Match Analysis: TSG Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Heidenheim – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: PreZero Arena
Game Overview
TSG Hoffenheim hosts 1. FC Heidenheim in a Bundesliga clash where Hoffenheim are slight favorites based on form and historical results. Hoffenheim display stronger recent performances with higher scoring potential, while Heidenheim struggle against top teams but remain resilient on occasion.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hoffenheim show offensive prowess with notable wins (3-0 vs St. Pauli, 4-2 vs Union Berlin) but inconsistencies exist due to losses against stronger teams like KΓΆln and Bayern. Heidenheim has a poor record with few wins and many losses, but can challenge teams at times.
- Hoffenheim remain unbeaten against Heidenheim in Bundesliga, having 1 win and 3 draws previously. Most encounters have been low-scoring with under 2.5 goals in 5 of last 6 matchups.
- No significant absences reported impacting starting lineups for either team, suggesting both sides are at near full strength.
- The match is at Hoffenheim's home ground, PreZero Arena, giving them a home advantage. Weather and travel conditions appear normal with no reported disruptions.
- Hoffenheim are motivated to bounce back after recent losses and to capitalize on Heidenheim's weaker form to secure three points and improve their league standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | TSG Hoffenheim: -174, 1. FC Heidenheim: +420, Draw: +340 | TSG Hoffenheim | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | TSG Hoffenheim -1: -108, 1. FC Heidenheim +1: -112 | TSG Hoffenheim -1 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 3.25: +102, Under 3.25: -122 | Under 3.25 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | TSG Hoffenheim -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.25 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
TSG Hoffenheim to win
Predicted Score: 2-1