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Sao Paulo vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Atlético Nacional S.A – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Game Overview

The round of 16 Copa Libertadores clash between São Paulo and Atlético Nacional is a tightly poised fixture with São Paulo as slight favorites. Both teams come into the game on recent wins and solid group stage form, but the match's knockout nature and Atlético Nacional's home advantage add complexity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo finished top of their group with 4 wins and 2 draws, scoring 10 and conceding 4 goals. Atlético Nacional had 3 wins but 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 6, showing vulnerability but strong enough form at home.
  • Historically, the matchup has been balanced with close scorelines. Recent data suggest tight contests with likelihood of a draw or narrow win for either side.
  • No major injury news reported for either team impacting key starters, suggesting both teams can field their strongest lineups.
  • Match played at Atlético Nacional's home ground in Medellín, giving them altitude and fan support advantage. Weather and pitch condition expected to be typical with no disruptions.
  • São Paulo aims to secure an away win or draw with goals to ease second leg. Atlético Nacional highly motivated to leverage home advantage and start with an assertive result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -122 São Paulo ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread -130 São Paulo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under -115 / -113 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A 120%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlético Nacional S.A at 120% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Racing Club vs. Peñarol Montevideo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Racing Club vs Peñarol Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón (Racing Club's home)

Game Overview

A crucial Copa Libertadores match where Racing Club hosts Peñarol Montevideo. Both teams show contrasting recent forms and stats, with Racing favored at home by bookmakers but Peñarol boasting solid away defensive resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Racing Club is strong at home and favored by odds (-162 moneyline), but has shown some inconsistency lately. Peñarol has exceptional home form historically but is less dominant away and has scored few goals on the road recently.
  • Recent head-to-head fixtures show tight contests; previous match at Penarol's home ended 1-0 to Penarol, highlighting the defensive solidity and low scoring tendency in matchups.
  • Racing Club may be missing defender Germán Pezzella, weakening their backline. Peñarol has no significant injury concerns reported.
  • Travel fatigue for Peñarol may slightly reduce their away performance. The match's continental importance increases motivation for both sides.
  • Racing Club, playing at home, is motivated to leverage home advantage and improve group standings. Peñarol aims to defy odds and prove their strength away from Montevideo.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -162, draw: +290, away: +460 Racing Club ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread home: -132, away: +102, line: -0.75 Racing Club -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -150, under: +115, line: 2 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Racing Club -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Racing Club moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Velez Sarsfield vs. Fortaleza-EC Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Velez Sarsfield vs Fortaleza-EC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Castelão, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Fortaleza host Vélez Sarsfield in the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 first leg, with Fortaleza showing poor recent form but having home advantage; Vélez possess solid defense but have struggled recently on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza have won only 1 of their last 10 matches with poor offensive output (0.9 goals per game) and defensive vulnerabilities (2.2 conceded per game). Vélez Sarsfield have been losing recently but maintain better defensive discipline and possession stats.
  • These teams have never met before, adding unpredictability to the match dynamics.
  • No notable injury information available for either side, implying lineups will be near full strength.
  • Fortaleza play at home in a familiar environment. The match is a high-stakes Copa Libertadores knockout game, increasing motivation for both sides.
  • Both teams are motivated but Fortaleza may have increased urgency to recover from their recent poor run especially on home soil.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Velez Sarsfield -110, Fortaleza-EC +360, Draw +225 Velez Sarsfield ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Velez Sarsfield -0.5 -122, Fortaleza-EC +50 -108 Velez Sarsfield -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 -108, Under 2 -122 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Velez Sarsfield win; Spread: Velez Sarsfield -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Club Universitario de Deportes vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Monumental de Lima, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

