Match Analysis: Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Game Overview
Denver Nuggets, currently 10-2 and on a 7-game winning streak, are heavy home favorites against the Chicago Bulls who hold a 6-6 record and are struggling with a 5-game losing streak. The Nuggets have showcased dominant offense and defense, led by Nikola Jokic's triple-doubles and high efficiency, while the Bulls have suffered recent fatigue from a double overtime loss and poor road form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Denver Nuggets have been consistent with a 7-game winning streak, averaging 124.4 PPG on 50.6% shooting, while Bulls are on a 5-game losing streak, averaging 121 PPG but allowing 121.5 PPG. Nuggets have a strong home record (6-0), Bulls are weak away (1-5).
- Recent matchups favor the Nuggets, who have covered 8 of their last 10 games, including against teams with winning records. Bulls have struggled as double-digit underdogs (2-7 ATS).
- No critical injuries reported for either team that impact key players; Nuggets' starters are healthy and performing well, Bulls show signs of fatigue due to recent double OT loss.
- Nuggets playing at home with strong crowd support; Bulls have challenging travel and fatigue factors following their recent heavy schedule and losses.
- Nuggets motivated to maintain top Western Conference position and extend winning streak; Bulls looking to break losing streak but have shown struggles coming off tough losses and on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denver Nuggets -1000, Chicago Bulls +660 | Denver Nuggets | β β β β β 91% |
| Spread | Denver Nuggets -14 -112, Chicago Bulls +14 -108 | Denver Nuggets -14 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 240.5 -110, Under 240.5 -110 | Under 240.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denver Nuggets 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 240.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 240.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Denver Nuggets win decisively, covering the -14 spread, and game total going under 240.5 due to strong defensive adjustments and Bulls' fatigue
Predicted Score: Denver Nuggets 120 – Chicago Bulls 103