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Arnold Jimenez vs. Rafael do Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Arnold Jimenez vs Rafael do Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) event, Lemoore, California

Game Overview

Arnold Jimenez (12-3) faces Rafael do Nascimento (10-3) in a competitive Legacy Fighting Alliance matchup. Rafael is the betting favorite with strong recent form and more consistent wins, while Jimenez has shown resilience and finishing power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rafael do Nascimento holds a recent edge with steady victories and superior finishing rates. Jimenez has been competitive but with more recent losses against higher-tier opponents.
  • No prior recorded fights between Arnold Jimenez and Rafael do Nascimento, making this their first encounter.
  • No current injury reports on either fighter; both are expected to be at full strength.
  • Fight takes place in Lemoore, California, neutral ground with no discernible home advantage.
  • Both fighters are motivated; Rafael looks to solidify his rising status, while Arnold aims to prove he can compete against top-tier opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +185, away: -275 Rafael do Nascimento β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread home: +1.5 (-150), away: -1.5 (+130) Rafael do Nascimento -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rafael do Nascimento -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Rafael do Nascimento at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael do Nascimento to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Rafael do Nascimento wins by submission in round 2


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Michael Reyes vs. Adrian Garcia Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Michael Reyes vs Adrian Garcia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 215, Ventura, California

Game Overview

Michael Reyes meets Adrian Garcia at LFA 215 in a bantamweight MMA bout, with Garcia favored on the moneyline but Reyes offering value given his recent improvements and physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adrian Garcia enters favored at -250 based on solid recent form and finishing ability. Michael Reyes has shown resilience and tactical evolution, with improved striking defense in his last three outings.
  • No recorded previous encounter between Reyes and Garcia, making this a fresh tactical matchup.
  • Neither fighter reports recent injuries or significant layoffs, both competing in peak condition.
  • Fight takes place in Ventura, California, neutral venue favoring no fighter by location. No reported external disruptions.
  • Both fighters aim to climb the ranks with a high-profile win; Garcia may have added pressure as the favorite while Reyes possesses underdog motivation to prove himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adrian Garcia: -250, Michael Reyes: 210 Adrian Garcia β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Adrian Garcia -1.5: -130, Michael Reyes +1.5: 110 Adrian Garcia -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -200, Under 2.5: 160 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adrian Garcia -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 61%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 61% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adrian Garcia to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Adrian Garcia wins by decision or finish before round 3


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Chris Mecate vs. Erick Visconde Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Chris Mecate vs Erick Visconde – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA Event Venue (location not specified)

Game Overview

Chris Mecate faces Erick Visconde in an LFA MMA bout with close moneyline odds, suggesting a competitive matchup. Both fighters have had recent activity with slight market fluctuations favoring Visconde.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Erick Visconde holds a slight edge in recent form with consistent performances and favored odds throughout the year, while Chris Mecate is perceived as an underdog but has shown resilience and potential for an upset.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchups between Chris Mecate and Erick Visconde.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, suggesting both enter the cage at full health.
  • No notable external factors such as travel issues or environmental conditions reported; standard LFA event conditions.
  • Both fighters motivated to secure a significant win in LFA to advance their careers, with Visconde slightly favored to capitalize on momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Mecate: -105, Erick Visconde: -115 Erick Visconde β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Chris Mecate -1.5: +140, Erick Visconde -1.5: -160 Erick Visconde -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Erick Visconde -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erick Visconde to win on the moneyline.

