Logan Storley, an interim Bellator welterweight champion with notable wins, faces Joseph Luciano, who replaces Magomed Umalatov in the PFL World Tournament. Storley's wrestling background and recent performances make him a strong favorite.
Key Factors to Consider
Logan Storley has a strong wrestling background and recent successes in MMA. Joseph Luciano, while a capable fighter, is stepping into a daunting task.
No head-to-head history between the two fighters.
No reported injuries affecting the match.
The sudden change in opponent could affect Luciano's preparation.
Both fighters are highly motivated, but Luciano faces significant pressure as an underdog stepping into a major bout on short notice.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-350 for Logan Storley, +275 for Joseph Luciano
Logan Storley
★★★★☆ 80%
Predicted Outcome
Logan Storley is likely to win due to his superior wrestling skills and recent performance history.
Predicted Score: Decision victory for Logan Storley
0 0
0
Share
Logan Storley vs. Joseph Luciano Prediction
Match Analysis: Logan Storley vs Joseph Luciano – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-04-04 Time: 2:15 AM UTC Location: Universal Studios Florida Game Overview Logan Storley, an interim Bellator welterweight champion with notable wins, faces Joseph Luciano, who replaces Magomed Umalatov in the PFL World Tournament. Storley's wrestling background and recent performances make him a strong […]
A closely matched bantamweight fight between Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (27 years, 125.5 lbs) and Terrance Saeteurn (age and full physical details undisclosed but similar weight 124.8 lbs), both undefeated with 8-1 records, meeting for the first time on August 22, 2025, during the Road to UFC event in Shanghai.
Key Factors to Consider
Both fighters have identical 8 wins and 1 loss records, showing strong recent form. Nyamjargal exhibits a slight edge in submission wins (5 vs. 2), indicating ground dominance; Terrance has a slight edge in KO/TKOs (3 vs. 2). Both have finished fights decisively and possess similar physical stats with a minor height and reach advantage to Nyamjargal.
No previous head-to-head bouts between Nyamjargal Tumendemberel and Terrance Saeteurn, making this a fresh matchup with no direct historical data to leverage.
No reported injuries to either fighter ahead of the bout; both appear fully fit based on available information.
Fight took a short-notice opponent change for Terrance, as he replaced Rei Tsuruya, potentially impacting preparation but also possibly adding motivation. The bout is in Shanghai, possibly neutral ground but closer culturally to Nyamjargal, potentially lending him fan support.
Both fighters are highly motivated to maintain undefeated records and advance their UFC prospects. Nyamjargal’s home continent advantage and submission pedigree add extra incentive, while Terrance's opportunity as a late replacement could drive a strong performance.
Location: Shanghai, China (Road to UFC: Shanghai event)
Game Overview
The strawweight bout between Ming Shi and Bruna Brasil is the main event of the Road to UFC: Shanghai on August 22, 2025. Ming Shi enters on a five-fight winning streak across promotions and fights in her home country. Bruna Brasil is a UFC veteran with a 2-3 UFC record and recently switched training camps to Fighting Nerds.
Key Factors to Consider
Ming Shi has momentum from a five-fight win streak. Bruna Brasil has faced higher-level competition but had mixed UFC results (2-3).
No previous fights between Ming Shi and Bruna Brasil found, making this a fresh matchup without direct H2H data.
No known recent injuries reported for either fighter; Ming Shi has not fought in nine months but this appears due to professional commitments, not injury.
Ming Shi benefits from fighting in her home country of China which could provide crowd and comfort advantage. Bruna Brasil's camp change to Fighting Nerds might provide a recent boost in training quality.
Ming motivated to continue her winning streak and establish UFC credibility; Bruna Brasil motivated to reverse UFC losing trend and prove her camp switch benefits her performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bruna Brasil: -280, Ming Shi: 185
Bruna Brasil
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Bruna Brasil -1.5 rounds: -150, Ming Shi +1.5 rounds: 130
Bruna Brasil -1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: 120, Under 2.5 rounds: -140
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bruna Brasil -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bruna Brasil at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline bet on Bruna Brasil at -280 offers the highest expected value based on technical upside, UFC experience, and training camp advantage despite home crowd for Ming Shi.
