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Alavés vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-20
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Game Overview

Deportivo Alavés faces Valencia in a La Liga clash where both teams have plenty to fight for. Alavés looks to capitalize on their strong home form, while Valencia, a traditionally strong side, has struggled recently, especially away. Under 2.5 goals is a consistent trend in this fixture, and Alavés has demonstrated they can grind out results at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés enjoys solid home form, often making Mendizorroza a fortress. Valencia, while capable, has shown recent vulnerability on the road, lacking consistency against mid-table sides.
  • Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 5 of the last 6 meetings, and the most recent match at this venue finished 1-0 to Alavés[4][5]. H2H trends suggest tight, low-scoring affairs dominate this matchup.
  • No injury news provided in the available data – this is a blind spot and would require real-time data for a fully informed analysis.
  • Nil significant – no major weather, venue, or fixture congestion concerns noted in provided data.
  • Both teams are in the mid-table fight—winning here is important for confidence and league position. However, Alavés' strong home record adds extra motivation for a positive result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés +123 | Valencia +255 | Draw +210 Alavés ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés -0.25 (-112) | Valencia +25 (-108) Alavés ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2 (-118) | Under 2 (-102) Under 2 ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alavés should edge out Valencia in a low-scoring contest, leveraging home advantage and recent H2H form.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Getafe vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Getafe vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe

Game Overview

Real Madrid, dominant historically and current La Liga leaders, visit Getafe who have shown moderate recent form but remain underdogs. Real Madrid’s quality, depth, and recent dominance set strong expectations for an away win with a likely controlled game flow but potential for goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Getafe holds a 3-1 record in the last 5 matches, performing well at home but mixed against the spread. Real Madrid is in strong form overall with a 7-1 record, demonstrating high scoring and defensive solidity in the league.
  • Historically, Real Madrid leads overwhelmingly with 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 15 matches against Getafe, indicating a strong psychological and quality edge.
  • Real Madrid has significant absences including key defenders and midfielders such as Alaba, Carvajal, Mendy, Militao, Camavinga, Bellingham, and Rodrygo, possibly limiting squad depth and defensive stability. Getafe’s lineup appears more intact.
  • Real Madrid are playing away but motivation to maintain league dominance is high. Getafe at home may fight hard, but public betting heavily favors Real Madrid. Odds movement favors Real for moneyline bets.
  • Real Madrid aims to consolidate league leadership and respond to any previous lapses. Getafe seeks to defend at home and capitalize on any Real Madrid vulnerabilities but are generally underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Getafe +665, Draw +365, Real Madrid -222 Real Madrid ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Getafe +1.25 -116, Real Madrid -1.25 -104 Real Madrid -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -109, Under 2.5 -111 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid moneyline win; Real Madrid -1.25 spread; Over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: Getafe 1 – 3 Real Madrid


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Levante vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Levante vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Levante Home Stadium

Game Overview

Levante and Rayo Vallecano face off in a La Liga match where both sides have underwhelming recent league form, each with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses this season. Levante holds a slight league position advantage and a home field benefit.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Levante have a 1-3 record in their last five matches but have performed moderately well against the spread both overall and on the road. Rayo Vallecano matches their 2-2-4 record but lacks home advantage and slightly less favorable recent form.
  • Historically, the teams have been relatively evenly matched. Recent H2H data does not heavily favor either side, supporting a close contest.
  • No major injury reports explicitly noted, implying both teams likely have their core squads available.
  • Levante's home fixtures have trending high total goals (over 2.5 goals) in recent matches, indicating an open style of play here. Public betting leans slightly towards Levante.
  • Levante’s motivation to secure points at home to climb the league table is likely higher, given their marginally better position and home advantage. Rayo Vallecano may be under more pressure but lack an edge in environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline levante: +184, rayo_vallecano: +154, draw: +246 Levante ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread levante_0: +103, rayo_0: -123 Levante +0 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over_2.5: -103, under_2.5: -117 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Levante 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Levante at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Levante moneyline to win, with a moderately high confidence, and take the over 2.5 goals considering home scoring patterns and open style of both teams.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Levante


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Celta Vigo vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Balaídos