Club Universitario de Deportes hosts Palmeiras-SP in the 2025 CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores round of 16 first leg at the Estadio Monumental de Lima. Palmeiras is a Brazilian Serie A leader with strong recent form and historical strength in Libertadores. Universitario shows solid defense domestically but faces a formidable Brazilian opponent on home turf.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has won 3 of last 5 matches, unbeaten, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding 0.8. Universitario has mixed form (2W-1D-2L) with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.2 goals per match but scoring 2.2 goals per match recently.
  • Since 2021, Palmeiras won 2 matches versus Universitario who has yet to register a win. Total goals in meetings favor Palmeiras (9 total goals) with 100% win rate on Asian handicap by Universitario but Palmeiras dominate outright.
  • No specific injury information is currently available for either team implying squads are likely near full strength.
  • Home advantage for Universitario plays in Lima, but Palmeiras’ experience and Brazilian league form mitigate home field edge. This venue also hosts the Libertadores final later this year.
  • Both teams highly motivated; Palmeiras aiming to assert dominance early in the knockout stage and Universitario driven to defend home turf strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Club Universitario de Deportes: 3.4, Palmeiras-SP: 1, Draw: 2.05 Palmeiras-SP ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Universitario +50: -128, Palmeiras -0.5: -102 Palmeiras -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 goals: 1.1, Under 2 goals: -145 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras-SP at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras will win the match outright given superior form, historical dominance, and quality, but a close game is expected.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Libertad Asuncion vs. River Plate Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs River Plate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asuncion, Paraguay

Game Overview

This Round of 16 first-leg Copa Libertadores matchup features Libertad Asuncion hosting River Plate. Libertad has a home advantage but has shown modest recent form, while River Plate is slightly favored with stronger overall performance and away resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Libertad has a recent run of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, possessing 31.3% ball control. River Plate is unbeaten in six, scoring 1.47 goals on average with a stronger attack and 41.8% possession.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings show a balanced but slightly River Plate-favored record, with two encounters last season and tight scorelines.
  • No explicit injury reports available; assume both sides near full strength based on latest data.
  • The match venue favors Libertad, playing at home in Asuncion, but River Plate's experience in Libertadores knockout rounds partly offsets this.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure an advantage in the two-legged tie. River Plate's international pedigree may boost their competitive edge while Libertad will aim to capitalize on home conditions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad 330, River Plate -110, Draw 235 River Plate ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Libertad +50 -115, River Plate -0.5 -115 River Plate -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -140, Under 2 108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline River Plate 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

River Plate to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to have under 2 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Botafogo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Botafogo vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Round of 16 Copa Libertadores match between Botafogo and LDU Quito, with Botafogo favored at home given recent form and strong lineup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo shows superior recent form and consistent results in domestic and international matches, while LDU Quito has struggled recently and is underdog here.
  • Limited recent direct encounters favor Botafogo, who have secured better results at home.
  • No major injuries reported for either side impacting starting lineup significantly.
  • Home advantage for Botafogo at Nilton Santos stadium and familiar conditions favor them; travel and altitude less favorable for LDU Quito.
  • Botafogo motivated to progress deep in Copa Libertadores and capitalize on home advantage; LDU Quito under pressure as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: -245, LDU Quito: 725, Draw: 360 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Botafogo -1.25: -118, LDU Quito +1.25: -112 Botafogo -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win outright, covering the spread comfortably and the match to have under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Flamengo-RJ vs. Internacional-RS Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo-RJ vs Internacional-RS – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

First leg of the Round of 16 in the 2025 Copa Libertadores between Flamengo-RJ and Internacional-RS, two top Brazilian clubs with strong recent performances in domestic and continental competitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo-RJ has been performing very well domestically, currently second in the Brazilian Serie A, and showing solid form in Libertadores group stages. Internacional-RS has had a respectable campaign but lacks the momentum Flamengo carries.
  • Historically, Flamengo holds a favorable record against Internacional in both domestic leagues and continental tournaments, including recent Copa Libertadores meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side, indicating both teams will likely field close to their strongest lineups.
  • Match is at Flamengo's home ground, Maracanã, which offers a significant home advantage with strong fan support and familiar conditions.
  • High motivation on both sides given the knockout nature of this stage, but Flamengo's quest to secure an early advantage at home is expected to drive a more dominant performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline flamengo: -190, internacional: 600, draw: 295 Flamengo-RJ ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread flamengo_-1: -118, internacional_+1: -112 Flamengo-RJ -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2: -150, under_2: 115 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo-RJ -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo-RJ to win on the Moneyline, cover the -1 goal spread, and the match to go under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Cerro Porteño vs. Estudiantes La Plata Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Estudiantes La Plata – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: General Pablo Rojas, Asunción