Predicted Score: Bruna Brasil wins by decision after 5 rounds
Fabian Edwards faces Dalton Rosta in a Middleweight bout at PFL World Tournament 10. Edwards is the betting favorite with a solid record and slight reach advantage, while Rosta is a younger, rising fighter with a high-output striking style.
Key Factors to Consider
Edwards has demonstrated consistent recent wins with strong grappling and controlling ability; Rosta is aggressive and durable but has shown some vulnerability in grappling exchanges.
No prior head-to-head matchups exist between Fabian Edwards and Dalton Rosta, making this fight a fresh tactical contest.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout, indicating both will compete at full health.
The fight takes place at a neutral venue with no significant external disruptions expected. Both fighters are competing in a major PFL event with high stakes.
Edwards appears motivated to maintain his trajectory toward title contention, using experience to cement status; Rosta seeks to establish himself as a top contender, adding hunger and urgency.
Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Finals, Charlotte, North Carolina
Game Overview
Antonio Carlos Junior and Sullivan Cauley face off in a light heavyweight MMA bout at the PFL World Tournament 10 Finals. Cauley enters as the betting favorite with American odds of -145 vs. +115 for Carlos Jr. The matchup features contrasting styles with Carlos Jr. known for his grappling prowess and Cauley for striking and reach advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Carlos Jr. has shown solid grappling dominance and control in recent PFL bouts although his recent finishes are limited. Cauley comes off a strong streak emphasizing striking volume and reach control. Both fighters are experienced but Cauley’s youth (29 vs 35) and recent form slightly edges momentum to him.
No prior direct matchup between Antonio Carlos Junior and Sullivan Cauley exists, making this a fresh contest without past fight data influencing tactical approaches.
No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout, allowing both to compete at full strength.
The bout is held at PFL's World Tournament Finals in Charlotte, NC, a neutral venue with no obvious home advantage. Both fighters are under usual tournament pressure and have similar travel and acclimation conditions.
Both fighters highly motivated; Carlos Jr. to validate veteran status at the finals, Cauley motivated by youth and recent momentum aiming for title implications.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Antonio Carlos Junior: +115, Sullivan Cauley: -145
Sullivan Cauley
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Sullivan Cauley -1.5 rounds: -110, Antonio Carlos Junior +1.5 rounds: -110
Sullivan Cauley -1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sullivan Cauley -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sullivan Cauley at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sullivan Cauley to win by Decision
Predicted Score: Sullivan Cauley wins by decision after 3 rounds
Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Finals, Charlotte, North Carolina
Game Overview
A featherweight showdown between dominant favorite Alexei Pergande and underdog Ethan Goss in the PFL Finals.
Key Factors to Consider
Pergande has shown dominant form recently with multiple decisive wins, demonstrating strong striking and grappling; Goss has struggled against top-tier opponents and lacks recent significant victories.
No documented previous encounters between Pergande and Goss, making this a first-time matchup.
No known recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear to be in peak condition.
Fight taking place in a neutral but highly competitive environment; Pergande benefits from momentum and crowd support at the finals.
Pergande is highly motivated aiming for the tournament championship; Goss is motivated but considered an underdog with less to lose.
Location: Professional Fighters League Event Venue
Game Overview
Bryce Meredith faces Lazaro Dayron in a bantamweight mixed martial arts bout during the PFL World Tournament finals. Meredith is the betting favorite with a slight size advantage and a recent run of solid performances, while Dayron enters as the underdog with a more compact style and speed focus.
Key Factors to Consider
Bryce Meredith has shown consistent form with recent wins inside the distance, demonstrating strong striking and grappling balance. Lazaro Dayron’s recent fights highlight speed and cardio but less finishing ability.
No prior head-to-head fights documented between Meredith and Dayron, making this matchup primarily a contest of style and recent performances.
