Match Analysis: Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Game Overview
The Toronto Raptors enter as a strong favorite against the struggling Indiana Pacers, who are on a six-game losing streak. Raptors have a much better recent form and home/away performance disparity favors Toronto.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto Raptors hold a 7-5 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games, showing solid form. Indiana Pacers are 1-11 and on a six-game losing skid with poor offensive and defensive metrics.
- In recent meetings, the Raptors lead the last three games 2-1 and have also covered the spread better (2-1). The Raptors won the previous matchups convincingly.
- Raptors have minor day-to-day injuries (Collin Murray-Boyles – Illness, Ochai Agbaji – Back), unlikely to impact key rotation significantly. Pacers have no major reported absences.
- The game is at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, but the Raptors have been strong on the road and motivated to maintain winning momentum. No significant travel or schedule disadvantages for Raptors.
- Pacers are desperate to end their losing streak, while Raptors aim to solidify their playoff positioning and maintain positive momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Raptors: -300, Indiana Pacers: +245 | Toronto Raptors | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Toronto Raptors -7.5 (-106), Indiana Pacers +7.5 (-114) | Toronto Raptors -7.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 233.5 (-110), Under 233.5 (-110) | Over 233.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Raptors -12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 233.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 233.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Raptors to cover the -7.5 spread with a moneyline win and game total going over 233.5 points.
Predicted Score: Toronto Raptors 124 – Indiana Pacers 110