Match Analysis: Hull City vs Oxford United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: MKM Stadium
Game Overview
Hull City, coming off a solid defensive display with a draw against Coventry City, face Oxford United who are looking to recover after a home loss to Portsmouth and have a recent 3-game losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hull City shows defensive resilience and moderate recent form (DWLWD), while Oxford United struggles offensively and is on a losing streak (DLLLD). Both teams have near equal points but Hull's defense edges out.
- In the last 7 meetings, Hull has 2 wins, Oxford 3 wins, and 2 draws. Hull leads marginally on goal difference 9-8.
- No explicit injury data available from search results; assume line-ups close to full strength with no key absences reported.
- Match played at Hull's home MKM Stadium, giving them home advantage.
- Hull motivated to build on defensive stability and gain points at home. Oxford is motivated to end their losing streak but may struggle to break Hull's defense.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hull City: -119, Oxford United: 315, Draw: 235 | Hull City | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Hull City -0.5: -115, Oxford United +50: -105 | Hull City -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: 102, Under 2.25: -122 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hull City 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hull City to win with a close scoreline; under 2.25 goals likely given Hull's defensive organization and Oxford's scoring struggles.
Predicted Score: 1-0