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Rei Tsuruya vs. Joshua Van Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rei Tsuruya vs Joshua Van – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 8, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC 313 match between Joshua Van and Rei Tsuruya presents a compelling clash between a high-volume striker and a skilled grappler. Van, known for his aggressive striking, faces Tsuruya, who boasts an undefeated record and superior grappling skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joshua Van has a strong record of 12-2-0, with high strike output and experience against top opponents. Rei Tsuruya is undefeated at 10-0-0, with a focus on grappling and submissions.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight's dynamics will be influenced by Van's ability to keep the fight standing and Tsuruya's efforts to take it to the ground.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, as a victory could significantly boost their careers in the flyweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joshua Van: -192, Rei Tsuruya: +160 Joshua Van ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Joshua Van: -3.5 100, Rei Tsuruya: 3.5 -140 Joshua Van ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 2.5 -195, Under: 2.5 150 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Joshua Van is favored to win due to his experience and striking prowess, but Rei Tsuruya's grappling skills pose a significant threat.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Joshua Van.


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Rei Tsuruya vs. Joshua Van Prediction

Match Analysis: Rei Tsuruya vs Joshua Van – Prediction Match Details Date: March 8, 2025 Time: 11:00 PM UTC Location: Not specified Game Overview The upcoming UFC 313 match between Joshua Van and Rei Tsuruya presents a compelling clash between a high-volume striker and a skilled grappler. Van, known for his aggressive striking, faces Tsuruya, […]

Joshua Van March 8, 2025 MMA/Boxing Rei Tsuruya

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Shara Magomedov vs. Marc-Andre Barriault Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shara Magomedov vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

The UFC middleweight matchup features Shara Magomedov, a dominant 15-1 fighter known for his accuracy and defensive ability, facing off against Marc-Andre Barriault, a durable and high-volume striker with a 17-9 record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Magomedov exhibits higher striking accuracy (62%) and better striking defense (42% strikes absorbed) than Barriault, who lands more total strikes per minute but with lower accuracy (47%) and absorbs more strikes (5.57 per minute). Magomedov's recent loss has motivated him to reassert dominance.
  • No recorded head-to-head bouts; this will be their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight held at neutral venue in Abu Dhabi, with no discernible home advantage or external stressors for either fighter.
  • Magomedov seeks to recover from his first professional loss and reestablish himself as a top contender; Barriault aims to capitalize on his durability and experience to upset the favored Magomedov.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Shara Magomedov -625, Marc-Andre Barriault +455 Shara Magomedov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Shara Magomedov -3.5 (-290), Marc-Andre Barriault +3.5 (205) Shara Magomedov -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 (-188), Under 1.5 (+145) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Shara Magomedov -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Shara Magomedov to win; Spread: Shara Magomedov to win by more than 3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds (fight likely to go longer)

Predicted Score: Shara Magomedov wins by decision after three rounds


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Said Nurmagomedov vs. Bryce Mitchell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Said Nurmagomedov vs Bryce Mitchell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Bryce Mitchell (17-4-0) moves down to bantamweight for the first time, facing Said Nurmagomedov (18-4-0), who is coming off a decision loss. Mitchell is favored slightly in the betting odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mitchell has been landing significant strikes at a rate of 2.44 per minute and defending 60% of them. Nurmagomedov, meanwhile, lands 3.38 significant strikes per minute and defends 56%.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups.
  • There are no reported significant injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • The fight's location and timing of the event are unlikely to favor one fighter significantly.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Mitchell debuting in a new weight class and Nurmagomedov seeking redemption after a loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bryce Mitchell -140, Said Nurmagomedov 120 Bryce Mitchell ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -155, Under 2.5 125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bryce Mitchell 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 53%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryce Mitchell is likely to win by decision or a closely contested fight.

