Match Analysis: Massachusetts Minutemen vs Le Moyne Dolphins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: William D. Mullins Memorial Center, Amherst, MA
Game Overview
The Massachusetts Minutemen host the Le Moyne Dolphins in an early season NCAAB matchup. UMASS is favored heavily at home against Le Moyne, a team struggling on the road with a 1-2 record overall. Both teams have mixed early-season form but UMASS shows stronger defense and rebounding, with solid home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Massachusetts is 1-1, leveraging strong defense and rebounding with recent home win by 21 points. Le Moyne is 1-2 overall and 0-2 away, ranking low in offensive efficiency, averaging 74.3 PPG but allowing 69 PPG defensively.
- No recent direct matchups available between these teams; however, UMASS has dominated their last six home games against Le Moyne opponents and Le Moyne has a 13-game road losing streak.
- No significant injuries reported for either team, suggesting both squads will be at full strength.
- UMASS benefits from a strong home environment and ESPN+ national exposure, while Le Moyne faces travel strain and historically poor away performance.
- UMASS looks to bounce back after recent losses and capitalize on home advantage to gain early season momentum. Le Moyne is motivated to stop road skid but faces tough opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1400, away: 800 | Massachusetts Minutemen | ★★★★★ 90% |
| Spread | home: -120, away: -102 | Massachusetts Minutemen -13.5 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 158.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Massachusetts Minutemen -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Massachusetts Minutemen to win straight-up, covering the spread in a low-scoring game under the total points line.
Predicted Score: UMASS 81 – Le Moyne 66