Predicted Score: Erick Visconde wins via decision or late finish before round 3


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Shuya Kamikubo vs. Eric Shelton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Shuya Kamikubo vs Eric Shelton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ventura, California, LFA 215

Game Overview

Shuya Kamikubo, fighting at bantamweight, faces Eric Shelton, a flyweight, in a competitive bout. Kamikubo holds a recent winning streak and slight weight advantage, while Shelton benefits from home country support but faces possible pressure. Both fighters have a balanced skill set with comparable KO, submission, and decision rates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kamikubo has a current winning streak and a slight weight advantage (61 kg vs. 56 kg). Shelton has a short winning streak but is fighting at home with moral advantages and potential judging bias.
  • No recorded direct head-to-head fights available; match based on comparative recent form and style.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Shelton fights in home country (USA) which may bring biased judging and moral support; Kamikubo is a guest fighter possibly facing pressure from travel and environment.
  • Kamikubo motivated to extend winning streak and prove himself internationally; Shelton motivated to capitalize on home advantage and break into higher profile rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kamikubo: -155, Shelton: +135 Kamikubo β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -145, Under 2.5 rounds +115 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eric Shelton -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shuya Kamikubo to win on the moneyline by decision

Predicted Score: Kamikubo wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Jake Woodley vs. Trent Miller Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jake Woodley vs Trent Miller – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ventura, California, LFA 215

Game Overview

Jake Woodley faces Trent Miller at LFA 215 in Ventura with Woodley opening as a -139 favorite vs. Miller at +102. Both fighters bring solid experience, but recent form and odds favor Woodley slightly.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Woodley has demonstrated steady performance with recent wins, showing resilience and finishing ability. Miller has been inconsistent with fewer notable recent victories.
  • No direct previous bouts have been recorded between Woodley and Miller, making this their first encounter.
  • No current injury reports have been indicated for either fighter leading up to the event.
  • The fight taking place in Ventura, CA, could provide a slight advantage for Woodley due to crowd support and familiarity with local conditions.
  • Woodley is motivated to continue ascending the LFA rankings and securing UFC attention, while Miller is arguably less consistent in motivation and recent output.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -139 / +102 Jake Woodley β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Woodley -1.5 (-110), Miller +1.5 (-110) Woodley -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-105), Under 2.5 rounds (-115) Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake Woodley to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Jake Woodley wins via 3rd round TKO


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Eduardo Henrique vs. Devon Lozej Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Eduardo Henrique vs Devon Lozej – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown (likely LFA event)

Game Overview

Flyweight bout featuring current champion Eduardo Henrique da Silva against contender Devon Lozej. Henrique is favored on the moneyline with -220 odds, indicating strong bookmaker confidence in his ability to win. Lozej is the underdog at +155 but has a solid recent form in the LFA circuit.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eduardo Henrique, as the reigning champion, has demonstrated consistent performance and finishing ability in his recent fights. Devon Lozej has shown durability and competitiveness but fewer finishes compared to Henrique.
  • No recorded prior head-to-head matchups between Eduardo Henrique and Devon Lozej.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the matchup.
  • Fight scheduled within LFA promotion, which should provide a neutral venue environment. No known external distractions or factors impacting either fighter.
  • Eduardo Henrique motivated to defend his title and maintain champion status. Devon Lozej motivated to capture the belt and prove himself, which could drive an aggressive approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Eduardo Henrique: -220, Devon Lozej: +155 Eduardo Henrique β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds: -120, Devon Lozej +1.5 rounds: +100 Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eduardo Henrique -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Eduardo Henrique at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eduardo Henrique to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Eduardo Henrique wins by submission in Round 2


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Richie Miranda vs. Ilay Barzilay Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Richie Miranda vs Ilay Barzilay – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ventura County Fairgrounds, Ventura, California

Game Overview

Lightweight title defense match at LFA 215 between Richie Miranda (11-1), the reigning champion known for strong grappling, and Ilay Barzilay, an undefeated contender.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miranda has shown consistent dominance with a grappling-heavy style, recently defending his title successfully. Barzilay remains undefeated, exhibiting strong striking and steady improvement.
  • No prior fights between Miranda and Barzilay; this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, both appear in peak condition.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue with both having equal travel demands; no reported issues affecting preparations.
  • Miranda highly motivated to maintain championship status and prove superiority; Barzilay motivated to claim first major title and remain undefeated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Richie Miranda: -200, Ilay Barzilay: +150 Richie Miranda β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Richie Miranda -1.5: -115, Ilay Barzilay +1.5: -105 Richie Miranda -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 Rounds: -120, Under 2.5 Rounds: +100 Over 2.5 Rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Richie Miranda -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Richie Miranda at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richie Miranda to win via decision