Predicted Score: Bryce Mitchell wins by decision


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Reinier de Ridder vs. Robert Whittaker Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Reinier de Ridder vs Robert Whittaker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

A middleweight UFC main event featuring Reinier de Ridder, a strong grappler known for his submission and control game, against former UFC Middleweight Champion Robert Whittaker, a versatile striker with solid takedown defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • De Ridder is on a significant rise, showcasing a submission average of 1.36 per fight and high striking accuracy (78.66%), while Whittaker has a more balanced but less finish-focused approach and a lower striking output.
  • This is a first-time matchup with no prior head-to-head fights between the two.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout.
  • The fight is in Abu Dhabi at the Etihad Arena, a neutral venue, with similar travel and acclimation for both fighters.
  • De Ridder aims to vault himself immediately into UFC title contention with a win, while Whittaker looks to reestablish dominance at middleweight after previous losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline reinier_de_ridder: +140, robert_whittaker: -166 Robert Whittaker ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread reinier_de_ridder: -145, robert_whittaker: +105 Robert Whittaker -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -125, under: -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Robert Whittaker -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Robert Whittaker to win by decision

Predicted Score: Whittaker wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)


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Nikita Krylov vs. Bogdan Guskov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Light heavyweight MMA bout between veteran Nikita Krylov and rising contender Bogdan Guskov, featuring contrasting styles and extensive pro experience for Krylov against power and momentum for Guskov.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Krylov holds a 30-10 record with solid striking accuracy (54%) and defense (44%), showing cage composure and experience. Guskov is 17-3 with slightly better striking accuracy (55%) but less defense (43%) and less overall experience.
  • No recorded prior matchups between Krylov and Guskov, making this a fresh contest largely based on recent form and styles.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter prior to fight date.
  • Fight held indoors at Etihad Arena amid dry Abu Dhabi heat of ~105°F outside; arena conditions should not affect either fighter adversely. Broadcast on ESPN+ for wide viewer exposure.
  • Krylov aims to maintain veteran status as dominant light heavyweight; Guskov motivated to capitalize on rising momentum and establish himself at elite level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Krylov -198, Guskov +164 Krylov ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Krylov -3.5 (-165), Guskov +3.5 (120) Krylov -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 (+110), Under 1.5 (-140) Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nikita Krylov -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nikita Krylov to win via decision or late finish by using superior experience and composed striking defense to outlast Guskov.

Predicted Score: Krylov wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Carlos Leal vs. Muslim Salikhov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Leal vs Muslim Salikhov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Carlos Leal and Muslim Salikhov meet in a welterweight MMA bout at UFC Abu Dhabi with contrasting styles and statistics. Leal is the heavy favorite with faster strike output, while Salikhov's defense and striking accuracy remain notable.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leal has a higher significant strike rate (9.65/min) and accuracy (50%) but takes more incoming strikes (7.73/min). Salikhov lands fewer strikes (3.38/min) but defends better, absorbing only 2.90 significant strikes/min and blocking 62%.
  • No direct head-to-head history between Leal and Salikhov available for this matchup, making form and style matchup critical.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Abu Dhabi, neutral ground likely minimizing travel fatigue impacts. Both fighters compete professionally to advance welterweight rankings.
  • Leal is favored heavily and likely motivated to justify his status, while Salikhov as underdog aims to capitalize on defensive strengths and upset potential.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carlos Leal -500 / Muslim Salikhov +375 Carlos Leal ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Not explicitly provided; implied -1.5 rounds for Leal Carlos Leal by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -145 / Under 1.5 rounds +115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Leal -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Leal to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Carlos Leal wins by TKO in round 2


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Martin Buday vs. Marcus Buchecha Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed UFC venue

Game Overview

This UFC heavyweight matchup features Martin Buday, a rising striker with strong KO power and improving grappling, facing Marcus Buchecha, a decorated BJJ world champion transitioning to MMA with heavy submission skills and solid wrestling base.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buday has shown finishing ability primarily via strikes but has mixed results against elite grapplers. Buchecha has undefeated momentum in MMA with several submission wins, showcasing his ground dominance and improving striking.
  • No previous MMA head-to-head encounters between Buday and Buchecha, making this a stylistic clash between striking power and grappling control.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the fight, both full health and training camps intact.
  • Fight location and timing neutral with no discernible home advantage. Both fighters motivated to cement UFC status in the heavyweight division.
  • Buchecha highly motivated to prove his transition from elite BJJ to MMA is legitimate at a high level. Buday motivated by knockout power and to establish striking dominance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha: -300, Martin Buday: +250 Marcus Buchecha ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds: -150, Martin Buday +1.5 rounds: +130 Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -122, Under 1.5 rounds: -108 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcus Buchecha to win by submission

Predicted Score: Marcus Buchecha wins by submission in Round 2


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Ibo Aslan vs. Billy Elekana Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

This UFC light heavyweight bout features Ibo Aslan, a Turkish knockout artist with high striking volume and solid defense, facing Billy Elekana, a precise striker and grappler from the USA. Aslan enters as the clear favorite with heavier volume and better defense, while Elekana is the underdog relying on precision and grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ibo Aslan delivers 7.84 significant strikes per minute at 50% accuracy and defends 63% of incoming strikes. Billy Elekana connects fewer strikes (2.34 per minute) but with higher accuracy (71%) and defends only 33% of strikes against him.
  • No direct H2H matchups recorded between Aslan and Elekana, making other factors more critical in prediction.
  • No recent injury news reported for either fighter up to July 24, 2025.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Abu Dhabi, neutral ground. Both fighters appear equally acclimated with no major external influences reported.
  • Aslan seeks to rebound from his first UFC defeat to reassert dominance; Elekana aims to capitalize on underdog status with grappling skills and precision striking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ibo Aslan -258, Billy Elekana +218 Ibo Aslan ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -115, Under 1.5 rounds -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ibo Aslan 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ibo Aslan wins by moneyline given striking volume, defensive edge, and favoritism in betting markets.

Predicted Score: Ibo Aslan wins via TKO/KO in Round 1 or early Round 2


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Asu Almabaev vs. Jose Ochoa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Asu Almabaev vs Jose Ochoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Flyweight UFC main card fight between veteran grappler Asu Almabayev and rising prospect Jose Ochoa.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Almabayev holds a strong 21-3 record with a grappling-heavy, control-oriented style, averaging over 13 minutes per fight indicating a grind approach. Ochoa is an up-and-coming fighter fresh from a dominant KO win, with a more aggressive, fast-start style.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups; this is their first encounter, making styles and adaptability crucial.
  • No reported injuries for either athlete leading into the fight; both appear fully healthy and ready.
  • Fight takes place in a hot, dry environment (98°F forecast) in Abu Dhabi which could favor the more experienced, pace-controlling fighter used to longer fights.
  • Ochoa is highly motivated as a rising prospect aiming to make a statement, while Almabayev seeks to maintain veteran status and control the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Asu Almabayev -125, Jose Ochoa +105 Asu Almabayev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Almabayev -3.5 -195, Ochoa +3.5 +140 Asu Almabayev -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -195, Under 2.5 +150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Asu Almabaev 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Asu Almabayev to win; Spread: Asu Almabayev to cover -3.5; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Almabayev wins by decision after controlling pace and grappling dominance


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Amanda Ribas vs. Tabatha Ricci Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Amanda Ribas faces Tabatha Ricci in a UFC women's flyweight bout. Ribas has a clear physical and technical edge with a 5-inch reach advantage and better strike defense, while Ricci relies heavily on grappling but struggles against top-level wrestlers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ribas has lost three of her last four but shows strong striking accuracy (39%) and defense (stops 60% of strikes). Ricci lands a similar strike rate but absorbs significantly more (5.29/min). Ricci's recent wins were largely through wrestling, which may be neutralized by Ribas' excellent takedown defense.
  • No direct past matchups between Ribas and Ricci; Ricci's closest fight against a fighter of Ribas' caliber ended in TKO loss, suggesting difficulty handling elite opponents like Ribas.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter impacting this bout.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Abu Dhabi in Etihad Arena; no known travel or acclimatization issues for either fighter.
  • Ribas is motivated to rebound from recent losses against high-level competition, whereas Ricci aims to prove she can handle elite opponents but may be overmatched here.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ribas -200, Ricci +170 Amanda Ribas ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread No explicit -1.5 round spread odds available, inferred from fight style and odds Amanda Ribas to win by 2+ rounds clear ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -550, Under 2.5 rounds +400 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Amanda Ribas 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 250%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 250% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Amanda Ribas to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Amanda Ribas wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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