Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs Estoril – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio do Rio Ave
Game Overview
Rio Ave FC hosts Estoril in a tightly contested Primeira Liga fixture. Both teams are in mid-table form, with Rio Ave showing solid home resilience and Estoril struggling for consistency on the road. Recent head-to-head matches have been close, and both sides are motivated to climb the standings. Injuries to key Estoril players and Rio Ave's strong home record tilt the balance slightly in favor of the hosts, but a draw remains a strong possibility.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 5 matches and drawn several others, maintaining a solid home record. Estoril has been inconsistent, alternating losses with occasional wins and currently sits just above the relegation zone. Rio Ave averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match, while Estoril averages 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per away match.
- In 28 official meetings, Rio Ave has 14 wins, Estoril 8, and 6 draws. The last match ended 2-1 to Rio Ave. The average total goals per match in H2H is 2.79, with a slight edge to Rio Ave at home.
- Estoril is missing Sanchez, Xeka, and Guitane due to injuries, weakening their attacking options. Rio Ave has no major suspensions or injuries reported.
- Rio Ave has conceded in 17 of their last 19 home games, indicating vulnerability at the back. Estoril is likely to adopt a cautious approach given their injury crisis and Rio Ave's home strength.
- Both teams are eager to climb the table, but Rio Ave has a slight edge in motivation as they look to extend their unbeaten home run and push for a top-half finish.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 146, away: 195, draw: 215 | Rio Ave FC | Not available |
| Spread | home: -134, away: 112 | Rio Ave FC 0 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: -102, under: -118 | Over 2.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rio Ave FC 18% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rio Ave FC to win the match.
Predicted Score: 2-1