Game Overview

Celta Vigo hosts Real Sociedad in a La Liga match that is expected to be low-scoring with both teams having defensive strengths and inconsistent attacking performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Celta Vigo's recent form is marked by draws, while Real Sociedad has struggled with losses away from home. Celta relies on Borja Iglesias and Iago Aspas for attack, while Real Sociedad's threats come from Mikel Oyarzabal and Takefusa Kubo.
  • Recent head-to-heads have been tight, with a 1-0 Celta Vigo win in their last meeting.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Home advantage could be pivotal for Celta Vigo.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Real Sociedad might have more pressure due to recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Celta Vigo: 111, Real Sociedad: 274, Draw: 240 Draw ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Celta Vigo: -0.25 -124, Real Sociedad: 25 104 Real Sociedad +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under over: 2.5 -108, under: 2.5 -112 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 42%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Under 2.5 goals as the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Elche CF vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

Game Overview

Elche CF, currently with a 1-0 form in their last 5 matches but an impressive 5-0 ATS record in that span, especially strong on the road (3-1 ATS), hosts Athletic Bilbao who present a solid lineup and are favored by bookmakers despite Elche's resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Elche has struggled for wins recently but excels against the spread, showing defensive discipline and resilience. Athletic Bilbao has a better overall recent form and is favored to win outright.
  • Athletic Bilbao has slight edge historically and is favored in betting markets (approx. 44% implied win probability vs 28% for Elche), but Elche’s strong ATS performance suggests competitiveness.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key players for either team were found, indicating both sides likely at near full strength.
  • The match takes place in Elche's home venue, which usually benefits them defensively; public betting leans heavily toward Elche ATS, showing market respect for their defensive style.
  • Both teams are motivated with Athletic Bilbao looking to maintain top-table form and Elche aiming to capitalize on home advantage and recent ATS momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 111, Elche CF: 280, Draw: 236 Athletic Bilbao ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Athletic Bilbao -0.25: -126, Elche CF +25: 106 Elche CF +0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: 101, Under 2.25: -121 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao moneyline win, Elche +0.25 spread, Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 1 – 0 Elche CF


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Atlético Madrid vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts CA Osasuna in La Liga with Atlético favored given recent form and home advantage. Atlético have been solid but mixed against the spread, and Osasuna struggle away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid is 2-1 in last 5 matches, unbeaten across competitions, but 0-4 ATS in away games recently. Osasuna have tactical adjustments ongoing and have lost their last 4 away games.
  • Atlético has dominated recent encounters at home with 8 wins in last 10 meetings. Goals average around 2.5 per game with generally low-scoring matches.
  • No critical injury info reported for either side that would significantly affect lineup or performance.
  • Match played at Atlético's home stadium but in Riyadh, potentially neutralizing some home advantage. No notable weather or other external issues.
  • Atlético aiming to solidify position in Champions League zone, highly motivated. Osasuna are still adapting tactically under new manager, motivation present but lower chances of winning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -275, away: 800, draw: 424 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -122, away: 102 Atlético Madrid -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win moneyline, covering -1.25 spread, and total goals over 2.5

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Villarreal vs. Real Betis Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica

Game Overview

La Liga Round 9 clash featuring Villarreal hosting Real Betis, both in strong form but with Villarreal holding a home unbeaten streak and Betis on a three-game winning run.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has won eight consecutive home matches and concedes few goals, scoring consistently in La Liga. Real Betis has won their last three matches and are also scoring regularly.
  • Villarreal has dominated recent home encounters, including a 2-1 win in the previous meeting. Historical dominance at home gives Villarreal an edge.
  • Villarreal will miss key defenders Logan Costa, Juan Foyth, Willy Kambwala, and forward Pau Cabanes, plus suspension for Santiago Mourino. Ayoze Perez and Gerard Moreno have returned. Real Betis appears healthier.
  • The match is at Villarreal's home ground where they show strong defensive solidity and recent dominance. Weather or pitch conditions were not highlighted as factors.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain its top-three standing and home winning streak after a loss to Real Madrid. Real Betis seeks to extend their unbeaten run and stay competitive in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -108, Real Betis +291, Draw +284 Villarreal ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Villarreal -0.5 -108, Real Betis +50 -112 Villarreal -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.75 -122, Under 2.75 +102 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win on the moneyline, cover -0.5 spread, and over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1 Villarreal


