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Aaron Aby vs. Mohammed Walid Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Aaron Aby vs Mohammed Walid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-05
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: N/A

Game Overview

Aaron Aby, known for his BJJ skills and tough fights despite living with cystic fibrosis, faces Mohammed Walid in a flyweight bout. Aby has a strong record with 16 wins, including multiple submissions, while Walid has 7 wins with no draws. Aby's experience and skill set could be decisive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aaron Aby has a more extensive and successful career with a higher number of wins and submissions. Mohammed Walid lacks experience compared to Aby.
  • No previous head-to-head match data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight format and rules could influence strategies, with Aby potentially focusing on grappling.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Aby's background and skills might provide a psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Aby: -250, Walid: +210 (hypothetical odds) Aaron Aby β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80% Aaron Aby -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Aaron Aby is likely to win due to his extensive experience and BJJ expertise.

Predicted Score: N/A (MMA does not use scoring like other sports)


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Richard Kallos vs. Tom Wright Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Richard Kallos vs Tom Wright – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Newcastle, Cage Warriors 193

Game Overview

Bantamweight MMA bout between Richard Kallos and Tom Wright at Cage Warriors 193. Both fighters are experienced with similar physical stats; fight scheduled for 13 September 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Richard Kallos has a record of 4-2 with 4 submission wins and 1 KO/TKO loss, showing strong grappling. Tom Wright is 2-2 with a balanced KO/TKO and submission wins, but less overall experience and recent form is split.
  • No direct H2H records available, but Kallos has more wins overall and a higher finishing rate via submission.
  • No reported current injuries for either fighter.
  • Fight is at a neutral venue, Newcastle; no home advantage. Both fighters weigh similarly with slight weight advantage to Wright.
  • Kallos, with a better career record, looks motivated to maintain winning momentum; Wright needs a win to stabilize his record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Richard Kallos: +145, Tom Wright: -190 Tom Wright β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Tom Wright -1.5 rounds: -135, Richard Kallos +1.5 rounds: +115 Tom Wright -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tom Wright -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Tom Wright at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tom Wright to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Tom Wright wins by decision after full 3 rounds


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Matthew Elliott vs. Alexis Tsarmantidis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Matthew Elliott vs Alexis Tsarmantidis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle

Game Overview

Matthew Elliott and Alexis Tsarmantidis face off in a lightweight bout at Cage Warriors 193. Elliott holds a superior record (5-2 vs Tsarmantidis' 4-2) and a notable edge in submissions, while Tsarmantidis shows some power in knockouts but with fewer fights overall. The matchup features two aggressive fighters with different finishing styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Elliott has a stronger recent performance with 5 wins against 2 losses compared to Tsarmantidis' 4 wins and 2 losses. Elliott has shown a balanced finishing ability with submissions and decisions, while Tsarmantidis has more KOs but also a recent shorter winning streak.
  • No official head-to-head matchups found. Overall records favor Elliott with more professional wins and submission finishes.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter before this bout.
  • Fight takes place at Vertu Motors Arena in Newcastle, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. The undercard and environment appear standard without notable disruptions.
  • Elliott likely motivated to extend his winning momentum and solidify lightweight status. Tsarmantidis, as underdog with high odds (+650), has incentive to prove himself and upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Elliott -950 / Tsarmantidis +650 Matthew Elliott β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread -1.5 rounds Elliott -200 / +1.5 rounds Tsarmantidis +150 Matthew Elliott -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110 / Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Matthew Elliott -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Matthew Elliott at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Matthew Elliott Moneyline win

Predicted Score: Elliott wins by submission in round 2


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Giovanni Fernandez vs. Sam Kelly Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Giovanni Fernandez vs Sam Kelly – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors 193, Newcastle

Game Overview

The bantamweight bout between Giovanni Fernandez and Sam Kelly is a 3-round main card fight part of Cage Warriors 193. Fernandez (6-4) exhibits a varied finish profile with submissions being his strength, while Kelly (3-3) shows a more balanced but less decisive record. Kelly is favored on the moneyline at -230, with Fernandez as the underdog at +160.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fernandez is in solid recent form with 6 wins mainly via submission (40%) and has a higher activity in finishes. Kelly has a more mixed record at 3-3 and has lost 3 of his last 6, showing inconsistency.
  • No recorded previous matchups between Fernandez and Kelly, making this fight a true test of styles without direct prior insight.
  • No current injuries reported for either fighter, indicating both are likely at full capacity.
  • The fight is held in Newcastle under Cage Warriors promotion, with no significant external conditions or travel disadvantages reported for either fighter.
  • Fernandez appears motivated to solidify his standing through impressive finishes, whereas Kelly looks to rebound from recent inconsistent performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Giovanni Fernandez: +160, Sam Kelly: -230 Sam Kelly β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Kelly -1.5 rounds: -140, Fernandez +1.5 rounds: +120 Sam Kelly -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sam Kelly -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Sam Kelly at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Kelly to win via decision