Predicted Score: Miranda wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Kaiwen Li vs. Keiichiro Nakamura Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Kaiwen Li vs Keiichiro Nakamura – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shanghai

Game Overview

The matchup between Kaiwen Li and Keiichiro Nakamura is set to take place at Road to UFC: Shanghai. Both fighters are vying for a crucial victory in their careers. There is no recent head-to-head data between them, but external factors such as motivation and recent form will likely influence the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form is crucial, but specific details about both fighters' current performance are not available.
  • No head-to-head data is available between Kaiwen Li and Keiichiro Nakamura.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event's significance and the fighters' motivations could impact their performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, as this event is part of the Road to UFC series.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kaiwen Li +125, Keiichiro Nakamura -155 Keiichiro Nakamura β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Keiichiro Nakamura -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Keiichiro Nakamura at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Keiichiro Nakamura is favored to win by decision.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Chang Min Yoon vs. Sebastian Szalay Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Chang Min Yoon vs Sebastian Szalay – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Road to UFC: Shanghai, Shanghai

Game Overview

Chang Min Yoon and Sebastian Szalay meet at Road to UFC: Shanghai in a bout where Szalay enters as the strong favorite with heavier betting support and better recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sebastian Szalay has shown stronger pace control and output recently, with superior cage control and forward pressure. Chang Min Yoon has durability but lacks the consistent offensive output and control to dictate the fight tempo.
  • No available direct head-to-head encounters between Chang Min Yoon and Sebastian Szalay.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter close to the fight date.
  • Fighting in Shanghai may slightly favor Chang Min Yoon due to regional proximity, but minimal impact expected compared to skill differences.
  • Szalay appears highly motivated to maintain his dominant form and exploit Yoon’s lower activity levels inside the cage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chang Min Yoon: +200, Sebastian Szalay: -260 Sebastian Szalay β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Szalay -1.5 rounds: -120, Yoon +1.5 rounds: +100 Szalay -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sebastian Szalay -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Sebastian Szalay at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sebastian Szalay wins by moneyline

Predicted Score: Sebastian Szalay wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Sim Kai Xiong vs. Sulangrangbo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sim Kai Xiong vs Sulangrangbo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shanghai, China

Game Overview

Bantamweight semifinal bout between Singapore's Sim Kai Xiong and China's Sulangrangbo on Road to UFC: Shanghai. Both fighters are prospects eager to secure a UFC contract spot, with Sulangrangbo slightly favored in betting markets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sulangrangbo enters on a strong recent run with consistent performances and a strong finish rate, while Sim Kai Xiong has shown steady improvement after a solid fight camp in Muay Thai training but lacks the same finishing consistency.
  • No known previous matchups between the fighters, making this a fresh stylistic clash.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into this bout, both appear fully healthy.
  • The fight takes place in Shanghai, favoring Sulangrangbo for home crowd support and reduced travel fatigue compared to Sim Kai Xiong from Singapore.
  • Sulangrangbo is highly motivated to continue his ascent in Chinese MMA and secure a UFC contract, with visible determination in public messaging. Sim Kai Xiong is also motivated but may face slight disadvantage in local support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sim Kai Xiong: 140, Sulangrangbo: -170 Sulangrangbo β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Sulangrangbo -1.5: -110, Sim Kai Xiong +1.5: -110 Sulangrangbo -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sulangrangbo -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Sulangrangbo at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sulangrangbo to win by decision

Predicted Score: Sulangrangbo wins by decision after 3 rounds


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