No reported significant injuries for either fighter entering the bout, indicating both should be at full strength.
The fight occurring at a PFL finals event increases motivation for both fighters but slightly favors Meredith who has maintained composure on big stages before. No travel or environmental issues reported.
Meredith’s trajectory and status as a favorite likely boost confidence and motivation, whereas Dayron, as an underdog, may be motivated to prove himself but faces psychological pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -200, away: +145
Bryce Meredith
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
home: -1.5 (+160), away: +1.5 (-200)
Bryce Meredith -1.5
★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under
over: -110, under: -110
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Home 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bryce Meredith to win via decision
Predicted Score: Bryce Meredith wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds
The fight between heavyweight contenders Oleg Popov and Alexander Romanov is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 10 Finals taking place in Charlotte, North Carolina. Both fighters are experienced with complementary skill sets, Popov being the favorite with -220 odds and Romanov the underdog at +180.
Key Factors to Consider
Oleg Popov has shown strong striking and controlling grappling in recent fights, maintaining a steady winning form in PFL. Alexander Romanov is known for his dominant grappling and submission threats but has faced some recent tough opponents that tested his ground defense.
No previous recorded matchup exists between Popov and Romanov, making this a fresh contest between two heavyweights with substantially different styles.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout, implying both are physically fresh and prepared.
The fight is part of a high-stakes PFL final, increasing motivation for both fighters. Fighting in Charlotte could slightly benefit Popov as he is more acclimated to the event environment.
Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the PFL tournament with title implications at stake. Popov's slight edge in odds suggests bookmakers believe his form and environment give him better chances.
Location: PFL Finals Venue (exact venue not specified)
Game Overview
The matchup features the heavy favorite Rasul Magomedov, a highly experienced and dominant PFL fighter, against the underdog Guilherme Viana. Magomedov is widely seen as the stronger and more consistent competitor with a highly favorable track record, whereas Viana enters as a significant underdog with lower-level recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
Magomedov shows elite form with dominant wins in recent PFL seasons, whereas Viana has struggled against top competition and lacks recent signature wins.
No direct head-to-head encounters found, likely this is their first meeting.
No current injury reports for either fighter, indicating both are healthy going into the bout.
No notable external factors such as travel issues, last-minute changes, or environmental concerns impacting either fighter.
Magomedov motivated to solidify championship status at the PFL finals. Viana seeking upset but with less incentive given underdog status.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -2000, away: +950
Rasul Magomedov
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
home -1.5 rounds: -2500, away +1.5 rounds: +1800
Rasul Magomedov -1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under
under 2.5 rounds: -150, over 2.5 rounds: +120
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Rasul Magomedov -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Rasul Magomedov at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rasul Magomedov to win by knockout in early rounds
Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Finals, Charlotte, North Carolina
Game Overview
Impa Kasanganay is favored heavily at -600 moneyline odds over Andrew Sanchez at +425. Kasanganay has shown strong striking and knockout power recently, while Sanchez has a solid wrestling base but has been the underdog in his recent bouts. Both fighters seek a decisive win to advance in the tournament.
Key Factors to Consider
Kasanganay has demonstrated consistent finishing ability in recent fights, with several KO/TKO wins. Sanchez has tended toward decision victories but struggles to close out fights aggressively.
No previous recorded matchup between Kasanganay and Sanchez, making this a first-time encounter.
No current injuries reported for either fighter, both appear healthy and fully prepared.
The fight takes place at a neutral venue with no apparent external influences impacting performance; both fighters are equally acclimated.
Both fighters are highly motivated as this is a final-level PFL tournament bout with significant stakes. Kasanganay’s momentum and recent finishes grant him a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -600, away: +425
Impa Kasanganay
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
home -1.5 rounds: -140, away +1.5 rounds: +110
Impa Kasanganay -1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over 2.5 rounds: +110, under 2.5 rounds: -130
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Impa Kasanganay -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Impa Kasanganay at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Impa Kasanganay to win; Spread: Kasanganay by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds
