Match Analysis: Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-20
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Shell Energy Stadium, Houston
Game Overview
Houston Dynamo face Philadelphia Union in an MLS regular season match with Houston struggling recently especially defensively at home, while Philadelphia is in strong form and boasting a potent attack.
Key Factors to Consider
- Houston Dynamo have lost their last two matches, conceding three or more goals multiple times at home. Philadelphia Union have won their last two games with strong offensive stats, including prolific forward Tai Baribo and Bruno Damiani who leads the team in shots.
- In 21 previous encounters, Houston holds 9 wins, Philadelphia 8, with 4 draws. However, Philadelphia has dominated recent results including a notable 6-0 victory over Houston in a prior clash.
- Houston Dynamo have some defensive absences including A. Tarbell and N. Quinones, while Philadelphia have no major injuries impacting key attackers.
- Match played at Houston's home ground, Shell Energy Stadium, where they have recently been vulnerable defensively. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal.
- Philadelphia Union currently motivated by their strong league position and better form, while Houston aims to recover form but faces internal defensive challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Houston Dynamo 135, Philadelphia Union 190, Draw 250 | Philadelphia Union | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Houston Dynamo -0.25 (105), Philadelphia Union +25 (-125) | Philadelphia Union +0.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 (100), Under 2.75 (-120) | Over 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union 39% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Union at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Union to win on the moneyline, cover +0.25 spread and over 2.75 goals scored in total.
Predicted Score: Houston Dynamo 1 – 3 Philadelphia Union