Match Analysis: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne vs KK Partizan NIS – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: LDLC Arena
Game Overview
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne hosts KK Partizan NIS in a EuroLeague matchup. Partizan enters as the favorite, with recent dominance in head-to-head meetings and stronger overall form. ASVEL will look to leverage home-court advantage and recent defensive improvements.
Key Factors to Consider
- Partizan has won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, averaging 88.4 points per game in those contests. ASVEL has shown improvement defensively in recent weeks but struggles with consistency on offense. Partizan is ranked higher in the EuroLeague standings and has a more balanced roster.
- Partizan leads the last 5 H2H matchups 4-1, with an average margin of victory of 17.6 points. The most recent meeting saw Partizan win by 19 points.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their strongest lineups.
- ASVEL will play at home, which may provide a slight boost, but Partizan has proven capable of winning on the road in high-pressure games. The game is scheduled for a Friday evening, with no travel fatigue for either side.
- Partizan is fighting for a top-four finish and playoff seeding, while ASVEL is looking to avoid relegation and build momentum for the second half of the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 160, away: -200 | KK Partizan NIS | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: 4.5 -114, away: -4.5 -109 | KK Partizan NIS -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 165.5 -110, under: 165.5 -113 | Over 165.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | KK Partizan NIS -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 165.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 165.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Partizan is the superior team and has consistently outperformed ASVEL in recent meetings. Expect Partizan to control the pace and win comfortably.
Predicted Score: 78-89