Southern Jaguars face Grambling State Tigers in a SWAC Tournament matchup. Southern has a strong recent form with a 20-11 record, while Grambling State struggles with an 11-21 record.
Key Factors to Consider
Southern Jaguars have shown significant improvement throughout the season, especially in their recent games. Grambling State, despite some brief winning streaks, has struggled overall.
Southern Jaguars have won the last two matchups against Grambling State, including a 67-60 win on January 18 and a 71-64 win on February 22.
No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
The game is part of the SWAC Tournament, which adds pressure and motivation for both teams to perform well.
Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, but Southern's recent form and past victories over Grambling give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Grambling St Tigers: 235, Southern Jaguars: -295
Southern Jaguars
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Grambling St Tigers: 6.5 -102, Southern Jaguars: -6.5 -120
Southern Jaguars -6.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under
Over: 128.5 -110, Under: 128.5 -110
Over 128.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Predicted Outcome
Southern Jaguars are likely to win this matchup based on their recent performance and head-to-head results.
Predicted Score: Southern Jaguars 72, Grambling State Tigers 65
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Southern Jaguars vs. Grambling St Tigers Prediction
Match Analysis: Southern Jaguars vs Grambling St Tigers – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-03-12 Time: 6:00 PM UTC Location: Gateway Center Game Overview Southern Jaguars face Grambling State Tigers in a SWAC Tournament matchup. Southern has a strong recent form with a 20-11 record, while Grambling State struggles with an 11-21 record. Key Factors to […]
The UC San Diego Tritons (3-0) host the Idaho Vandals (2-1) in an early-season NCAA basketball matchup with UC San Diego favored by 8.5 points. The Tritons have a strong home record and superior recent form, while Idaho has struggled on the road, especially in day games against Big West opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
UC San Diego is unbeaten at home with three wins and averaged about 78 points per game, while Idaho is 2-1 with inconsistent play, having lost close games on the road. UC San Diego has a +11.5 average score margin versus Idaho’s +1.0. Both teams score around 78-79 points per game, but UC San Diego allows fewer points defensively.
Recent results show UC San Diego with an edge, including a close 78-74 victory vs Idaho earlier this season. Idaho has lost its last four road day games against Big West opponents, a negative trend against UCSD.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starters or key rotation players, suggesting both squads at near full strength.
UC San Diego benefits from strong home court advantage, having won their last nine games at LionTree Arena. The Vandals' travel and historical day game struggles likely affect performance negatively.
UC San Diego is motivated to maintain their unbeaten home start and establish dominance in the conference, whereas Idaho seeks to prove themselves away but has shown recent vulnerabilities in hostile environments.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
UC San Diego Tritons: -350, Idaho Vandals: +280
UC San Diego Tritons
★★★★☆ 79%
Spread
UC San Diego Tritons: -8.5 -105, Idaho Vandals: +8.5 -115
UC San Diego Tritons -8.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over: 150.5 -110, Under: 150.5 -110
Under 150.5 points
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
UC San Diego Tritons -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 150.5 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UC San Diego Tritons to win straight up and cover the spread, with a game total going under the 150.5 points line.
Predicted Score: UC San Diego Tritons 78 – Idaho Vandals 68
The Mercyhurst Lakers host the Morgan State Bears in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Mercyhurst has a slightly better recent record and plays at home with a strong home winning streak. Morgan State struggles on the road and against non-conference teams.
Key Factors to Consider
Mercyhurst Lakers hold a 2-2 record, averaging 89.3 points per game while allowing 78.7, with solid defense at home. Morgan State Bears are 1-2, scoring 85.5 points but allowing 82, with inconsistent play and recent losses.
No detailed recent direct head-to-head games found, but Mercyhurst has dominated recent home games, winning their last seven at their home court. Morgan State has lost 10 of the last 11 games against non-conference opposition.
No major injuries reported for either team affecting key players, so both teams appear at full strength.
Mercyhurst plays at home with a strong court advantage. Morgan State has struggled in day games and on the road, impacting their performance. Both teams have no significant travel or schedule disadvantages prior to this game.
