Match Analysis: Utah Jazz vs Atlanta Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Delta Center
Game Overview
Atlanta Hawks (7-5) visit the Utah Jazz (4-7) at Delta Center. Hawks are on a three-game win streak and are 2-point favorites. The total is set at 233.5. Jazz have strong home ATS numbers but are missing key interior presence. Hawks are healthy and have momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hawks are 7-5, 5-2 away, with a +3.2 ppg scoring differential. Jazz are 4-7, 3-2 at home, but 1-4 in last 5 games and 2-4 ATS on the road. Jazz have covered 5-0 at home ATS this season, but their offense is inconsistent and defense is weak.
- Jazz lead all-time series 59-55, but Hawks have won the last three meetings, including a 147-134 win in April. Recent H2H favors Atlanta.
- Jazz are missing Kessler, a key interior presence, which hurts their rebounding and rim protection. Hawks are healthy, with no major injuries reported.
- Jazz have home court advantage and rest edge. Hawks are on a three-game win streak and are playing with momentum. Public betting heavily favors Hawks (72% of bets).
- Hawks are looking to extend their win streak and improve their Eastern Conference standing. Jazz are struggling and trying to avoid a losing streak at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away: -134, home: 114 | Atlanta Hawks | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | away: -2 -112, home: 2 -108 | Atlanta Hawks -2 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 233.5 -110, under: 233.5 -110 | Under 233.5 | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta Hawks 26% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 233.5 41% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 233.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atlanta Hawks win and cover the spread. Game goes under the total.
Predicted Score: 112-108