Match Analysis: Seattle Kraken vs Winnipeg Jets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 3:10 AM UTC
- Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, Washington
Game Overview
The Winnipeg Jets (10-6) visit the Seattle Kraken (7-4-5) in an NHL matchup where the Jets are slight favorites at -148 moneyline and -1.5 spread. The total is set at 5.5 goals with a moderate lean towards the over. The Jets have a stronger recent form offensively and defensively, while the Kraken are struggling to score and missing their top goaltender.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Jets have a 10-6 record with strong offensive and goaltending performances (highlighted by Connor Hellebuyck's .921 save percentage). The Kraken are 7-4-5, rank 31st in goals per game (2.50), and are missing top goalie Joey Daccord. Kraken have struggled to cover spreads as home underdogs and scored poorly in recent games.
- Jets have won 5 of the last 6 meetings, including their last 3 visits to Seattle. Kraken won the previous meeting this season 3-0 on the road, but Jets generally have the upper hand historically.
- Seattle is without top goaltender Joey Daccord who has posted a .900 save percentage and 2.83 GAA this season, weakening their defensive stability. No significant injuries reported for Jets key players.
- Game played at Seattle’s home arena, which has drawn mixed results for Kraken lately, including multiple failures to cover the puck line. The Kraken are underdogs with public money heavily skewed towards them on spreads under -205 odds.
- Jets are motivated to improve their poor 1-3 record on this extended road trip and maintain dominance over Kraken in recent matchups. Kraken look to capitalize on home ice but face challenges with injuries and scoring.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle Kraken: +124, Winnipeg Jets: -148 | Winnipeg Jets | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Seattle Kraken: +1.5 -205, Winnipeg Jets: -1.5 170 | Winnipeg Jets -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -120, Under 5.5: +100 | Over 5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Winnipeg Jets -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Winnipeg Jets to win; Spread: Winnipeg Jets -1.5; Over/Under: Over 5.5 goals
Predicted Score: Winnipeg Jets 4 – Seattle Kraken 2