Match Analysis: San Jose Barracuda vs Ontario Reign – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Tech CU Arena
Game Overview
San Jose Barracuda host Ontario Reign in a Pacific Division matchup. Both teams are in the early grind of the 2025-26 AHL season, with Ontario showing strong early form and San Jose struggling to find consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ontario Reign have won 4 of their last 5 games, including a shootout win over San Jose earlier in November. San Jose has lost 3 of their last 5, with defensive lapses and inconsistent goaltending.
- Ontario has won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 shootout victory over San Jose on November 1. Reign have outscored Barracuda 12-7 in those games.
- San Jose is missing two top-six forwards due to injury, including their leading scorer. Ontario has a full roster, with no major injuries reported.
- San Jose is playing their third game in five nights, while Ontario is well-rested after a two-day break. The game is at Tech CU Arena, where San Jose has a modest home record.
- Ontario is pushing for a top-three spot in the Pacific Division. San Jose is fighting to stay above .500 and avoid the bottom of the standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 115, away: -150 | Ontario Reign | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -220, away: 165 | Ontario Reign -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -130, under: 100 | Under 5.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ontario Reign 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 44% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ontario Reign to win outright and cover the -1.5 spread, with the game finishing under 5.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Ontario Reign 3, San Jose Barracuda 1