Match Analysis: Rockford IceHogs vs Manitoba Moose - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: BMO Center, Rockford, IL
Game Overview
Rockford IceHogs host Manitoba Moose in a pivotal AHL matchup. Rockford enters as favorites with strong recent form and home-ice advantage, while Manitoba has struggled on the road. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams possessing solid offensive units but some defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rockford has won 4 of their last 5 games, showing strong offensive production and improved defensive structure. Manitoba has lost 3 of their last 5, with inconsistent goaltending and defensive lapses, especially on the road.
- Rockford leads the last 5 meetings 3-2, with 4 of those games decided by 1 goal. Rockford has won 2 of the last 3 at home against Manitoba.
- No major injuries reported for either team. Both starting goalies are expected to play.
- Rockford enjoys a strong home-ice advantage, with a 70% win rate at BMO Center this season. Manitoba has a 35% win rate on the road.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, but Rockford is playing for home-ice advantage, while Manitoba is trying to avoid falling out of the playoff picture.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -155, away: 120 | Rockford IceHogs | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -1.5 165, away: 1.5 -220 | Rockford IceHogs -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 5.5 100, under: 5.5 -130 | Over 5.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rockford IceHogs -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rockford IceHogs win in regulation, covering the -1.5 spread and pushing the total over 5.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 4-2
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