Predicted Score: Sam Kelly wins by unanimous decision, 30-27


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Simone Patrizi vs. Chris Bungard Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Simone Patrizi vs Chris Bungard – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Newcastle, England

Game Overview

This lightweight Cage Warriors 193 main card bout features Chris Bungard from Scotland facing Simone Patrizi from Italy. Both fighters bring experience with Bungard having 31 pro fights (21-10-0) dominated by submissions, while Patrizi holds a solid record and similar skill set.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Bungard has demonstrated a strong grappling and submission game, with 55% of his wins by submission and an average fight time indicating grinding late rounds. Patrizi's recent form shows resilience but less finishing power. Both fighters are well-prepared for a 3-round fight.
  • No direct previous matchups between Bungard and Patrizi are found, making this a tactical contest of styles and adjustments in real time.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fighting in Newcastle favors Bungard since it is in his home region promoting possible crowd support. Patrizi is traveling internationally, which can impact acclimation but is experienced enough to handle.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a signature win on a prominent Cage Warriors card. Bungard seeks to leverage home advantage while Patrizi aims to boost his standing in a major lightweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Bungard: -115, Simone Patrizi: -125 Chris Bungard β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Chris Bungard -1.5 rounds: +130, Simone Patrizi +1.5 rounds: -150 Chris Bungard -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Simone Patrizi -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Simone Patrizi at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Bungard via decision

Predicted Score: Chris Bungard wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Connor Patterson vs. Jake McHugh Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Connor Patterson vs Jake McHugh – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle, England

Game Overview

Featherweight main card fight at Cage Warriors 193 between Connor Patterson and Jake McHugh scheduled for September 13, 2025. Both fighters have shown mixed recent form, with Patterson favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Connor Patterson has a slightly more consistent recent record with winning momentum, whereas Jake McHugh shows more variability in performance. Patterson’s striking accuracy and control in grappling exchanges marginally outpace McHugh’s recent stats.
  • No recorded direct head-to-head fights between Connor Patterson and Jake McHugh, making this a first matchup with no direct performance comparison.
  • No publicly reported current injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • The fight takes place at a home-country venue for both fighters from the UK, neutralizing potential crowd advantage. No known external distractions or issues affecting performance.
  • Both fighters are motivated to establish status in Cage Warriors featherweight division, but Patterson’s recent upward trajectory in rankings suggests slightly higher motivation and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Connor Patterson -135, Jake McHugh -105 Connor Patterson β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Connor Patterson -1.5 rounds (-120), Jake McHugh +1.5 rounds (-110) Connor Patterson -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-115), Under 2.5 rounds (-105) Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Connor Patterson 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Connor Patterson at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Connor Patterson to win by moneyline; Patterson to cover -1.5 rounds spread; fight to go under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Connor Patterson wins by TKO in round 2


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Andrew Fisher vs. Orlando Wilson Prins Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Andrew Fisher vs Orlando Wilson Prins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors event, Newcastle (assumed)

Game Overview

Lightweight division MMA bout between Andrew Fisher (England) and Orlando Wilson Prins (Netherlands) as part of Cage Warriors 193 main card.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Orlando Wilson Prins holds a significant odds advantage (-140) versus Andrew Fisher (+100), suggesting better recent form or perceived skill. Both fighters have experience but Prins is favored by bookmakers.
  • No evidence of previous direct matchups found; thus, no direct history to analyze.
  • No injury reports currently available for either fighter, indicating both should be at full strength.
  • Fight location in Newcastle may slightly favor Andrew Fisher due to proximity and home country advantage (England), but this is not heavily reflected in the odds.
  • As a Cage Warriors main card lightweight bout, both fighters have significant motivation to establish themselves at European level, but Prins's odds suggest greater market confidence in his motivation and readiness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Andrew Fisher: +100, Orlando Wilson Prins: -140 Orlando Wilson Prins β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Prins -1.5: -120, Fisher +1.5: +100 Orlando Wilson Prins -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Orlando Wilson Prins -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Orlando Wilson Prins at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Orlando Wilson Prins to win

