Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs UNLV Rebels – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 16, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee

Game Overview

Memphis Tigers (1-1) host UNLV Rebels (1-2) in a non-conference college basketball matchup. Memphis enters as heavy favorites following a road loss to Ole Miss, while UNLV seeks their second win after a disappointing 1-2 start marked by losses to Tennessee-Martin and Montana at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• UNLV has struggled significantly, managing just one win in three games despite shooting efficiently at 51.1% from the field. They lost as 10-point favorites to Montana at home (102-93), indicating execution and defensive issues. Memphis won their opener but lost on the road to Ole Miss (83-77), suggesting inconsistency but strength at home. Memphis is considered the best team in the AAC this season.
• Memphis defeated UNLV 80-74 in their most recent matchup, demonstrating dominance in direct competition.
• No specific injuries reported for either team in available data.
• UNLV is traveling on the road where they have yet to play this season (0-0 Away). Memphis plays at home where they are 1-0, providing significant home-court advantage. UNLV has failed to cover spreads where they were favored, suggesting a pattern of underperformance against expectations.
• Memphis will be motivated to rebound from their first loss with a convincing home victory. UNLV faces mounting pressure to avoid an 0-3 start against a superior opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Memphis Tigers will dominate UNLV at home, covering the spread convincingly in a lower-scoring affair than typical UNLV games due to Memphis's defensive discipline.

Predicted Score: Memphis 79, UNLV 65

Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC

Game Overview

The East Carolina Pirates (6-3) host the Memphis Tigers (8-2) in a highly competitive AAC matchup featuring East Carolina's strong 15th-ranked scoring defense versus Memphis's 15th-ranked scoring offense. The Pirates are slight favorites by 2.5 points at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• East Carolina has a solid defense allowing 17.3 PPG, while Memphis averages 37.1 PPG on a top-15 offense. East Carolina is 5-4 ATS and Memphis 8-2 straight up so far.
• Recent meetings have been competitive, with close scorelines expected. Currently, East Carolina benefits from home advantage with slight edge in ATS records.
• No significant injuries reported for either team, suggesting both squads are near full strength.
• Game is at East Carolina’s home field with mild weather (67F, no rain), which favors the home team's comfort. Memphis is slightly underdog in a hostile environment.
• Memphis seeks to maintain their high ranking and continue their strong season, while East Carolina looks to leverage home advantage to upset a higher-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

East Carolina to win narrowly, covering the spread with a moderately lower combined score under the total line.

Predicted Score: East Carolina 28, Memphis 24

Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 12, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion, Oxford, MS

Game Overview

Ole Miss Rebels (2-0) host Memphis Tigers (1-0) in a non-conference matchup. Ole Miss enters undefeated with dominant wins, while Memphis comes off a narrow 76-70 victory over San Francisco. This represents a significant step up in competition for Memphis.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ole Miss averages 87 PPG on 49.2% shooting with elite defense allowing just 61.5 PPG. Memphis shot only 39.4% FG against San Francisco and relies heavily on 3-point shooting (37% from three). Ole Miss's 2-0 start against lesser competition (UL Monroe 86-65, plus one other) shows consistency but limited testing. Memphis's 1-0 record includes a defensive struggle where they allowed 40% shooting.
• Memphis defeated Ole Miss 87-70 in their last meeting. Memphis holds a 3-2 record in the last five H2H matchups, suggesting competitive history. However, current form and roster composition may differ significantly from that previous matchup.
• No injury information available in provided data.
• Ole Miss plays at home with two consecutive home wins. Memphis travels to Oxford on short notice. The Sandy and John Black Pavilion provides home-court advantage. Public betting shows 50-50 split on moneyline, indicating sharp money disagreement on line value.
• Ole Miss seeks to maintain undefeated status and prove early-season credentials. Memphis aims for a signature road win but faces pressure as significant underdogs in a hostile environment.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Ole Miss Rebels win convincingly at home. Memphis's inefficient shooting (39.4% FG, 53.8% FT) combined with Ole Miss's elite defense and superior shooting efficiency creates a significant talent disparity. Home court, recent form, and defensive metrics favor the Rebels decisively.

