Match Analysis: Aline Pereira vs Nejra Repp - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: LFA 222: Pires vs Belakh
Game Overview
Aline Pereira faces Nejra Repp in a flyweight bout at LFA 222. Both fighters are active in the regional MMA scene, with Pereira having a strong background in Karate Combat and Repp showing a balanced record with notable knockout power.
Key Factors to Consider
- Aline Pereira has a dominant record in Karate Combat but limited experience in professional MMA tournaments. Nejra Repp has a more balanced MMA record with a higher proportion of wins by KO and decision, indicating well-rounded skills.
- No previous encounters between the fighters.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- Pereira may face a possible loss of fitness and competitive tone due to a break between fights. Repp appears to be more active and experienced in professional MMA settings.
- Both fighters are motivated to prove themselves in a high-profile regional event, but Repp's recent activity and experience may give her an edge in motivation and readiness.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -185, away: 140 | Nejra Repp | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | over: -190, under: 145 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nejra Repp 44% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Nejra Repp at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nejra Repp is predicted to win by decision, leveraging her experience and recent activity to outperform Pereira, who may struggle with fitness and competitive tone after a break.
Predicted Score: Nejra Repp wins by decision after three rounds
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