Predicted Score: Orlando Wilson Prins wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Ieuan Mackenzie vs. Keir Harvie Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ieuan Mackenzie vs Keir Harvie – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Newcastle, Cage Warriors 193

Game Overview

The bantamweight main card fight between Ieuan Mackenzie and Keir Harvie features two well-matched fighters competing in Cage Warriors 193 in Newcastle. The bout is expected to be competitive given recent form and fighting styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ieuan Mackenzie has shown solid recent form with consistent striking accuracy and good takedown defense. Keir Harvie, slightly taller and with longer reach, has recently improved his grappling and cardio, which may give him an edge in later rounds.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Mackenzie and Harvie, so no direct comparative history is available.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are at full strength.
  • The fight takes place in Newcastle, which may favor Mackenzie slightly due to proximity and fan support, although both fighters are accustomed to Cage Warriors settings.
  • Keir Harvie, at 27 years old, appears motivated to climb the Cage Warriors ladder, having lost a close split decision in his last fight. Mackenzie seeks to maintain his winning streak and increase his promotion visibility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Keir Harvie -155, Ieuan Mackenzie 115 Keir Harvie β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Keir Harvie -1.5 (+140), Ieuan Mackenzie +1.5 (-160) Keir Harvie -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Keir Harvie -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Keir Harvie at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Keir Harvie to win via decision

Predicted Score: Keir Harvie wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Gjoni Palokaj vs. Jakub Batfalsky Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Gjoni Palokaj vs Jakub Batfalsky – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ZAG Arena, Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

A featherweight matchup in Oktagon MMA 75 between Gjoni Palokaj and Jakub Batfalsky. Both fighters are progressing prospects, with Palokaj holding an undefeated professional record compared to Batfalsky’s recent rise. This fight marks a key opportunity for Palokaj to solidify his position as a title contender stepping in on short notice, while Batfalsky looks to leverage his reach and youth advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palokaj has an 11-3 record with a balanced finishing ability: 4 KOs, 2 submissions, 5 decisions. Batfalsky has a 8-1 record with similar finishing stats but appears less tested at the higher level. Palokaj’s recent fights show strong form and resilience training out of Fight School Hannover.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between these two fighters; this will be their first encounter, adding an element of unpredictability.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout. Palokaj stepped in on two weeks’ notice but has been training at a high level without noted physical concerns.
  • The fight is hosted in Hannover, Germany, which is Palokaj's training base and environment, potentially giving him slight home-crowd and comfort advantages. Batfalsky’s youth and reach (183 cm vs. Palokaj’s 173 cm) present external physical challenges to Palokaj.
  • Palokaj is highly motivated to prove himself for a title shot, stepping up on short notice. Batfalsky, as a younger contender, aims to make a statement with a win over a highly regarded undefeated fighter, presenting high personal incentive for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gjoni Palokaj: -120, Jakub Batfalsky: -120 Gjoni Palokaj β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Palokaj -1.5 rounds: +110, Batfalsky +1.5 rounds: -130 Palokaj -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gjoni Palokaj -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Gjoni Palokaj at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Gjoni Palokaj to win

Predicted Score: Gjoni Palokaj wins via decision after 3 rounds


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David Dvorak vs. Mohammed Walid Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: David Dvorak vs Mohammed Walid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ZAG Arena, Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

Flyweight bout at Oktagon MMA 75 between UFC veteran David Dvorak and rising contender Mohammed Walid over 3 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • David Dvorak holds a more extensive and higher-level record (20-6-0), showing UFC experience, while Mohammed Walid is an undefeated (11-0-0) regional top flyweight with momentum. Dvorak has faced tougher competition overall.
  • No recorded head-to-head matchups exist between Dvorak and Walid.
  • No reports of injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight is scheduled in a neutral venue in Germany, minimizing travel disruption for both fighters. Event part of prominent Oktagon MMA card.
  • Walid is motivated as the top local flyweight prospect looking to make a statement; Dvorak aims to reaffirm his UFC-caliber credentials and secure another title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -600 / +350 David Dvorak β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Dvorak -1.5 rounds (-140) / Walid +1.5 rounds (+120) Dvorak -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110) / Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline David Dvorak -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: David Dvorak at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

David Dvorak to win by decision

Predicted Score: David Dvorak wins via unanimous decision after full 3 rounds


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