Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-17
- Time: 10:41 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers host the Cleveland Guardians in a crucial divisional showdown. Detroit leads the AL Central and is pushing toward clinching the division, while Cleveland fights for a wild card berth with strong recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Tigers have a solid 85-66 record, showing strong home performance and balanced hitting (190 HR, .249 BA). Cleveland Guardians stand at 79-71 but are surging with 10 wins in their last 11 games, demonstrating potent offense in series opener.
- The season series is tied 4-4, with the Guardians winning the first game 7-6 in 10 innings. The rivalry is closely contested with five games remaining.
- No major reported injuries for either team impacting starting lineups or pitching staff for this game.
- Playing at Comerica Park favors Detroit, with comfortable weather (76Β°F, sunny, low wind). The stadium is known for slightly favoring pitchers, which may suppress scoring.
- Detroit is motivated to maintain their divisional lead and push towards clinching. Clevelandβs strong recent streak heightens their urgency to stay in wild card contention.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | cleveland_guardians: 128, detroit_tigers: -141 | Detroit Tigers | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | cleveland_guardians_+1.5: -170, detroit_tigers_-1.5: 149 | Detroit Tigers -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over_8: -115, under_8: -105 | Under 8 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers Moneyline, Detroit Tigers -1.5 spread, Under 8 total runs
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 4 – Cleveland Guardians 2