Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-05
- Time: 10:46 PM UTC
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Game Overview
Philadelphia Phillies host Baltimore Orioles in a pivotal MLB matchup. Phillies are favored following a dominant 13-3 victory in the previous encounter. Both teams look to consolidate their standings with strong motivations.
Key Factors to Consider
- Phillies hold a strong 64-48 season record with 6 wins in last 10 games, showing consistent form. Orioles sit at 51-62, struggling comparatively but have had success on the road against the Phillies historically.
- The Phillies lead with 21 wins to Orioles' 20 in head-to-head matchups. Phillies won the last meeting decisively 13-3 at home. Orioles have a strong away record against Phillies, winning 12 of the last 14 trips with +2.5 handicap.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key batters for this game.
- Game played at Phillies' home stadium gives a significant home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are favorable and neutral for both teams.
- Phillies are motivated to solidify playoff positioning and continue winning streak. Orioles are fighting to improve standings, aiming for a bounce-back after recent heavy defeat.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Phillies -142, Orioles +120 | Philadelphia Phillies | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Phillies -1.5 +136, Orioles +1.5 -164 | Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 9.5 -118, Under 9.5 -104 | Under 9.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win moneyline and cover -1.5 run line; game total to go under 9.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 - Baltimore Orioles 3
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