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Santos Verdinez vs. Alex Coover Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Santos Verdinez vs Alex Coover - Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-12
Time: 11:30 PM UTC
Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, MN, USA

Game Overview

This heavyweight MMA bout features Santos Verdinez, a strong grappler with notable submission skills, against Alex Coover, a powerful striker known for his knockout ability. Verdinez is favored slightly due to his ground advantage while Coover presents a threat standing up.

Key Factors to Consider

Verdinez holds a professional record of 7-2 with a strong recent form and proficiency in grappling. Coover sports a 9-3 record, excels in striking, and has proven resilience, but has vulnerabilities against grapplers.
No prior head-to-head meetings found between Verdinez and Coover, making this a fresh tactical matchup focused on contrasting styles.
No current injury reports or weigh-in issues have been disclosed for either fighter as of fight day.
The fight takes place indoors at Mystic Lake Casino Hotel with no adverse environmental conditions. The bout’s late timing may favor fighters accustomed to prime-time events; both have prior experience in similar venues.
Verdinez competes to extend his upward career trajectory, while Coover aims to capitalize on striking to remain a top contender. Both fighters’ motivation is high given the fight’s significance in the LFA promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -177, away: +152	Santos Verdinez	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	home: -110, away: +110	Santos Verdinez -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over: +149, under: -170	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Santos Verdinez 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline edge to Santos Verdinez due to grappling superiority, expecting a decision or submission win. Spread prediction favors Verdinez to control the fight beyond a one-round margin. Under 1.5 rounds is more likely given both fighters’ strategic approach to avoid early mistakes.

Predicted Score: Verdinez wins by submission or decision in round 2 or later

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Santos Verdinez vs. Alex Coover Prediction

Match Analysis: Santos Verdinez vs Alex Coover – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-12 Time: 11:30 PM UTC Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, MN, USA Game Overview This heavyweight MMA bout features Santos Verdinez, a strong grappler with notable submission skills, against Alex Coover, a powerful striker known for his knockout ability. Verdinez is […]

Alex Coover MMA/Boxing Santos Verdinez September 12, 2025

Anthony Guarascio vs. Steven Asplund Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Anthony Guarascio vs Steven Asplund – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-10
Time: 12:00 AM UTC
Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Heavyweight MMA bout between undefeated Anthony Guarascio (3-0) and highly experienced Steven Asplund (5-1) on Dana White's Contender Series, featuring a contrast in age, reach, and fighting styles.

Key Factors to Consider

Guarascio is undefeated with a perfect 3-0 record, showing heavy striking power with 2 KO/TKO wins and a submission, while Asplund has more fights (5-1) with a majority of wins by KO/TKO (4), but one loss and less finishing diversity.
This is their first recorded head-to-head matchup with no prior encounters.
No reported significant injuries for either fighter; Asplund took the fight on short notice but appears healthy and motivated.
Fight held at UFC Apex with no travel disadvantage; Asplund’s short-notice call might affect conditioning but boosts his motivation.
Asplund expressed high motivation, calling this the opportunity he’s always wanted, which could boost performance; Guarascio seeks to maintain undefeated status and impress on Contender Series.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -175, away: 150	Anthony Guarascio	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Guarascio -1.5: +150, Asplund +1.5: -180	Guarascio -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over 1.5: +177, under 1.5: -205	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Anthony Guarascio 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Anthony Guarascio at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Guarascio to win by moneyline, with under 1.5 rounds expectable due to Guarascio’s finishing tendency.

Predicted Score: Anthony Guarascio wins by KO/TKO in round 1 or early round 2

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Lerryan Douglas vs. Cam Teague Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Lerryan Douglas vs Cam Teague – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-10
Time: 12:00 AM UTC
Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Featherweight main card fight between Lerryan Douglas (12-5) and Cam Teague (9-1) at Dana White's Contender Series on September 10, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

Lerryan Douglas has a more extensive record (12-5) and fights out of Bloodline Combat Sports with coach Cub Swanson. His wins include 41.7% KO rate and solid striking, though he has recent losses via multiple methods. Cam Teague is younger (9-1) with high KO ratio (60%) and fights out of AMP MMA, showing strong finishing ability. Douglas fights at featherweight; Teague listed as lightweight but contest is featherweight, which might impact conditioning.
This is their first meeting. Both enter with strong recent performances; Douglas has more experience but Teague has a higher KO finish ratio.
No publicized recent injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this match.
Fight is part of Dana White's Contender Series, increasing motivation for both fighters to perform impressively to secure UFC contracts. Fight taking place in a neutral venue at Contender Series taping.
Both fighters highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Douglas, with prior UFC-aligned coaching and experience, may have slight edge in motivation and composure. Teague's youth and finishing ability suggest hunger to prove himself as an elite prospect.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lerryan_Douglas: -500, Cam_Teague: +375	Lerryan Douglas	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	Douglas -1.5 rounds: -150, Teague +1.5 rounds: +130	Douglas -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: +105, Under 1.5 rounds: -125	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lerryan Douglas -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lerryan Douglas to win by decision

Predicted Score: Lerryan Douglas wins by Decision after 3 rounds

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Shanelle Dyer vs. Carol Foro Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Shanelle Dyer vs Carol Foro – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-10
Time: 12:00 AM UTC
Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

A highly anticipated flyweight bout between undefeated British prospect Shanelle Dyer (6-0) and Brazilian contender Carol Foro (8-1) takes place at Dana White's Contender Series. Both fighters bring aggressive finishes with high KO rates and are seeking UFC contracts.

Key Factors to Consider

Dyer is 6-0 with 4 finishes, including 3 KOs, showing consistent dominance and finishing ability. Foro is 8-1 with 7 finishes, mostly KOs, also demonstrating powerful striking but with slightly more experience.
No recorded previous fights between the two fighters, making this a fresh matchup without direct history or matchup data.
No reported injuries or physical issues for either fighter leading into this bout.
Dyer is motivated by a UFC contract opportunity and fighting at her natural strawweight after leaving PFL, indicating high motivation and optimal weight preparation. Foro competes as a strong competitor from Brazil with a solid team but less reported recent motivation factors.
Dyer's strong motivation to prove herself on Dana White's Contender Series and her recent release from PFL for better weight class opportunities suggest higher hunger and drive. Foro's motivation appears standard as a solid contender but no publicized extraordinary factors.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Shanelle Dyer: -150, Carol Foro: 130	Shanelle Dyer	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Shanelle Dyer -1.5 rounds: -120, Carol Foro +1.5 rounds: 100	Shanelle Dyer -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -137, Under 2.5 rounds: 117	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Shanelle Dyer -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shanelle Dyer to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Shanelle Dyer wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

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Chasen Blair vs. Samuel Sanches Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Chasen Blair vs Samuel Sanches – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-10
Time: 12:00 AM UTC
Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between undefeated grappler Chasen Blair and powerful striker Samuel Sanches on Dana White's Contender Series Week 5.

Key Factors to Consider

Chasen Blair is undefeated with strong grappling and recent submission wins, while Samuel Sanches boasts 6 KOs in 10 wins with lightning-fast striking and improved takedown defense.
No previous head-to-head matchups between Blair and Sanches.
No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of fight.
Fight is part of a high-stakes DWCS event, encouraging aggressive performances to impress UFC matchmakers.
Both fighters are highly motivated to secure UFC contracts; Blair seeks to showcase grappling dominance, Sanches aims to maintain his knockout streak and aggressive reputation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chasen Blair: +110, Samuel Sanches: -130	Samuel Sanches	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Sanches -1.5 rounds: -120, Blair +1.5 rounds: +100	Samuel Sanches -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -110	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Samuel Sanches -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Samuel Sanches to win via early knockout

Predicted Score: Samuel Sanches wins by KO/TKO Round 1 or 2

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Freddy Vidal vs. Felipe Franco Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Freddy Vidal vs Felipe Franco – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-10
Time: 12:00 AM UTC
Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Apex

Game Overview

The matchup features undefeated light heavyweight prospects Freddy Vidal (3-0) and Felipe Franco (8-0) in a 3-round DWCS bout. Vidal boasts aggressive striking and knockout power with two first-round KO/TKOs, while Franco has a more experienced record combining KO and submissions, though he has shown ring rust from multiple fight postponements.

Key Factors to Consider

Felipe Franco is 8-0 with a balanced mix of KO (50%) and submission (38%) finishes; Freddy Vidal is 3-0 with a high finishing rate primarily via KO and heavy hands as a striking specialist.
No previous head-to-head matchups between Vidal and Franco; both remain undefeated professionally.
No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the contest.
Franco has had multiple recent fight postponements potentially causing ring rust; Vidal is younger and recently turned pro less than a year ago with momentum, possibly giving him fresher timing and less tape for Franco to study.
Both fighters aim to secure a contract through DWCS, but Vidal's recent streak and knockout style suggest high motivation to prove himself on a big stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Freddy Vidal: +275, Felipe Franco: -325	Freddy Vidal	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Freddy Vidal -1.5: +400, Felipe Franco +1.5: -500	Felipe Franco +1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5: +195, Under 1.5: -235	Under 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Felipe Franco 118%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Felipe Franco at 118% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Freddy Vidal to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Freddy Vidal wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

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Nassourdine Imavov vs. Caio Borralho Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-06
Time: 9:45 PM UTC
Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Middleweight clash between Nassourdine Imavov and Caio Borralho, both top-ranked UFC contenders vying for a title shot against Khamzat Chimaev. Imavov is a polished striker with a solid recent winning streak including a notable TKO over Israel Adesanya, while Borralho is an undefeated, well-rounded grappler with significant improvements in striking.

Key Factors to Consider

Imavov enters on a four-fight winning streak (16-4-0), showing striking precision (4.45 significant strikes/min at 55% accuracy) and respectable defense (3.26 allowed/min, 58% strike defense). Borralho is undefeated in UFC (17-1-0), with strong grappling and recently improved striking (3.61 significant strikes/min at 60% accuracy), and better defensive numbers (2.34 allowed/min, 62% strike defense).
No previous head-to-head bouts between Imavov and Borralho, making this a critical test of styles—Imavov's striking versus Borralho's evolving striking and elite grappling.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, indicating both are likely at peak condition.
Fight takes place in Paris, potentially giving Imavov a slight edge due to proximity and comfort. Both fighters motivated by prospect of title shot against Khamzat Chimaev.
Both fighters highly motivated, although Borralho’s undefeated UFC record and recent enhancements in striking may fuel confidence, while Imavov looks to continue momentum from recent high-profile wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +105, away: -125	Nassourdine Imavov	★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread	home: -205 (Imavov +5.5), away: 150 (Borralho -5.5)	Imavov +5.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	over: -195 (4.5 rounds), under: 150 (4.5 rounds)	Under 4.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Caio Borralho 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 4.5 55%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nassourdine Imavov to win by decision

Predicted Score: Imavov wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds

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Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Mauricio Ruffy Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Benoit Saint-Denis vs Mauricio Ruffy – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-06
Time: 9:15 PM UTC
Location: UFC Fight Night, Paris

Game Overview

Benoit Saint-Denis faces Mauricio Ruffy in a UFC Fight Night bout in Paris. While Ruffy enters as the betting favorite, analysts suggest Saint-Denis is on a higher fighting level, especially in grappling and overall skill set.

