Match Analysis: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Fulham – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Amex Stadium, Brighton
Game Overview
Brighton and Hove Albion host Fulham in an early season EPL clash. Brighton, finishing 8th last season and narrowly missing European qualification, have a strong home form and an unbeaten run to end last season. Fulham have posed a mixed challenge in recent meetings, sometimes winning decisively. This match carries European ambitions for Brighton and survival hopes for Fulham.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brighton ended last season strongly with a 5-game unbeaten streak including 4 home games unbeaten. They won 8, drew 8, and lost 3 at home last season. Fulham have shown inconsistent form, but have managed some solid wins over Brighton recently.
- Recent head-to-heads show a mix: Brighton won 2-1 in March 2025, but Fulham won 3-1 in Dec 2024 and 3-0 in Mar 2024. Their clashes have produced varied high-scoring results and also draws.
- Key player Carlos Baleba for Brighton is doubtful due to a knock and possible transfer interest. No significant injury updates reported for Fulham before the fixture.
- Brighton have a young manager Fabian Hurzeler pushing to improve the squad. They lost Joao Pedro and face transition but have welcomed new signings. Fulhamβs motivation comes from establishing Premier League stability.
- Brighton are motivated by pushing into European competitions again, aiming to build on last seasonβs 8th place. Fulham will seek points for survival and to prove competitiveness against higher-ranked opposition.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Brighton: -106, Fulham: 298, Draw: 272 | Brighton | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Brighton -0.5: -106, Fulham +50: -110 | Brighton -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -108 | Under 2.75 Goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Brighton and Hove Albion 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brighton moneyline win
Predicted Score: 2-1