Game Overview

Cerro Porteño will host Estudiantes La Plata in the first leg of the 2026 CONMEBOL Libertadores last-16 tie. Both sides have been performing well domestically, with Cerro Porteño showing strong home form and Estudiantes carrying momentum from group stage success.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño have won 6 and drawn 2 of their last 8 matches with a potent attack, scoring 19 goals recently. They advanced from a challenging group despite a heavy 4-0 loss to Bolivar. Estudiantes won 4 of 6 group matches, scoring an average of nearly 2 goals per game, and have won their last 3 domestic matches, indicating good form.
  • Their last two meetings ended in 0-0 draws. Historically, both sides have been evenly matched in recent encounters.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team ahead of the match.
  • Match to be played at Cerro Porteño's home ground, giving them a strong home advantage. Both teams motivated for the Libertadores knockout phase with no significant adverse weather or travel issues.
  • Both teams eager to set the tone in the first leg; Cerro Porteño looking to capitalize on home advantage, while Estudiantes aims to continue their group stage momentum and carry confidence from recent victories.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cerro Porteño: 1.7, Estudiantes La Plata: 1.9, Draw: 2 Cerro Porteño ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Cerro Porteño: -128, Estudiantes La Plata: -102, line: 0 Cerro Porteño 0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: -112, Under: -118, line: 2 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cerro Porteño 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cerro Porteño at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline pick: Cerro Porteño; Spread pick: Cerro Porteño 0; Over/Under pick: Over 2 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Atlético Nacional S.A vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Nacional S.A vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Game Overview

Atlético Nacional hosts Sao Paulo in a key Copa Libertadores group stage match. Both sides have solid South American pedigree, but Atlético Nacional enjoys home advantage in Medellín's high altitude, which typically favors their energetic, physical style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Nacional has shown stronger recent form with consistent home performances and resilience in Copa Libertadores. Sao Paulo comes with mixed results and less stability.
  • Historically, these teams have contested only a few Copa Libertadores matches, with Atlético Nacional slightly favored at home due to altitude and familiarity.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side; squads appear near full strength.
  • Altitude advantage (Medellín ~1,500m) likely plays a significant role, favoring Atlético Nacional’s stamina and pace. Travel fatigue may affect Sao Paulo.
  • Atlético Nacional is motivated to secure home points to advance from the group stage, while Sao Paulo looks to gain ground away but faces tougher conditions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +123, away: +265, draw: +215 Home Win (Atlético Nacional S.A) ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home_-0.5: -130, away_+50: +110 Home -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over_1.5: -186, under_1.5: +155 Under 1.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 53%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Nacional S.A to win on the moneyline, covering at least a -0.5 spread, with the match expected to stay under 2 total goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Peñarol Montevideo vs. Racing Club Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Peñarol Montevideo vs Racing Club – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Campeon del Siglo, Montevideo, Uruguay

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores round of 16 match features Peñarol Montevideo hosting Racing Club Avellaneda. Peñarol boasts strong home form and defensive solidity, while Racing arrives with good away momentum and attacking potency. The game is likely to be carefully contested with tactical discipline and moments of individual skill.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Peñarol holds a superior recent win rate (~75.8%) compared to Racing (~66.6%). Racing has won five of their last six away matches with an average of 2.4 goals per game recently, showing strong offensive ability. Peñarol concedes few goals at home, maintaining only 3 goals allowed in last six Libertadores matches.
  • Previous matchups indicate a tight competition with Peñarol slightly favored. Probabilities from various sources give Peñarol around 39-43% win chance, Racing around 33-39%, and draws roughly 19-31%.
  • No critical injury news reported for either team; lineups expected near full strength.
  • Home advantage at Estadio Campeon del Siglo with energetic crowd support favors Peñarol. Weather and pitch conditions typical and unlikely to pose issues.
  • Both teams highly motivated; Peñarol for home advantage to take a lead in the tie, Racing aiming to maintain their excellent away form and control the tie early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Peñarol 170, Racing 180, Draw 210 Peñarol Montevideo ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Peñarol 0 -120, Racing 0 -110 Peñarol Montevideo +0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 -125, Under 2 -105 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Peñarol Montevideo 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Peñarol Montevideo at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Peñarol Montevideo to win on moneyline, with a close, high-tempo match featuring goals from both sides but ultimately home grit prevailing.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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