Predicted Score: Ole Miss 82, Memphis 68

Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs San Francisco Dons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Game Overview

Non-conference matchup between two mid-major powers, both coming off strong seasons. Memphis, ACC favorites last season (29-6, 16-2) and 13-2 at home, host West Coast Conference's San Francisco, who outclassed weak UC Santa Cruz in a 98-53 rout. Last H2H was a close Memphis win, 68-64, but with Memphis overcoming a poor first half with a strong second half. Game total set high at 156.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Memphis was a high-scoring, balanced offensive team last season (79.9 PPG, 47.2% FG, 37.6% 3P) but turnover-prone (338th in TOs). Defensively average (223rd in scoring defense). San Francisco enters 1-0 after a dominant but uninformative win. Memphis is unproven this season but has more top-end talent (PJ Haggerty 21.7 PPG, Dain Dainja 14.6 PPG last year)[3]. San Francisco’s leading scorer is Marcus Thomas (19.3 PPG)[5]. Both teams above average in pace and three-point shooting.
• Memphis won last matchup 68-64, overcoming a slow start. Both teams return core players. Minimal H2H sample size but Memphis has home-court advantage and more recent postseason pedigree[1][2].
• No reported major injuries affecting either roster.
• Memphis home opener, typically a high-energy environment. San Francisco traveling cross-continent. Both teams motivated for early-season statement win.
• Memphis looking to start strong in front of home fans. San Francisco wants to prove itself as a true mid-major contender.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Memphis wins a competitive, high-scoring game, covering the spread in a contest that goes over the total. San Francisco keeps it close due to shooting and pace, but Memphis’s talent, home court, and second-half resilience are decisive.

Predicted Score: Memphis Tigers 83, San Francisco Dons 78

Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 7, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Game Overview

An AAC showdown with major College Football Playoff implications for the Group of Five. Memphis is ranked No. 25, holds an 8-1 record, and has won four straight at home. Tulane is 6-2, 3-1 in conference, and must rebound from a lopsided road loss to UTSA. The Tigers are 3.5-point favorites, with a tight race atop the American Conference standings at stake.

Key Factors to Consider

• Memphis has been dominant at home, winning four straight, and is coming off a convincing road win at Rice. Tulane's offense has regressed from last year and was exposed defensively by UTSA. Memphis is ranked No. 25 nationally, while Tulane is unranked.
• Memphis won the last meeting 34-24 at Tulane, bringing the last six matchups to 3-3. However, Memphis has more momentum currently.
• No major injury reports from either team are available in the available data. Assume both squads are near full strength.
• Memphis enjoys a strong home-field advantage, outscoring opponents by an average of 14 points at home this season. Tulane is on the road after a tough loss and faces potential distractions from coaching rumors.
• Memphis is fighting for a shot at the College Football Playoff as the Group of Five's top-ranked team. Tulane is motivated to keep pace in the AAC race, but their head coach is rumored for open jobs, potentially impacting focus.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Memphis leans on their home field, superior form, and motivation for a playoff bid to win and cover, while Tulane's offense struggles to keep pace. The total points may go under, based on Tulane's offensive decline and Memphis' stingy home defense.

Predicted Score: Memphis 31, Tulane 24

Match Analysis: Rice Owls vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-31
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Rice Stadium, Houston, TX

Game Overview

Memphis Tigers (7-1) visit Rice Owls (4-4) with Memphis as a clear favorite at -14 spread. Memphis possesses a top-20 rushing attack and a strong defense, while Rice has a balanced but less consistent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Memphis is 7-1 straight up and against the spread, showing consistency especially as a favorite. Rice is 4-4, recently 3-2 SU and ATS, performing better on the road against the spread but overall less dominant against high-level opponents.
• No direct recent H2H data available, but Memphis's superior season record and stats imply dominance over Rice.
• No notable major injuries reported impacting Memphis or Rice starters; both teams appear relatively healthy.
• Game played at Rice Stadium with mild weather (69°F, 3 mph wind) and no rain expected, neutral environment favors Memphis's powerful run game.
• Memphis, ranked 25th nationally, motivated to maintain top position and strong bowl prospects; Rice looking to improve bowl eligibility with a key home game.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Memphis Tigers moneyline, Memphis -14 spread, and over 49.5 points total for highest expected value plays.

