Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 6, 2025
- Time: 6:10 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Cincinnati Reds 8-2, powered by Jackson Chourio's two home runs and five RBIs. Chad Patrick secured his first major league win with a strong performance on the mound.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Brewers have shown significant improvement after a slow start, winning five of their last six games. The Reds, meanwhile, have lost five of six.
- Recent matchups have seen both teams alternating wins, with the Reds taking the fourth game of their series before losing the final game.
- Matt McLain was out for the Reds with a hamstring injury. Alexis Díaz's status may affect the Reds' bullpen.
- Temperature at game time was around 43°F with a wind of 5 mph from ENE.
- The Brewers aim to continue their winning momentum while the Reds seek to reverse their losing trend.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | EV Pick |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -142 / 120 | Milwaukee Brewers | ★★★☆☆ 55% | Milwaukee Brewers 2% |
Spread | -1.5 +146 / 1.5 -176 | Milwaukee Brewers | ★★★☆☆ 53% | Milwaukee Brewers -100% |
Over_under | 8.5 +100 / 8.5 -122 | Under 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 51% | Under 8.5 -42% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 -4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win, based on recent form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5, Cincinnati Reds 3