Mercyhurst seeks to continue home dominance and build momentum within early season play. Morgan State looks to reverse recent poor form but has large pressure on this hostile court.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mercyhurst Lakers: -258, Morgan St Bears: +210
Mercyhurst Lakers
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Mercyhurst Lakers -6.5: -110, Morgan St Bears +6.5: -110
Mercyhurst Lakers -6.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 144.5: -105, Under 144.5: -115
Over 144.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mercyhurst Lakers 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 144.5 21%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 144.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mercyhurst Lakers are favored to win outright with a comfortable margin, supported by home advantage, stronger defense, and recent form.
Predicted Score: Mercyhurst Lakers 77 – Morgan St Bears 66
This NCAA basketball matchup features the undefeated St. Bonaventure Bonnies (3-0) hosting the Youngstown State Penguins (2-1). St. Bonaventure has demonstrated dominance at home and is favored heavily by bookmakers, reflecting their superior form and talent.
Key Factors to Consider
St. Bonaventure is 3-0 overall and undefeated at home this season, with strong defense and efficient offense. Youngstown State holds a 2-1 record and has shown inconsistency, including a 5-5 ATS record over the last 10 games.
Recent head-to-head data is limited, but simulations and expert models favor St. Bonaventure decisively, with a past simulated score of 80-67 in favor of the Bonnies.
No significant injuries reported on either team that could alter the outcome materially for this matchup.
St. Bonaventure has full home-court advantage at the Reilly Center, with strong public backing reflected in 100% bets on them; crowd and venue factors strongly favor the home team.
Both teams are early in the season, but St. Bonaventure's pursuit of a perfect record and conference reputation provides higher motivation. Youngstown State aims to prove their competitiveness but faces a tough environment.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
St. Bonaventure: -500, Youngstown St: +380
St. Bonaventure
★★★★☆ 82%
Spread
St. Bonaventure -9.5: -112, Youngstown St +9.5: -108
St. Bonaventure -9.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 143.5: -110, Under 143.5: -110
Under 143.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Bonaventure Bonnies -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 143.5 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 143.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Bonaventure to win outright with a convincing margin and a moderately high scoring game under the projected total.
Predicted Score: St. Bonaventure 79 – Youngstown State 68
Boise State Broncos, with a stronger home record and recent dominant wins, face the struggling Montana State Bobcats, who have a poor away record and recent losses.
Key Factors to Consider
Boise State is 2-1 this season with dominant home victories including +20 and +24 point margins. Montana State is 1-3 with multiple road losses and recent 9-point loss at Stanford.
Boise State has won each of its last 19 day games against non-conference opponents at home, while Montana State has lost their last nine similar day games.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting this matchup.
The game is at Boise State’s home court, ExtraMile Arena, where they have a strong historical advantage.
Boise State is motivated to maintain home dominance early in the season; Montana State seeks to rebound from a rough 0-2 away start but faces tough circumstances.
Utah State Aggies host UTEP Miners in an NCAA basketball game where Utah State is undefeated (3-0) and UTEP has a 2-1 record. Utah State is heavily favored with very low odds due to their dominant form and strong home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Utah State is 3-0, but recently 2-3 overall and 2-3 against the spread. UTEP is 2-1, scoring an average of 88 points but against lower-tier opponents, and struggling on the road.
Recent matchups show Utah State winning convincingly. Simulations predict Utah State winning by a large margin (~93-64). Utah State's defense is stout, holding opponents under 70 points.
No major injury reports for either team currently. Both teams appear at full strength.
Utah State plays at home in Logan with strong fan support. UTEP is on the road for the first time this season, likely impacting performance.
Utah State aims to maintain a perfect record and continue dominance; UTEP looks for an upset to build momentum on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-3500
Utah State
★★★★★ 90%
Spread
-110
Utah State -17.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
-110
Under 152.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Utah State Aggies -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 152.5 34%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah State moneyline win, Utah State to cover the -17.5 spread, and total points under 152.5
Location: Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center, Newark, NJ
Game Overview
NJIT Highlanders (2-1) host struggling Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (0-3) in a Northeast Conference matchup. NJIT enters as heavy favorites with a 54.92% win probability according to consensus predictions, while FDU has yet to record a victory this season. This represents a significant talent and form disparity, with NJIT showing defensive stability and FDU struggling across all metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
NJIT has won 2 of its last 3 games, including a narrow 66-64 road victory over Loyola Maryland on November 11. The Highlanders are averaging 63.7 points per game with solid defensive metrics (66.3 PPG allowed, ranked 98th nationally, 37.2% opponent FG%). However, they shoot only 38.3% from the field (335th in the nation) and 24.0% from three-point range. Fairleigh Dickinson has dropped all three games this season, most recently falling 53-74 to Fairfield on November 8. FDU is turning the ball over 15.0 times per game and allowing 90.5 points per game on 51.5% opponent shooting—extremely poor defensive marks. While FDU averages 96 PPG offensively, this is inflated by their defensive weakness and hasn't translated to wins.
No recent head-to-head history is provided in the available data. These programs appear to have limited recent matchup history, making this a relatively fresh rivalry dynamic.
No injury information is provided in the search results. Assume full roster availability for both teams unless otherwise noted.
NJIT plays at home where they have been 2-0 against the spread in their last 3 games and have won 6 of their last 7 first halves at home against Northeast Conference opponents. Fairleigh Dickinson is 0-3 and has lost 11 consecutive games against non-conference opponents. Additionally, NJIT has shown a concerning trend of losing 7 consecutive games at their home venue (Joel & Diane Bloom Center) following a road win—this is directly applicable as they won on the road against Loyola before returning home.
NJIT is motivated to maintain home-court dominance and build on their 2-1 start. Fairleigh Dickinson faces desperation at 0-3 but is facing an elite defensive matchup at an opponent's arena. Home teams have won 5 consecutive FDU games (not specified for which direction), suggesting environmental factors favor the home team.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
NJIT -130 | FDU +110
NJIT Highlanders
★★★★☆ 71%
Spread
NJIT -1.5 -115 | FDU +1.5 -105
NJIT -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 146.5 -110 | Under 146.5 -110
Under 146.5
★★★☆☆ 66%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
NJIT Highlanders 26%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 146.5 26%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NJIT Highlanders to win via controlled home defense against a struggling FDU offense. Despite NJIT's historical struggles at their home venue following road wins, the massive talent gap and FDU's complete inability to execute on defense (51.5% opponent shooting allowed) suggests this edge is overwhelmed by matchup quality. Expect a low-scoring, defensive battle where NJIT's disciplined approach prevails. The total leans under due to NJIT's recent defensive consistency and both teams' inability to generate offensive efficiency.
Syracuse Orange (2-0) travel to face Drexel Dragons (1-2) in a non-conference matchup. Syracuse enters undefeated with dominant performances against Delaware State (83-43) and Binghamton, while Drexel seeks to stabilize after losses to Colgate (90-83) and Saint Joseph's. This represents a significant step up in competition for Syracuse, who have faced weak opposition (ranked 330-360th in KenPom), while Drexel presents a notable defensive challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
Syracuse: 2-0, shooting 58% FG, 38% 3P, excellent offensive efficiency (55% overall from recent games), averaging strong rebounding (39.5 per game). Drexel: 1-2, averaging 80.3 PPG on 43% FG and 34.1% 3P, giving up 75.0 PPG. Syracuse's schedule has been historically weak, but the Orange show elite offensive skill. Drexel's defensive rating (109.8 per 100 possessions per KenPom) is significantly worse than Syracuse's (99.9), suggesting structural vulnerabilities.
No recent head-to-head history provided. Historical context: Syracuse has lost 6 of last 7 games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues, which is concerning despite their undefeated start. Drexel has won each of its last 7 Saturday day games at neutral venues, providing strong situational evidence.
Syracuse reports no injuries. Drexel injury status not specified.
