Dylan Hazan faces Michelangelo Lupoli in a Cage Warriors event. Hazan is favored with odds of -275, indicating a strong likelihood of winning.
Key Factors to Consider
Dylan Hazan is favored, suggesting better recent performance or higher skill level compared to Michelangelo Lupoli.
No head-to-head data available for these fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
No significant external factors reported that could influence the match.
Both fighters are likely highly motivated, but Hazan's favoritism might indicate higher confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Predicted Outcome
Dylan Hazan is predicted to win based on odds and favoritism.
Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches
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Dylan Hazan vs. Michelangelo Lupoli Prediction
Match Analysis: Dylan Hazan vs Michelangelo Lupoli – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-03-08 Time: 7:30 PM UTC Location: Not specified Game Overview Dylan Hazan faces Michelangelo Lupoli in a Cage Warriors event. Hazan is favored with odds of -275, indicating a strong likelihood of winning. Key Factors to Consider Dylan Hazan is favored, suggesting better […]
Cory Sandhagen, known for his dynamic striking and high fight IQ, faces Deiveson Figueiredo, a formidable grappler and former flyweight champion, in a highly anticipated bantamweight bout. Sandhagen's advantages in height, reach, and striking output could play significant roles. However, Figueiredo's grappling skills and takedown attempts might challenge Sandhagen's defense.
Key Factors to Consider
Cory Sandhagen has a strong striking background with 5.02 strikes landed per minute, while Deiveson Figueiredo excels in grappling, with more takedown attempts and submission attempts than Sandhagen.
There is no prior head-to-head match between them.
No reported injuries at this time.
The fight is at bantamweight, where Sandhagen is more established, potentially giving him an edge over Figueiredo, who is moving up from flyweight.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Figueiredo looking to prove himself at bantamweight and Sandhagen seeking to solidify his position in the division.
This welterweight bout at UFC Des Moines pits Santiago Ponzinibbio against Daniel Rodriguez. Both fighters have impressive records, with Ponzinibbio at 31-8-0 and Rodriguez at 18-5-0, making it a closely contested match.
Key Factors to Consider
Ponzinibbio lands 4.80 significant strikes per minute with 41% accuracy, while Rodriguez lands 7.50 strikes per minute with 49% accuracy, giving Rodriguez an edge in striking. Ponzinibbio absorbs 4.61 strikes per minute, defending 61%, whereas Rodriguez takes 5.47 and defends 58%, indicating a slightly better defense for Ponzinibbio.
No previous head-to-head matches between these fighters have been reported, making this a first-time encounter.
No significant injury reports for either fighter leading up to this match.
The crowd might slightly favor Rodriguez due to his recent performances, but Ponzinibbio's experience could counterbalance this.
Both fighters are highly motivated to win, as this is a crucial match in their careers.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-110 for both fighters
Rodriguez
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
-3.5 for Rodriguez and +3.5 for Ponzinibbio
Take Ponzinibbio +3.5 due to the potential for a close fight
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: -238, Under 2.5 rounds: 180
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Daniel Rodriguez 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Daniel Rodriguez at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This fight is closely matched, but Rodriguez's higher strike rate might give him an edge in a decision victory.
Predicted Score: Decision victory for Daniel Rodriguez
Middleweight co-main event between undefeated prospect Bo Nickal and two-division ONE Championship veteran Reinier de Ridder. De Ridder aims to leverage his elite submission skills (13 career submission wins) against Nickal's elite wrestling pedigree. Both fighters are undefeated in the UFC, with de Ridder coming off two first-round submissions of Gerald Meerschaert and Kevin Holland.
Key Factors to Consider
De Ridder: 19-0 record (13 subs), UFC wins via RNC and D'Arce choke. Nickal: 5-0 record (4 subs), UFC wins via D'Arce and kimura.
First meeting. Nickal's NCAA D1 wrestling pedigree vs de Ridder's BJJ black belt mastery.
No reported injuries. De Ridder mentioned weight management post-fight but not an active concern.
Significant fan anticipation around Nickal ('The Great American Hope') counterbalanced by de Ridder's championship experience in major organizations.
De Ridder seeks top-5 ranking and title shot path with win. Nickal aims to validate hyped prospect status.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Nickal -340 / de Ridder +270
Nickal moneyline
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Nickal -3.5 (-190) / de Ridder +3.5 (+140)
Nickal covers -3.5 spread
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-105) / Under 2.5 (-125)
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bo Nickal 152%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bo Nickal at 152% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 56.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nickal by decision (55%) or de Ridder by submission (45%). High probability of grappling-heavy bout with Nickal's wrestling likely controlling early rounds, but de Ridder's submission threat persists throughout.
Predicted Score: No score prediction (MMA). Most likely outcome: Nickal by 3rd-round ground-and-pound TKO (30% probability) or de Ridder by 2nd-round submission (25% probability).
Cameron Smotherman faces Serhiy Sidey in a UFC Bantamweight match. Smotherman enters with a record of 12-4, while Sidey has a record of 11-2. This fight features contrasting styles, with Smotherman focusing on significant strikes and Sidey having a notable submission threat.
Key Factors to Consider
Smotherman has a higher strike volume, averaging 6.25 significant strikes per minute, compared to Sidey's 4.87. However, Sidey excels in submission attempts, averaging 1.4 every 15 minutes.
This is their first match-up.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
The fight's location at Wells Fargo Arena may have minimal impact as both fighters are accustomed to various environments.
Both fighters will be highly motivated, given the stakes in the UFC Bantamweight division.