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Barcelona vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Olimpico Lluis Companys

Game Overview

Barcelona hosts Girona in a La Liga match where Barcelona is the dominant favorite after suffering a recent away loss, while Girona has shown mixed form but managed a recent home win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has won 3 consecutive home games but recently lost 4-1 away to Sevilla despite high possession. Girona won their last home match narrowly against Valencia but have a 1-3-4 record overall with struggles for consistency.
  • Historically, Barcelona leads the rivalry with 9 wins against Girona's 4, including last season’s 4-1 victories at home and away. Average goals scored per encounter favor Barcelona (2.93) over Girona (1.14).
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that would significantly affect team strength.
  • Barcelona faces pressure from fans following recent poor away form and calls for coach changes, increasing motivation to perform at home. Girona seeks to consolidate their place but have less at stake.
  • Barcelona highly motivated to bounce back strongly on home soil and maintain second place in the league; Girona motivated by survival and rare opportunities to challenge stronger teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -485, Girona: 1250, Draw: 650 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Barcelona -2: -113, Girona +2: -107 Barcelona -2 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 4: 108, Under 4: -128 Over 4 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona to win, cover -2 goal spread, and Over 4 goals total

Predicted Score: 4-1


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Sevilla vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla

Game Overview

Sevilla hosts Mallorca in a key La Liga encounter. Sevilla, rejuvenated under Matias Almeyda, are pushing for Europe, while Mallorca languish at the foot of the table, winless in their last five away games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla are in strong form: two consecutive league wins (including a 4-1 thrashing of Barcelona), sitting 6th, and scoring goals at a high rate (15 in 8 matches). Mallorca have had a dismal start, losing four straight road games and struggling to create chances (only 2 shots on target last away game).
  • Sevilla are unbeaten in their last five home games vs Mallorca, who last won in Seville in 2010. Recent meetings have been tight, but Sevilla have the clear historical edge. Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 9 of the last 10 head-to-heads.
  • No significant injury updates from top sources. Potential missing players could sway odds if announced closer to kickoff.
  • Sevilla’s home crowd and momentum from recent big win are clear assets. Mallorca’s low morale and poor away record are major liabilities.
  • Sevilla are pushing for European spots and have serious momentum. Mallorca need a turnaround to avoid being cut adrift in the relegation zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla -116, Mallorca +376, Draw +247 Sevilla ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Sevilla -0.5 (-116), Mallorca +50 (-104) Sevilla -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-108), Under 2.25 (-112) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sevilla 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla should control play and are heavily favored on form, H2H, and venue. However, their defense remains vulnerable, and Mallorca could park the bus, keeping it tighter than the moneyline suggests.

Predicted Score: 2-0 Sevilla


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Oviedo vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-17
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Game Overview

Espanyol, after a strong start, are winless in their last four, while Oviedo sit 17th with La Liga's least effective attack. Both teams are desperate for points—Oviedo to escape relegation, Espanyol to reignite their playoff push.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol's early-season form has dipped, but they still hold a better record (3-2-3) than Oviedo (2-6). Oviedo averages just 0.5 goals per match, among the league's lowest, and has lost 4 of their last 5 overall and against the spread[1][3].
  • Oviedo have not lost at home to Espanyol in 7 of the last 8 encounters. Espanyol's last away win at Oviedo was in 1995. Recent playoff history (2023/24) favored Espanyol in both legs (2-0 aggregate)[3].
  • No major injury news reported. Lineup changes could shift odds, but current data assumes full squads.
  • No significant external factors (weather, referees, crowd) reported. Odds suggest a tight match with no clear favorite.
  • Oviedo are desperate for points to avoid relegation. Espanyol need to reverse a slump to stay in the promotion race. Both teams highly motivated, but Oviedo's poor form tempers home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: 162, Oviedo: 207, Draw: 206 Draw ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Espanyol: 0 -128, Oviedo: 0 108 Oviedo 0 (pick) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 2 -104, Under: 2 -116 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Low-scoring, tense match with Oviedo's home record keeping it close, but Espanyol's slightly superior form and quality give them a marginal edge.

Predicted Score: 0-0


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