Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 5:41 PM UTC
- Location: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers (84-65) visit the Miami Marlins (70-79) in a late-season MLB matchup with playoff implications for Detroit. Tigers are slight favorites due to stronger recent form and pitching matchup advantages.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Tigers hold an 84-65 record, showing consistent offense and pitching depth. Miami Marlins have a losing record at 70-79 and have struggled offensively and on the mound recently.
- Detroit has had success against Miami's current pitcher Adam Mazur who has an ERA of 6.30 and struggled in prior appearances. Tigers' offense performs well both vs. right and left-handed pitching.
- No significant injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key hitters for either team going into this game.
- Game is at LoanDepot Park, a neutral to mildly hitter-friendly ballpark. Weather and other factors are expected to be stable with no impact on play.
- Detroit is pushing for playoff position with strong motivation. Miami, with a losing record and out of playoff contention, may lack intensity.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -142, Miami Marlins +120 | Detroit Tigers | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Detroit Tigers -1.5 +110, Miami Marlins +1.5 -132 | Detroit Tigers -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 9.5 +100, Under 9.5 -122 | Under 9.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 9.5 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers moneyline
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – Miami Marlins 3