defining victory over ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Reber -650 / Guymon +375 Royal Ryan Reber ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Royal Ryan Reber -19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Royal Ryan Reber at -19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Reber by KO/TKO in mid-to-late rounds. His superior BKFC experience (9 fights) and technical striking outweigh Guymon's momentum.

Predicted Score: Reber via TKO at 1:45 of Round 4


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