Game played at neutral venue (Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia). Saturday daytime matchup favors Drexel based on recent historical performance (7-game winning streak on Saturday day games at neutral venues). Syracuse's poor performance pattern at neutral venues (1-6 in last 7) contradicts their strong early season record. Drexel's strong defensive-minded culture and recent Saturday performance create edge.
Syracuse looking to extend undefeated start against first meaningful competition. Drexel seeking to prove their level after two losses and establish credibility. Drexel has motivation from strong neutral-venue Saturday history. Syracuse potentially overconfident after demolishing weak opponents.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Syracuse -1450 | Drexel +810
Syracuse Orange
★★★★☆ 71%
Spread
Syracuse -14.5 -102 | Drexel +14.5 -120
Drexel Dragons +14.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 148.5 -110 | Under 148.5 -110
Under 148.5
★★★☆☆ 64%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Syracuse Orange -24%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 148.5 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Syracuse Orange wins but does not cover the spread. Predicted final score: Syracuse 80, Drexel 70. While Syracuse's elite offensive efficiency should prevail, Drexel's improved defense and historical advantage in Saturday neutral-venue games limits the margin. The spread appears overvalued on Syracuse given situational factors.
Radford Highlanders host Wright St Raiders in a closely matched NCAAB game where Radford holds a slight edge at home. Both teams have similar recent records and the game is expected to be competitive with moderate scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
Radford is 2-1 and performing slightly better, showing solidity especially at home. Wright St is 1-2 with some struggles but remains competitive.
Limited recent head-to-head data, but Radford has demonstrated a slight overall advantage in home games against similar opponents.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players.
Radford enjoys home-court advantage with strong crowd support. No travel fatigue issues apparent for Wright St, but Radford's momentum and public betting heavily favor them.
Radford motivated to defend home court early in the season, while Wright St fights to establish footing improving their record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-270
Radford Highlanders
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
-115
Radford Highlanders -6.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
-112
Over 158.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Radford Highlanders 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 158.5 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 158.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Radford Highlanders to win moneyline and cover the spread with a game total over 158.5 points.
Predicted Score: Radford Highlanders 84 – Wright St Raiders 72
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies travel to Cape Girardeau as preseason Summit League favorites to face the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks. St. Thomas enters with a 2-2 record after a dominant 80-61 win over Green Bay where they scored 50 first-half points. Southeast Missouri State sits at 1-2 but has shown offensive firepower with consecutive games scoring 84+ points. This matchup features a significant rest disadvantage factor that could play a role in the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
St. Thomas is 22-8 SU in their last 30 games but only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, showing concerning recent form despite strong win-loss record. Southeast Missouri State has won six consecutive home games against non-AP-ranked opponents and has scored 84+ points in back-to-back games, indicating offensive momentum. However, SEMO is currently on a 3-game losing streak overall with a 0-2 record in their last 5 games.
No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This appears to be a non-conference matchup with teams from different conferences.
No injury information available in provided data.
St. Thomas has lost each of its last three games when playing with a rest disadvantage, which may apply here. Southeast Missouri State has lost 13 of its last 14 day games against non-conference opponents, creating conflicting trends. The game time (3:00 PM EST Saturday) qualifies as a day game, which favors St. Thomas' day-game record of 6-1 in their last 7.
St. Thomas is positioned as the preseason conference favorite, carrying higher expectations. Southeast Missouri State has momentum at home but faces a tougher road matchup against Iowa on Tuesday, potentially affecting preparation intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
ST: -166 | SEMO: +140
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
ST: -2.5 (-118) | SEMO: +2.5 (-102)
St. Thomas (MN) -2.5
★★★☆☆ 59%
Over/under
Over 152.5 (-115) | Under 152.5 (-105)
Under 152.5
★★★☆☆ 56%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 152.5 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies will cover the spread and win this matchup, though it will be closer than the current -2.5 line suggests. The Tommies' superior overall record, strong day-game performance, and status as conference favorites outweigh Southeast Missouri State's impressive home court record. However, SEMO's recent offensive firepower and home-court advantage present value on the spread.
Predicted Score: St. Thomas (MN) 74 – Southeast Missouri State 70