Jeremy Stephens returns to the UFC to face Mason Jones in a lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo. Stephens has a competitive track record in MMA and additional experience in boxing and bare-knuckle fighting, while Jones is favored due to his recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
Jeremy Stephens has had varied success across MMA, boxing, and bare-knuckle fighting. Mason Jones is entering with strong momentum.
This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
No specific injury reports for either fighter are mentioned.
The event takes place in Des Moines, which might favor Stephens due to potential crowd support.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Stephens seeking a strong comeback in the UFC and Jones looking to maintain his winning streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Stephens: +425, Jones: -575
Mason Jones
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Stephens: 3.5 +180, Jones: -3.5 -250
Mason Jones to win by decision or finish
★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under
Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -135
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mason Jones -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mason Jones is predicted to win due to his strong current form and favorable odds.
Predicted Score: Mason Jones by TKO/KO in the second round
Women's Bantamweight Bout between seasoned veteran Miesha Tate (20-9) and Yana Santos (15-8, 1NC). Tate returns with wrestling-focused experience, while Santos brings striking versatility.
Key Factors to Consider
Tate holds notable wins over elite competition but is 1-2 in her last three bouts. Santos shows consistency with a 3-2 UFC record, including recent technical decision wins.
First meeting between fighters.
No reported injuries pre-fight.
Event streams live on ESPN+, with potential judging scrutiny due to Iowa's limited UFC event history.
Tate seeks redemption after recent losses; Santos aims to climb rankings with high-profile win.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Tate -142 / Santos +120
Miesha Tate
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Tate -3.5 (+150) / Santos +3.5 (-205)
Santos +3.5 covers
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-395) / Under 2.5 (+280)
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 85%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Miesha Tate -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miesha Tate by decision (confidence based on grappling control and cage experience)
Strawweight bout between No. 9-ranked Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2) and No. 12 Gillian Robertson (15-8) at UFC Fight Night prelims. Rodriguez (1-4 in last 5) faces Robertson (5-1 in last 6), who thrives since returning to 115lbs in 2023.
Key Factors to Consider
Rodriguez averages 4.64 significant strikes/min (46% accuracy) with 55% defense. Robertson lands 2.89/min (48% accuracy) with 56% defense. Rodriguez struggles against grapplers, while Robertson excels in ground control.
First meeting between fighters.
No reported injuries.
Strawweight division is wide open; winner could enter title conversation. Rodriguez’s recent split-decision losses suggest judging trends may favor activity over control time.
Robertson (-305 favorite) seeks sixth win in seven fights to secure Top 10 status. Rodriguez (+245 underdog) fights to avoid three-fight skid and career decline.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Robertson -305 / Rodriguez +245
Robertson
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Robertson -3.5 (-120) / Rodriguez +3.5 (-110)
Robertson -3.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-238) / Under 2.5 (+180)
Over 2.5
★★★★☆ 85%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gillian Robertson -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Robertson by decision (70% confidence) via superior grappling control and Rodriguez’s declining takedown defense. Rodriguez’s striking edge unlikely to offset Robertson’s ground dominance over three rounds.
Predicted Score: Robertson by unanimous decision (29-28 x3)
Middleweight bout featuring Ryan 'Man of Steel' Loder (8-1-0) vs Azamat 'Iron' Bekoev (19-3-0). Both fighters are coming off successful UFC debuts, with Loder showcasing wrestling pedigree and Bekoev demonstrating higher striking volume (6.85 vs 6.16 sig. strikes/min).
Key Factors to Consider
Bekoev holds significant edge in professional experience (19 wins vs 8). Loder's wrestling background could neutralize Bekoev's striking advantage if he implements grappling-heavy approach.
First meeting between fighters.
No reported injuries pre-fight.
Event takes place in Loder's home country (USA vs Russia) but no clear venue advantage specified.
Critical matchup for establishing position in UFC middleweight division, with both fighters seeking second consecutive UFC win.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bekoev -410 | Loder +320
Azamat Bekoev
★★★★☆ 73%
Spread
Bekoev -3.5 (-205) | Loder +3.5 (+150)
Bekoev -3.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-115) | Under 2.5 (-115)
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Azamat Bekoev -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 18%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bekoev by decision (60% confidence) – superior striking volume (6.85/min vs 6.16) and defensive metrics suggest he can outpoint Loder if kept standing. Potential for Loder submission upset if fight hits mat.
Predicted Score: Bekoev via unanimous decision (29-28)
The upcoming UFC bantamweight bout between Gaston Bolanos and Quang Le is a significant matchup for both fighters seeking to solidify their positions in the UFC. Bolanos, with a record of 8-4, has shown strong striking skills, while Le, 8-2, has faced setbacks in his recent UFC appearances.
Key Factors to Consider
Bolanos has secured six of his eight wins via knockout and has a solid UFC performance record. Le, known for his knockout potential, has struggled in recent fights, losing to Chris Gutierrez and Xiao Long.
This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight is part of a major UFC event, which could impact performance due to the high stakes.
Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win and improve their UFC standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bolanos: -130, Le: 110
Gaston Bolanos
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Bolanos: -3.5 125, Le: 3.5 -175
Gaston Bolanos
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over: 2.5 -166, Under: 2.5 130
Over 2.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gaston Bolanos 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Gaston Bolanos at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gaston Bolanos is favored to win due to his consistent performances and well-rounded skills.
Predicted Score: Gaston Bolanos wins via decision (30-27 or similar).