Key Factors to Consider

Saint-Denis has demonstrated superior recent performance with well-rounded skills and strong grappling, while Ruffy’s grappling remains relatively untested against high-level competition.
No direct head-to-head matches between them previously; stylistic matchup favors Saint-Denis’ grappling advantage.
No significant injury concerns reported for either fighter prior to the bout.
Fight taking place in Paris could provide a slight home crowd advantage for Saint-Denis; no travel or external distractions noted.
Both fighters motivated, but Saint-Denis appears more driven to prove himself against a favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	145	Benoit Saint-Denis	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	3.5 100	Benoit Saint-Denis +3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	1.5 -160/124	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Benoit Saint-Denis 42%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benoit Saint-Denis to win by decision

Predicted Score: Saint-Denis wins by decision after 3 rounds

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Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Modestas Bukauskas vs Paul Craig – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-06
Time: 8:45 PM UTC
Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

A light heavyweight showdown at UFC Paris between Modestas Bukauskas, known for his striking power and recent strong form, and Paul Craig, a veteran grappler with a mixed recent record. Bukauskas is heavily favored on the moneyline reflecting his momentum and striking superiority.

Key Factors to Consider

Modestas Bukauskas arrives with 4 wins in his last 5 fights, landing 3.26 significant strikes per minute with a 42% accuracy, while absorbing 4.07 strikes per minute. Paul Craig is on a skid with 3 losses in last 4, landing 2.54 strikes per minute at 45% accuracy and absorbing fewer shots (3.00 per min) but with lower defensive efficiency (43%).
No prior head-to-head matchups recorded between Bukauskas and Craig.
No publicly reported injuries to either fighter leading into the bout.
Bukauskas is favored by the market with odds reflecting increased confidence from bettors. The fight takes place in Europe which is neutral ground for both – Bukauskas (Lithuanian origin) and Craig (UK).
Bukauskas is on an upswing and aims to solidify his status in the light heavyweight division, while Craig needs a win to halt his losing streak and remain relevant, adding desperation but also pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -355, away: +280	Modestas Bukauskas	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	home: -3.5 -230, away: +3.5 165	Modestas Bukauskas -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: 1.5 -140, under: 1.5 110	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Modestas Bukauskas -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Modestas Bukauskas wins by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Modestas Bukauskas wins by TKO in Round 2

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Bolaji Oki vs. Mason Jones Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Bolaji Oki vs Mason Jones – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-06
Time: 8:15 PM UTC
Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

The lightweight MMA bout pits Bolaji Oki (10-2) against Mason Jones (16-2-0, 1 NC) at UFC Paris. Both fighters are orthodox, similar height and weight, with Jones slightly longer reach. Oki is known for a higher volume and accuracy of significant strikes, while Jones has a solid finishing record and recent strong form.

Key Factors to Consider

Bolaji Oki lands 7.05 significant strikes/min at 45% accuracy but absorbs 4.76 strikes/min with 62% defense. Mason Jones lands fewer strikes at 5.56/min with 41% accuracy and defends only 48%. Jones shows better recent finishing ability and more UFC experience overall.
No known previous fight between Bolaji Oki and Mason Jones.
No current reported injuries for either fighter leading into the September 6 bout.
The fight is held at UFC Paris, potentially favoring both evenly with no strong home advantage. Both fighters appear motivated to advance their UFC standings.
Jones is in prime career form after returning from Cage Warriors with multiple finishes and a dominant UFC win. Oki, though a rising talent, has close UFC decision wins and a first round submission loss versus a higher-level opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bolaji Oki: +114, Mason Jones: -135	Mason Jones	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Bolaji Oki +3.5: -180, Mason Jones -3.5: +130	Mason Jones -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -175, Under 2.5: +135	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mason Jones -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mason Jones to win by decision

Predicted Score: Mason Jones wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

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Santos Verdinez vs. Alex Coover Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Santos Verdinez vs Alex Coover - Prediction

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Santos Verdinez vs. Alex Coover Prediction

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