Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Southern Illinois Salukis - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lawlor Events Center, Reno, NV
Game Overview
A non-conference NCAA basketball game featuring the Nevada Wolf Pack hosting the Southern Illinois Salukis. Both teams enter undefeated at 2-0, with Nevada favored by 10.5 points and a total set around 148.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Southern Illinois posts a high-powered offense averaging 92.0 PPG (75th nationally) with strong inside scoring but struggles with perimeter consistency (~30% 3PT). Nevada, while balanced in scoring with multiple double-digit contributors, relies heavily on rebounding and defense, averaging 77.5 PPG with a solid field goal percentage of 43.9%.
- Limited recent direct matchups; no detailed H2H history available, though Nevadaβs physical play at home and defensive rebounding advantage create a favorable matchup dynamic.
- No significant injury reports impacting either team currently.
- Game held at Nevadaβs home court, Lawlor Events Center, providing them a strong home-court advantage. Southern Illinois faces a physical and stamina challenge playing on the road.
- Both teams are undefeated and motivated early in the season, but Nevadaβs experience with physical games and controlling tempo at home should give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nevada Wolf Pack: -610, Southern Illinois Salukis: +440 | Nevada Wolf Pack | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Nevada Wolf Pack -10.5: -105, Southern Illinois Salukis +10.5: -115 | Nevada Wolf Pack -10.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 148.5: -110, Under 148.5: -110 | Under 148.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nevada Wolf Pack -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 148.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nevada to win straight-up, cover the 10.5 spread, and the total to go under 148.5
Predicted Score: Nevada Wolf Pack 75, Southern Illinois Salukis 65
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