Match Analysis: Gerald Meerschaert vs Michal Oleksiejczuk - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: United Center, Chicago, IL
Game Overview
The UFC 319 middleweight matchup between Gerald Meerschaert and Michal Oleksiejczuk features contrasting styles: Meerschaert is a veteran grappler known for submissions, while Oleksiejczuk is a powerful striker with knockout capability. Oleksiejczuk enters as a clear favorite based on betting odds and recent form, but Meerschaert's grappling threat and resilience keep the bout competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oleksiejczuk has demonstrated solid striking with several knockout wins and holds a UFC record of 8-7. Meerschaert, with a UFC record of 12-11, relies heavily on grappling and submissions and is known for durability and late-fight pressure.
- No previous direct matchup between Meerschaert and Oleksiejczuk has occurred, making this an intriguing stylistic contrast without historical fight data.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both compete at full strength.
- The fight takes place at United Center, Chicago, with no discernible external environmental factors likely to affect performance.
- Oleksiejczuk appears motivated to maintain upward momentum and validate his favorite status, while Meerschaert is aiming to capitalize on grappling advantage to upset the odds.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Gerald Meerschaert: 195, Michal Oleksiejczuk: -238 | Michal Oleksiejczuk | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Gerald Meerschaert +3.5: 130, Michal Oleksiejczuk -3.5: -180 | Michal Oleksiejczuk -3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 1.5: 105, Under 1.5: -135 | Under 1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Michal Oleksiejczuk -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 1.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michal Oleksiejczuk to win by knockout or technical knockout within two rounds.
Predicted Score: Oleksiejczuk wins by KO/TKO round 2
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