Match Analysis: FC Barcelona Bàsquet vs Virtus Segafredo Bologna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Palau Blaugrana
Game Overview
This EuroLeague matchup pits home favorite FC Barcelona Bàsquet against Virtus Segafredo Bologna, with Barcelona holding a significant edge in recent form and home advantage in a high-stakes game early in November 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Barcelona has been strong recently, including a notable road win over Fenerbahce and a solid home record. Virtus Bologna is on a modest winning streak but has defensive vulnerabilities and rebounding weaknesses.
- Barcelona leads recent H2H stands with 3 wins to Virtus Bologna's 5 since 2000, but Barcelona won the most recent home meeting decisively by 27 points.
- No significant injury reports disclosed for either team affecting key starters ahead of this match.
- Home court advantage at Palau Blaugrana heavily favors Barcelona; travel and rest conditions are standard given the EuroLeague schedule.
- Barcelona aims to climb into higher EuroLeague playoff positions, increasing their motivation, while Virtus Bologna, out of playoff contention, seeks to build momentum for next season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -400 for Barcelona, +295 for Virtus Bologna | FC Barcelona Bàsquet | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | -8.5 (-113) Barcelona, +8.5 (-109) Virtus Bologna | FC Barcelona Bàsquet -8.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 164.5 (-112), Under 164.5 (-112) | Over 164.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Barcelona Bàsquet 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 164.5 25% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 164.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Barcelona Bàsquet to win the game outright and cover the spread, with an expectation of a moderately high scoring game surpassing the total points line.
Predicted Score: Barcelona 88 – Virtus Bologna 75