Match Analysis: Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Game Overview
The Toronto Raptors (8-5) host the Charlotte Hornets (4-9) in a matchup where the Raptors are favored both on the moneyline and spread. Toronto enters on a three-game winning streak and has dominated recent head-to-head encounters. The Hornets are struggling with a four-game road losing streak and injury concerns.
Key Factors to Consider
- Raptors have an 8-5 record with a strong recent form at 7-3 in the last 10 games. Hornets slump at 4-9 overall and 3-7 in their last 10. Raptors cover the spread well as favorites (10 of last 13), Hornets only 3 ATS wins in last 10 games.
- Toronto leads recent matchups decisively with a 3-0 ATS record and 2-1 SU in last three meetings. Raptors have won 8 of last 10 overall and covered 7 of those games against Charlotte.
- Charlotteβs key player Brandon Miller is dealing with a shoulder injury and questionable for this game, weakening their offensive capability. Raptors have no significant reported injuries.
- The game is at Toronto's home arena, giving them a venue advantage. Toronto has better home performance historically and in covering spreads at home.
- Raptors aim to extend their winning streak and maintain momentum in a tighter Eastern Conference race, while Hornets are struggling to find form and playing with limited confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto -340, Charlotte +270 | Toronto Raptors | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Toronto -8.5 (-105), Charlotte +8.5 (-115) | Toronto Raptors -8.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 238.5 (-108), Under 238.5 (-112) | Under 238.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Raptors -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 238.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 238.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Raptors to win straight up (moneyline), cover the -8.5 spread, and the game total to go under 238.5 points
Predicted Score: Toronto Raptors 122 – Charlotte Hornets 111