Match Analysis: Heracles Almelo vs FC Zwolle – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 11:15 AM UTC
- Location: Erve Asito, Almelo
Game Overview
Heracles Almelo and FC Zwolle face off in a crucial Eredivisie match with both clubs struggling in the lower parts of the table and seeking points to improve their standings. Both teams have shown inconsistent form recently with defensive vulnerabilities and frequent goal concessions, suggesting a high-scoring and competitive game is likely.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heracles Almelo has a poor home form with only 1 win in 4 games and concedes an average of 3.25 goals at home. FC Zwolle has not won in their last 5 matches overall but maintains a decent away performance with 4 wins in their last 10 away games.
- The last encounter ended 4-2 to Heracles Almelo at home. Over 28 meetings, results are balanced with 12 home wins, 11 away wins, and 5 draws. Matches average a high goal count around 3.14 goals per game.
- No major injury information available indicating significant absences for either side, suggesting both teams can field close to their best lineups.
- Both teams face pressure to avoid slipping further in the relegation zone, increasing match intensity. Home advantage slightly favors Heracles but is minimal due to their poor recent home form.
- Both sides are highly motivated to secure points given their precarious league positions. Heracles may be more desperate to capitalize on home ground to halt their defensive struggles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Heracles Almelo: 138, FC Zwolle: 190, Draw: 235 | Heracles Almelo | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Heracles Almelo: 108, FC Zwolle +25: -128 | Heracles Almelo -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Heracles Almelo 24% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 29% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Heracles Almelo to win on the moneyline, Heracles Almelo -0.25 on the spread, Over 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 3-2