Predicted Score: Memphis Tigers 38 – Rice Owls 20

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Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, Tennessee

Game Overview

Both teams entered the game with strong rushing offenses and identical 6-1 records, with South Florida slight favorites at -4.5 and a total around 62.5 points. South Florida has the #18 rushing offense and 7th-ranked scoring offense; Memphis is ranked #15 in rushing offense and #14 overall offense.

Key Factors to Consider

• South Florida is coming off a dominant 48-13 win, showing potent offense and solid defense. Memphis recently lost 31-24 to UAB but has a strong offensive ranking and decent form with a 4-1 ATS record in last 5 games and good home performance against the spread.
• No recent direct H2H data provided; both similarly ranked and matched teams from the same conference with comparable records.
• No specific major injuries reported for either team, allowing both to deploy strongest lineups.
• Game played in Memphis with good weather forecast (65°F, no rain, light wind), favoring no environmental disruption. No unusual distractions or travel issues apparent.
• Both teams are contending in the American conference with 6-1 records, making this a pivotal game for conference standings and potential rankings. Slight edge in motivation to South Florida as favorites coming off big momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

South Florida Bulls moneyline win

Predicted Score: South Florida 31 – Memphis 26

Match Analysis: UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Protective Stadium, Birmingham, Alabama

Game Overview

The undefeated No. 22 Memphis Tigers (6-0) visit the struggling UAB Blazers (2-4) in an AAC showdown. Memphis has been dominant this season, boasting a strong offense and defense, while UAB has lost three straight games and recently conceded 53 points. The Tigers are heavy favorites at -1800 moneyline and a 21.5-point spread, with an over/under set at 62.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Memphis is undefeated (6-0) with a dominant 45-7 victory in their last game, showing strong offensive and defensive balance. UAB is 2-4, coming off a 53-33 loss and currently on a 3-game losing streak, struggling defensively.
• Memphis won the previous encounter decisively, 53-18 at home. Overall, Memphis has consistently outperformed UAB in recent matchups.
• No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect the outcome.
• Memphis plays on the road but is historically strong in hostile environments; UAB has home field advantage but limited recent success. No notable weather or external disruptions expected.
• Memphis aims to maintain unbeaten status and solidify their top-25 ranking, while UAB looks to avoid an extended losing streak and improve conference standing.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Memphis moneyline win; Memphis covering -21.5 spread; game total will go over 62.5 points

Predicted Score: Memphis 49 – UAB 20

Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida

Game Overview

The Memphis Tigers (4-0) travel to face the Florida Atlantic Owls (1-2) in an AAC matchup. Memphis enters as a heavy favorite with strong recent form and solid defensive metrics, while FAU struggles both on defense and overall record. The total points line is set quite high at 63.5, reflecting Memphis’ strong offensive output and high-scoring tendencies.

Key Factors to Consider

• Memphis is unbeaten at 4-0 with a balanced offense averaging over 236 rushing yards and scoring roughly 32 points per game. Defensively, Memphis allows only 16 points and 308 yards per game, showing strong resistance. Florida Atlantic is 1-2, scoring 30 points per game but allowing over 30 points as well, with inconsistency evident especially on defense.
• Last meeting in 2020 saw Memphis prevail 25-10. Memphis has generally dominated in recent matchups, indicating a clear upper hand historically.
• No significant injury reports are mentioned, implying both teams likely have their key players available.
• Game at Florida Atlantic’s home stadium could provide some edge, but minimal given Memphis’s superior talent and momentum. No adverse weather or other external disruptions noted.
• Memphis aims to maintain an undefeated start and assert conference dominance, while Florida Atlantic is motivated to avoid a 1-3 start and salvage their season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Memphis Tigers to win straight up, cover the -13.5 spread, and the game to go under 63.5 points.

Predicted Score: Memphis 31 – Florida Atlantic 17